Self-Reliant-Chick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-06 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Sports

85% 67% +$1,585

Politics

7% 78% +$0

Other

7% 84% -$10

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-2	-$1	98¢	$-2	$0	05-14 17:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	08-06 09:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba cle orl 2026 03 11	2	$1.0K	2,599	0	+2,599	Magic	+$1,585	03-11 18:45
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$58	28,880	28,880	+0	No	+$0	06-09 14:09
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	11	$16	7,910	7,910	+0	No	+$0	03-24 09:08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	-$15	06-29 19:25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	1	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	06-28 11:49
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$11	13	0	+13	Yes	+$2	06-23 16:39
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$9	4,500	4,500	+0	No	+$0	05-16 08:18
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:01
GTA VI released before June 2026?	3	$4	3	1	+2	No	+$0	05-20 20:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	08-06 09:00
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-07 19:12
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-07 19:12
will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 18:02
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-23 18:02
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	08-06 08:59
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 18:02
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-07 19:12
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:59
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:00
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-25 22:23
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-20 20:34
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-25 22:23
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-20 20:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-14 17:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-04 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:00:35	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x288ac0…
08-06 09:00:30	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5ac210…
08-06 09:00:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x94884e…
08-06 09:00:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c454a…
08-06 09:00:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbacd3f…
08-06 09:00:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xda6ac7…
08-06 09:00:05	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x853c4b…
08-06 08:59:57	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7fc90b…
08-06 08:59:53	Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x862bf3…
08-02 17:04:02	Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a8bd7…
08-02 17:03:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1d6028…
08-02 17:02:56	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x317e0b…
07-11 20:32:10	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x30740b…
07-11 20:31:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x53e381…
07-11 20:31:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x243592…
07-11 20:31:05	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d9c42…
07-11 20:29:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c9b8f…
07-11 20:29:19	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaedccd…
07-11 20:28:35	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58d670…
07-11 20:28:16	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5845cb…
07-11 20:27:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdfcc85…
06-29 19:25:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x79e135…
06-28 11:49:59	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x17fea3…
06-23 16:39:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xf2ad31…
06-09 14:09:58	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,224	0¢	$3	0xbf8363…
06-09 14:06:57	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,496	0¢	$7	0xf6b56e…
06-09 12:33:30	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10,720	0¢	$11	0x855468…
06-07 22:38:39	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,909	0¢	$7	0x137318…
06-07 22:37:27	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,231	0¢	$4	0xd9b3f9…
06-07 19:46:15	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,140	0¢	$11	0x9ab2fd…
06-07 19:12:34	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f9bca…
06-07 19:12:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4221ec…
06-07 19:12:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcec0c2…
05-20 20:35:46	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24dc28…
05-20 20:34:31	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xecdf2b…
05-20 20:34:17	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7476cd…
05-20 20:34:04	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb94b8…
05-20 20:33:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xacbace…
05-20 20:31:08	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcde2d5…
05-20 20:30:06	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbedd86…
05-20 20:28:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d6f42…
05-16 08:18:46	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,086	0¢	$3	0x680ff7…
05-16 08:18:31	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	842	0¢	$1	0xfde5bb…
05-16 08:18:13	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,178	0¢	$6	0x44a488…
05-16 08:16:21	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,414	0¢	$1	0x3f5c45…
05-15 17:39:03	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,020	0¢	$7	0xa995b5…
05-15 17:37:58	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$4	0x150adc…
05-14 17:02:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5555e9…
05-14 17:02:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x439744…
05-14 17:02:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x025a5c…
05-14 17:01:56	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd0a68b…
05-05 17:53:08	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc67a63…
04-04 19:09:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45d9d9…
04-04 19:09:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x335090…
04-04 19:08:41	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5e096e…
04-04 19:08:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb14032…
03-24 09:08:55	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	898	0¢	$1	0x0367d1…
03-24 09:01:03	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f3646…
03-24 08:48:31	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64bd96…
03-24 08:32:59	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdadffa…
03-24 08:06:41	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0edc31…
03-24 07:54:49	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x363c74…
03-24 07:10:55	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb51175…
03-24 03:32:31	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x01b051…
03-24 02:35:35	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc26349…
03-23 23:49:27	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc3df56…
03-23 20:19:27	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,910	0¢	$8	0x36877d…
03-23 18:02:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9b809…
03-23 18:02:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56aca4…
03-23 18:02:43	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa75055…
03-11 18:45:47	nba cle orl 2026 03 11	Magic	BUY	2,231	39¢	$870	0xbbabad…
03-11 18:30:59	nba cle orl 2026 03 11	Magic	BUY	368	39¢	$144	0x971d02…
03-11 15:35:31	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7174cc…
03-11 15:33:27	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8a5c8…
03-11 15:30:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x11d97a…
02-15 07:57:53	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5d3c6…
02-15 07:57:37	highest temperature in seoul on february 15 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f46c5…
02-15 07:57:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18006c…
01-25 22:23:44	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x474520…
01-25 22:23:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa516ec…
01-25 22:23:22	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41b062…