Junior-Bottomline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

$1.43K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-22 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$1

Politics

33% 100% +$1

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-700	$-653	96¢	$-669	$-16	06-03 05:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+306	$290	95¢	$290	+$0	07-10 19:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+270	$228	88¢	$239	+$11	06-24 19:52
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+147	$135	94¢	$139	+$4	06-08 04:43
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$93	96¢	$96	+$3	06-08 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	10	$5.0K	2,560	2,560	+0	open	—	02-14 10:22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$4.3K	2,605	1,802	+802	open	—	02-26 12:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-08 22:07
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	01-08 02:37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.8K	910	910	+0	open	—	04-28 08:36
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	1	$1.7K	1,744	0	+1,744	open	—	02-27 01:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	5	$1.6K	811	811	+0	open	—	05-13 14:46
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$1.6K	807	807	+0	open	—	07-20 20:19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$1.6K	824	824	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 04:07
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	977	977	+0	open	—	06-09 20:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$985	503	503	+0	open	—	04-17 15:50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	3	$912	500	500	+0	open	—	06-26 17:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$888	535	535	+0	open	—	06-13 16:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$811	415	415	+0	open	—	03-22 02:16
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$729	550	280	+270	open	—	06-24 19:52
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	1	$717	0	728	-728	open	—	06-03 05:38
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$712	389	389	+0	open	—	06-24 13:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$653	0	700	-700	open	—	06-03 05:37
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$651	404	252	+151	open	—	04-19 14:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	2	$536	400	400	+0	open	—	07-03 00:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$500	255	255	+0	open	—	06-22 16:06
will tether be accused of insider trading	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	02-26 12:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$494	0	500	-500	open	—	06-08 04:41
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$411	214	214	+0	open	—	03-22 02:16
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	4	$401	205	205	+0	No	+$1	04-19 07:19
will coinbase be accused of insider trading	1	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	02-26 12:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$319	190	190	+0	open	—	03-18 04:08
will company i be accused of insider trading	1	$300	301	0	+301	open	—	02-26 12:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$290	306	0	+306	open	—	07-10 19:15
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$263	134	134	+0	open	—	03-29 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:38:10	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x3040d7…
07-22 09:38:01	will total crypto market cap hit 3pt75t in 2026 20260721192934664	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0x8a0609…
07-22 05:46:10	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt5t in 2026 20260721192934669	No	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x4b5a5a…
07-22 04:54:04	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x49ef81…
07-22 04:53:46	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x751f4f…
07-21 21:08:16	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x190ace…
07-21 21:07:30	will total crypto market cap hit 3pt75t in 2026 20260721192934664	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0x874c22…
07-21 20:58:22	over 1m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419654	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x706771…
07-21 20:56:36	over 750k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419653	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x6784f2…
07-21 16:52:21	over 750k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419653	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa04771…
07-21 15:45:36	over 5m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419661	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7bf0c5…
07-21 08:11:03	over 750k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419653	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x9c35ec…
07-21 07:52:27	over 750k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419653	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd922b5…
07-21 07:51:58	over 500k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419652	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd0ec19…
07-21 07:30:43	over 500k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419652	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x54ce9b…
07-20 21:25:58	over 500k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419652	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1ad6ac…
07-20 20:57:09	over 1m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419654	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x006539…
07-20 20:47:07	over 1m committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419654	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x98bddd…
07-20 20:30:06	over 750k committed to the townsquare public sale 20260720183419653	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x811ec3…
07-20 20:19:27	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	807	100¢	$803	0x6fe9b7…
07-10 19:15:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	306	95¢	$290	0xcafabd…
07-10 19:15:08	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x467029…
07-03 00:56:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	807	99¢	$800	0xecf56e…
07-03 00:54:20	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	63¢	$252	0x6424c5…
07-02 23:32:46	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x2dd647…
07-02 22:49:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	129	20¢	$26	0x3dfd7c…
07-02 19:28:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x0e9f7f…
07-02 19:28:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x29e49b…
07-02 19:28:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa071c9…
07-02 18:52:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xef56fe…
07-02 18:46:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0x800eed…
07-02 16:11:25	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	131	78¢	$102	0x445b9c…
07-02 16:11:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	324	31¢	$101	0x862a03…
06-26 17:22:17	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	92¢	$230	0xe6aa73…
06-24 19:53:52	will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xe22bcc…
06-24 19:52:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	280	89¢	$251	0xd79702…
06-24 19:51:34	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0xf46066…
06-24 19:51:25	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x1a4d6a…
06-24 13:22:43	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	186	92¢	$172	0x98ec42…
06-23 08:14:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	202	92¢	$186	0xc972d1…
06-22 16:08:14	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	131	59¢	$77	0xc0750d…
06-22 16:07:31	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0xcb4eb3…
06-22 16:06:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	255	99¢	$253	0x43ef40…
06-19 10:12:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	91¢	$228	0x8cfb5b…
06-18 20:53:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	265	85¢	$225	0x634879…
06-18 20:51:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x144973…
06-18 20:51:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd29dca…
06-18 20:47:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x6f87e6…
06-18 20:42:47	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x399b44…
06-18 20:42:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	255	97¢	$248	0x7ff61b…
06-13 16:48:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	86¢	$460	0xf111d0…
06-13 16:43:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xcc29c8…
06-09 20:35:15	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	977	73¢	$713	0xa3807b…
06-08 04:43:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa5f057…
06-08 04:43:31	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	289	91¢	$263	0x6ce931…
06-08 04:43:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	92¢	$135	0x6dd642…
06-08 04:42:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x543c33…
06-08 04:42:37	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x36b2ab…
06-08 04:41:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xc3f269…
06-08 04:39:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xd763e0…
06-08 04:37:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	600	19¢	$114	0xe2e604…
06-03 11:45:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	258	20¢	$52	0xdd596e…
06-03 11:08:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1fe241…
06-03 10:35:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9d528e…
06-03 10:33:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xfa6249…
06-03 10:33:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xaeb0ad…
06-03 10:33:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x6aab18…
06-03 10:33:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0d395c…
06-03 10:25:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x27de4a…
06-03 10:24:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfc6e72…
06-03 10:24:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb9d425…
06-03 10:23:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1f9800…
06-03 09:58:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	213	20¢	$43	0xd1334f…
06-03 05:44:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xf557dc…
06-03 05:43:45	will hyperliquid dip to 60 in june	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x7c1504…
06-03 05:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x549e9d…
06-03 05:40:46	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	977	71¢	$693	0xf0d02a…
06-03 05:38:00	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	728	99¢	$717	0x91dc91…
06-03 05:37:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	700	93¢	$653	0x51b778…
05-29 18:43:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x7d7086…
05-29 18:19:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xa37b82…
05-25 04:09:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x886be4…
05-25 04:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb0036…
05-25 04:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe16d8e…
05-25 04:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	159	3¢	$5	0xdb8441…
05-17 02:42:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	240	95¢	$228	0x4ce0cb…
05-13 14:46:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	406	99¢	$403	0x57212e…
05-08 23:03:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x0c6224…
05-08 22:07:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	600	98¢	$590	0x115d71…
05-07 11:08:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x079f44…
05-07 09:13:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xd47880…
05-07 08:46:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	600	98¢	$588	0xec8748…
05-07 01:32:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xfd5bef…
05-04 21:22:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,200	97¢	$1,166	0x2f8170…
05-04 20:30:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	811	99¢	$800	0xcb4270…
04-28 08:36:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	910	100¢	$905	0x84be77…
04-25 04:36:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	910	99¢	$900	0xcd1ac6…
04-19 14:01:28	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	252	99¢	$251	0xc89ad4…
04-19 07:19:48	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xaeea50…
04-19 06:32:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x57bd24…