Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b44e…f51f6e Create alert
whale cold 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$68.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$18.8K
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
120
Trades
3,763
lifetime
Volume
$756.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$90.9K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-01 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Politics
82% 52% -$100,808
Other
18% 69% +$31,933
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +30,496 $25,719 93¢ $28.3K +$2,612 10-21 14:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +17,986 $8,572 92¢ $16.6K +$8,064 09-23 08:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13,329 $11,087 92¢ $12.3K +$1,243 10-28 14:27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +12,468 $10,208 92¢ $11.5K +$1,325 10-20 15:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9,024 $8,378 97¢ $8.8K +$412 09-29 18:10
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +4,285 $3,653 92¢ $4.0K +$311 10-07 10:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +2,905 $2,582 99¢ $2.9K +$289 11-01 16:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3,064 $1,409 79¢ $2.4K +$1,014 10-05 22:09
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +1,675 $1,501 94¢ $1.6K +$65 11-01 10:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +987 $1,155 98¢ $963 -$192 09-28 17:15
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +575 $495 92¢ $532 +$37 10-05 20:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -299 -$1,699 97¢ $-290 +$1,409 06-18 19:25
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -4,391 -$336 3¢ $-134 +$203 10-24 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +135 -$3,005 94¢ $128 +$3,133 08-09 08:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,303 -$613 8¢ $-98 +$515 07-12 05:11
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +87 $63 96¢ $83 +$21 09-21 14:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,363 $1,057 2¢ $-72 -$1,129 10-02 19:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +126 $58 53¢ $67 +$9 09-04 01:26
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,869 $56 1¢ $27 -$29 09-23 02:34
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +17 $14 88¢ $15 +$1 09-23 13:22
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -114 $474 2¢ $-2 -$476 10-20 12:04
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 Yes +10 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 07-25 18:25
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-17 09:26