Elaborate-Cashier 0xb8b44e…f51f6e
whale 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$40.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.3K
Hit rate
2.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,531
lifetime
Volume
$494.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$41.9K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-28 22:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
85% 25% $-40,326
Other
15% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +44,457 $21,195 70¢ $31.3K +$10,147 06-25 18:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -7,075 $-5,237 82¢ $-5837 $-601 06-18 19:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -2,949 $-2,031 70¢ $-2079 $-49 06-19 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,416 $1,155 18¢ $2.0K +$843 06-25 13:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,106 $276 24¢ $271 $-6 06-25 13:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +386 $182 46¢ $180 $-2 06-24 05:55
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +832 $99 8¢ $71 $-28 06-27 20:46
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +137 $44 33¢ $45 +$1 06-26 10:02
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $39 55¢ $44 +$5 05-28 03:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $13 64¢ $20 +$6 06-10 18:20
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -121 $-14 12¢ $-14 +$0 06-28 22:39