Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b44e…f51f6e
whale 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$40.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.8K
Hit rate
2.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,755
lifetime
Volume
$533.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$194
Open exposure
$41.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-22 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
82% 25% $-40,326
Other
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +29,583 $10,523 99¢ $29.3K +$18,779 07-02 13:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -7,075 $-5,237 86¢ $-6120 $-884 06-18 19:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -2,949 $-2,031 78¢ $-2315 $-285 06-19 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -2,952 $-3,684 48¢ $-1432 +$2,253 07-14 02:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,303 $-613 44¢ $-580 +$33 07-12 05:11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,273 $488 42¢ $528 +$40 07-17 18:06
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -2,703 $-219 8¢ $-230 $-11 07-21 21:44
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +331 $164 57¢ $190 +$26 07-09 19:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,156 $288 16¢ $185 $-104 07-06 09:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +150 $76 56¢ $83 +$7 07-18 19:37
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,003 $113 6¢ $55 $-58 07-09 20:58
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +137 $44 20¢ $27 $-17 06-26 10:02
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes -1,216 $-16 2¢ $-19 $-4 07-14 12:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $13 52¢ $16 +$3 06-10 18:20