Wary-Rush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-07 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Sports

29% 50% $-143

Other

12% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	4	$349	228	294	-66	open	—	03-09 22:57
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$147	439	0	+439	No	$-147	03-08 15:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$106	672	672	+0	open	—	03-11 22:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$105	634	0	+634	open	—	07-07 12:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$76	376	1,466	-1,090	open	—	06-06 06:41
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$75	0	1,866	-1,866	open	—	06-02 20:24
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$66	0	2,494	-2,494	open	—	06-02 20:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$39	357	0	+357	open	—	06-02 20:25
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$30	503	0	+503	open	—	03-11 22:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$24	333	333	+0	No	+$4	03-11 06:57
gc hit 4600 high jan 2026 854 437 151 199	3	$23	114	0	+114	open	—	01-12 12:04
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	4	$20	105	0	+105	open	—	01-13 07:51
si above 75 jan 2026	3	$19	77	0	+77	open	—	01-15 13:18
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$17	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	03-11 06:50
si above 70 jan 2026	3	$16	112	0	+112	open	—	01-15 13:18
si above 90 jan 2026	1	$15	47	0	+47	open	—	01-20 14:49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	33	0	+33	open	—	02-02 12:26
si above 80 jan 2026	2	$15	77	0	+77	open	—	01-20 14:49
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	4	$15	353	0	+353	open	—	02-03 06:40
si above 85 jan 2026	2	$12	231	0	+231	open	—	01-25 14:17
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$10	2,889	0	+2,889	open	—	02-19 06:39
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	556	0	+556	open	—	02-03 00:03
gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	2	$8	337	0	+337	open	—	01-25 14:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	02-02 12:51
gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	3	$7	209	0	+209	open	—	01-12 07:46
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	455	0	+455	open	—	02-08 14:05
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$5	714	0	+714	open	—	01-06 23:34
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	01-10 22:54
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	1	$2	83	0	+83	open	—	02-02 12:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	90	0	+90	open	—	04-29 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 12:15:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	12¢	$11	0xe34c88…
06-06 06:42:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	13¢	$24	0x4c029f…
06-06 06:41:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,466	4¢	$57	0x8f8392…
06-02 20:29:40	Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xafa040…
06-02 20:25:59	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0x6c443f…
06-02 20:25:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x72e7d4…
06-02 20:25:23	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x21a03d…
06-02 20:24:49	Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,866	4¢	$75	0x44d000…
06-02 20:24:35	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$6	0x67d601…
06-01 23:36:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	5¢	$14	0x2fa92f…
06-01 23:36:35	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x573ea3…
06-01 23:36:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	22¢	$20	0x4c6d9a…
06-01 23:35:54	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,231	3¢	$60	0xa6e8f0…
04-29 09:05:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xe3f3dc…
03-11 22:25:11	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf5b12f…
03-11 22:24:41	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	672	10¢	$67	0xd8b3ec…
03-11 06:58:07	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x8d1237…
03-11 06:57:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	333	4¢	$14	0x61e6fd…
03-11 06:52:11	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x433760…
03-11 06:52:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	341	5¢	$17	0x10ae13…
03-11 06:50:21	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$7	0xb25d78…
03-11 06:50:07	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x9ecd0d…
03-09 22:57:31	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	78¢	$229	0x596da7…
03-08 15:55:47	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x12fe23…
03-07 12:59:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xbcfb66…
03-04 06:41:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x094b0c…
03-02 14:48:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x277e5a…
03-02 14:46:09	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x178c35…
02-19 06:39:38	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xf7525e…
02-19 06:38:30	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x8cee54…
02-19 06:37:36	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf5be76…
02-11 06:52:53	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2d1a84…
02-08 14:05:39	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x5c55f6…
02-08 14:03:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xead8e1…
02-08 14:03:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	203	37¢	$75	0x571860…
02-03 06:40:52	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x184855…
02-03 00:03:56	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xb91f62…
02-03 00:00:36	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x7fe072…
02-02 12:57:26	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x7f57ad…
02-02 12:53:08	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0x6e00f4…
02-02 12:51:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x7fdbf6…
02-02 12:48:46	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7a426f…
02-02 12:48:04	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xa030ee…
02-02 12:47:14	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0x758347…
02-02 12:26:36	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x756f81…
01-25 14:19:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe98401…
01-25 14:17:52	si above 85 jan 2026	No	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x9d5cf0…
01-25 14:13:46	gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	Yes	BUY	301	1¢	$3	0x2f879f…
01-20 14:49:48	si above 90 jan 2026	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x64eaff…
01-20 14:49:30	si above 85 jan 2026	No	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x763cac…
01-20 14:49:14	si above 80 jan 2026	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa0afa9…
01-15 13:18:40	si above 75 jan 2026	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x163e49…
01-15 13:18:26	si above 70 jan 2026	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x528c75…
01-15 13:18:02	si above 80 jan 2026	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x58a172…
01-13 12:02:09	si above 75 jan 2026	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xe8b4f0…
01-13 07:51:47	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9d0f9a…
01-13 07:51:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x27109d…
01-13 07:51:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x430c8e…
01-12 12:04:02	gc hit 4600 high jan 2026 854 437 151 199	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x10f858…
01-12 07:46:10	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xcbaf4e…
01-12 07:45:16	gc hit 4600 high jan 2026 854 437 151 199	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7596e8…
01-12 07:44:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xfaab53…
01-10 22:54:56	Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x02e833…
01-10 22:51:16	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	Yes	BUY	116	3¢	$3	0xc03fd2…
01-10 22:51:04	gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x453c23…
01-07 13:27:13	gc hit 4000 low jan 2026 688 743 639 929	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xada981…
01-07 13:25:49	gc hit 4600 high jan 2026 854 437 151 199	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd4f618…
01-07 07:04:17	si above 70 jan 2026	No	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xb86ee7…
01-07 07:02:55	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	50¢	$90	0x150a69…
01-06 23:50:13	si above 70 jan 2026	No	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x4c6502…
01-06 23:48:11	si above 75 jan 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4d3cd0…
01-06 23:45:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x21b13a…
01-06 23:34:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x0d7cda…