Grand-Someone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-14 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 50% +$17

Politics

21% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$41	32	32	+0	open	—	03-15 20:06
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	4	$29	39	21	+18	open	—	03-07 09:32
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$19	23	23	+0	Yes	$-1	03-04 14:43
cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	3	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	02-14 12:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	4	$13	648	0	+648	open	—	02-14 12:25
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	03-08 04:48
will macbook be said 10 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	3	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 04:37
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	5	$9	46	2	+43	open	—	06-27 15:36
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$8	136	0	+136	open	—	03-08 09:20
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 14:08
lol wb al 2026 03 05	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	03-05 04:48
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	3	$5	60	0	+60	open	—	06-12 11:54
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	1	$5	52	0	+52	open	—	02-14 18:04
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	06-13 14:42
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$5	210	0	+210	open	—	03-07 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$4	57	0	+57	open	—	03-02 06:18
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$3	51	0	+51	open	—	02-16 17:09
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	2	$3	216	0	+216	open	—	02-15 02:06
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	1	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	03-04 14:54
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	03-18 18:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$3	31	0	+31	open	—	03-07 14:00
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$3	86	0	+86	open	—	03-06 05:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$2	111	0	+111	open	—	02-14 10:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	1	$2	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 19:14
Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-07 09:03
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	02-14 09:30
Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 09:03
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	03-07 14:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	111	0	+111	open	—	03-07 14:02
bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	06-29 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 08:34:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners team home 5pt5	Over	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2f462b…
07-14 08:27:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfdc93e…
07-01 22:03:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x621431…
06-29 13:09:47	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xac7336…
06-27 15:36:14	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x869c56…
06-26 06:40:44	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6cfaad…
06-26 06:40:23	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xc36be3…
06-26 06:40:14	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb4b93a…
06-22 04:10:14	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf7b5fe…
06-22 04:07:38	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc079b8…
06-13 14:42:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5c52ad…
06-13 14:42:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1913af…
06-13 03:10:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0fe28a…
06-12 11:54:54	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xaf6ee6…
06-11 15:30:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3d0bcb…
06-03 14:20:19	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1c831e…
06-02 04:42:36	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xaba3b6…
06-02 04:38:08	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xc003a8…
06-01 12:27:35	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	No	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x48a31b…
06-01 12:23:07	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x91425c…
06-01 12:20:26	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x1cd886…
03-18 18:44:35	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xb723be…
03-15 20:06:49	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x160717…
03-08 09:20:25	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0x3f0a31…
03-08 04:48:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3c88a9…
03-08 04:48:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8e3de1…
03-07 15:06:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xbfd2e6…
03-07 14:13:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf2a855…
03-07 14:11:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x4c6c4d…
03-07 14:09:07	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x2f568a…
03-07 14:08:57	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa5d918…
03-07 14:08:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf5d886…
03-07 14:04:53	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x77a9c3…
03-07 14:02:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x483d7e…
03-07 14:00:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7c30a1…
03-07 09:34:33	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x48759d…
03-07 09:34:25	will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd80df3…
03-07 09:32:09	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x197d73…
03-07 09:31:53	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb0e96b…
03-07 09:05:39	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08bb57…
03-07 09:03:19	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x33e384…
03-07 09:03:09	Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x05a634…
03-07 09:02:47	Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x086552…
03-07 09:02:43	Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8b2b24…
03-06 05:34:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x8ee6eb…
03-05 04:48:41	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Weibo Gaming	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfc7c35…
03-05 04:39:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x211364…
03-05 04:37:57	will macbook be said 10 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xa95797…
03-04 19:44:31	Will 55 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x2f6754…
03-04 19:18:51	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa04e31…
03-04 19:14:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5fb3a6…
03-04 19:14:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x04b156…
03-04 19:13:13	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xe65d1e…
03-04 18:19:55	Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe34a68…
03-04 14:54:03	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x690757…
03-04 14:43:25	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xca20ef…
03-04 14:42:13	will macbook be said 10 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x19950d…
03-04 14:37:25	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c3a63…
03-02 06:30:41	will macbook be said 10 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0fd215…
03-02 06:21:05	will scream 7 score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	239	0¢	$1	0xd94877…
03-02 06:18:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xa30e54…
03-02 06:16:51	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdbaa84…
02-16 17:09:55	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x1b0dfb…
02-15 02:06:03	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1557f8…
02-14 18:04:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xf577e6…
02-14 12:28:33	cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	PARIVISION	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x80227a…
02-14 12:25:59	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe90e07…
02-14 12:25:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x446f36…
02-14 11:01:17	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xebdfd9…
02-14 10:46:43	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e7297…
02-14 10:43:41	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x25d08d…
02-14 10:41:19	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x799a61…
02-14 10:39:45	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26acef…
02-14 10:39:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa562bc…
02-14 10:38:55	cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	PARIVISION	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x025e7a…
02-14 10:38:27	cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	PARIVISION	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x751a69…
02-14 09:32:35	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xbadf53…
02-14 09:30:37	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd0771e…
02-14 09:30:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xc823ff…
02-12 21:22:51	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x8871d7…