Realized P&L
+$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.16K
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
154
lifetime
Volume
$20.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$734
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 11-12 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% +$636
Other
41% 100% +$427
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,290 -$591 8¢ $-280 +$312 06-05 22:47
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2027? Yes +616 $275 38¢ $237 -$38 11-12 12:57
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 Yes +3,688 $258 3¢ $116 -$142 07-19 19:06
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,640 $711 2¢ $50 -$661 07-07 11:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +840 $524 3¢ $24 -$500 07-08 14:20
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,639 $130 1¢ $20 -$109 06-16 11:17
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +251 $28 3¢ $7 -$22 07-07 11:26