Realized P&L
+$415
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
240
lifetime
Volume
$23.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$50
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 07-23 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97% 100% +$415
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -58 $-54 72¢ $-42 +$12 07-09 06:38
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +77 $10 $5 $-5 06-15 08:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-14 09:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-15 11:03
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 07-11 17:56