Concrete-Horn 0x49e5ff…34f527
8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
90
Trades
504
lifetime
Volume
$12.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-23 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
58% 72% -$76
Other
41% 75% +$49
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +342 $322 99¢ $339 +$16 09-15 06:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +251 $207 96¢ $241 +$34 10-23 08:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +281 $301 84¢ $238 -$63 10-23 21:48
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +169 $156 96¢ $163 +$7 05-25 18:42
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +161 $151 96¢ $154 +$3 10-20 18:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +168 $140 91¢ $153 +$13 10-23 08:17
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +142 $129 96¢ $136 +$7 10-23 08:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +135 $121 98¢ $132 +$11 10-23 08:15
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +115 $100 94¢ $109 +$9 05-27 21:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +111 $102 97¢ $107 +$6 05-25 18:50
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +110 $102 93¢ $102 +$1 10-20 18:23
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +101 $96 98¢ $99 +$2 05-25 18:58
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +102 $89 96¢ $98 +$9 10-23 08:15
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +100 $92 97¢ $97 +$5 07-21 08:39
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 86¢ $86 -$6 05-30 19:54
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +84 $73 95¢ $80 +$7 10-23 08:18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +80 $70 97¢ $77 +$8 05-30 12:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +80 $73 94¢ $75 +$2 07-05 15:50
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +72 $66 94¢ $67 +$2 06-04 09:02
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$1 10-20 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +47 $36 96¢ $45 +$9 05-25 19:04
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +40 $46 98¢ $39 -$7 10-23 19:03
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -36 -$34 99¢ $-35 -$1 10-21 08:56
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes -26 -$24 92¢ $-24 -$1 09-23 09:32
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -22 -$21 98¢ $-22 -$1 05-17 15:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-23 08:19
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$19 100¢ $-20 -$1 05-27 21:20
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -14 -$13 95¢ $-13 $0 06-01 19:42
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-10 -$1 04-30 13:49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 06-18 20:50