Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
11,022 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$14.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$477
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-15 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Politics
48% 69% +$587
Other
30% 75% +$268
Sports
17% 64% +$69
Crypto
4% 60% +$85
Tech
1% 100% +$22
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +84 $78 97¢ $81 +$3 09-14 00:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -427 -$111 12¢ $-53 +$57 05-18 18:59
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +41 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 08-15 00:27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +33 $31 97¢ $32 +$1 07-23 04:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +32 $28 95¢ $31 +$3 09-19 00:42
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +23 $21 98¢ $22 +$1 08-03 15:50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$1 07-28 16:47
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 98¢ $17 +$1 06-14 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 06-25 02:58
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -236 -$82 6¢ $-15 +$67 06-17 22:59
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $14 +$0 09-20 00:08
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -336 -$17 4¢ $-12 +$5 10-15 23:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 08-02 02:10
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 07-23 09:26
will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246 No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 07-20 10:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 94¢ $9 +$3 04-29 13:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 05-13 01:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-8 $0 07-15 05:12
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 07-13 19:04
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 08-10 00:27
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +8 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 06-23 13:04
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $0 07-26 14:59
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +6 $3 98¢ $6 +$3 08-01 03:59
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-18 00:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-25 00:04
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-02 21:12
will clarence thomas announce his retirement by december 31 2026 20260701190628700 No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 07-19 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +39 $20 10¢ $4 -$16 08-10 00:09
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-05 21:17
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 08-02 18:52