Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
241
lifetime
Volume
$2.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$64
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-21 11:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
54% 0% $-10
Crypto
33%
Other
13% 0% $-8
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +50 $14 33¢ $16 +$3 06-01 11:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $20 14¢ $14 $-6 06-03 16:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes +100 $4 10¢ $10 +$6 07-02 14:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $5 18¢ $7 +$2 06-16 20:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +100 $6 $5 $-0 06-17 19:04
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? Yes +100 $5 $3 $-2 07-15 18:44
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +100 $8 $3 $-5 06-02 12:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? Yes +57 $2 $3 +$1 07-07 23:12
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? Yes +19 $0 11¢ $2 +$2 05-30 08:31
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +83 $2 $0 $-2 05-29 22:45