Realized P&L (30d)
-$244
Unrealized P&L
-$819
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved (30d)
32
Trades (30d)
75
2,237 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.22K
$110.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$8.67K
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-24 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 46% +$4,113
Other
13% 39% +$81
Sports
10% 50% +$3,225
Politics
8% 47% -$422
Tech
0% 100% +$90
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,010 96¢ $4.8K +$1,767 07-13 16:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,424 $1,199 92¢ $-1303 -$2,502 07-01 23:46
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +500 $225 80¢ $397 +$172 07-13 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $334 80¢ $322 -$12 10-12 14:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $236 94¢ $284 +$48 10-12 17:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +549 $268 40¢ $220 -$48 09-23 13:19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +200 $138 80¢ $160 +$22 09-29 19:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $164 73¢ $146 -$18 10-12 20:27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +300 $184 48¢ $145 -$39 10-02 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $134 54¢ $108 -$26 10-11 19:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $78 97¢ $97 +$19 10-18 01:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $91 92¢ $93 +$2 10-17 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $80 88¢ $88 +$8 10-02 10:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $87 86¢ $86 -$1 10-17 18:13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $64 70¢ $71 +$7 10-17 17:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +99 $71 71¢ $70 -$1 10-12 19:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $66 62¢ $62 -$4 10-12 18:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 10-17 18:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +102 $48 43¢ $44 -$4 10-17 18:15
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $30 83¢ $41 +$11 09-30 08:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +41 $26 68¢ $28 +$1 10-18 00:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $19 53¢ $26 +$7 10-19 15:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $17 39¢ $20 +$2 10-17 18:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +50 $10 35¢ $17 +$8 10-17 17:32
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$1 10-17 18:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41 $6 15¢ $6 +$0 10-18 16:07
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,500 $195 0¢ $2 -$194 07-13 17:26
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? Yes +100 $46 0¢ $0 -$46 10-02 09:26