Realized P&L
+$9.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
224
Trades
2,830
lifetime
Volume
$368.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$7.41K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
69% 51% +$21,153
Politics
29% 55% -$10,378
Crypto
1% 0% -$924
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,456 -$830 94¢ $-1376 -$546 05-09 05:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,250 $1,151 94¢ $1.2K +$24 10-27 21:06
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -3,967 -$1,326 26¢ $-1051 +$275 07-29 14:06
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,271 $1,128 24¢ $769 -$359 10-20 12:09
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,559 $3,425 6¢ $746 -$2,680 10-06 19:48
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5,431 $931 13¢ $706 -$225 11-02 21:23
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2,148 -$612 17¢ $-365 +$247 07-20 08:18
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -9,699 -$644 3¢ $-286 +$358 07-24 03:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,816 -$4,738 5¢ $-241 +$4,497 09-25 08:19
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -515 -$227 35¢ $-180 +$46 07-26 01:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,307 -$730 6¢ $-150 +$580 09-23 08:34
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes -653 -$98 18¢ $-121 -$23 07-19 15:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -100 -$81 90¢ $-90 -$8 07-09 04:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $1,525 24¢ $72 -$1,452 10-26 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -809 -$179 4¢ $-36 +$143 09-23 00:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -794 -$128 3¢ $-24 +$104 09-11 14:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -453 -$43 3¢ $-14 +$29 09-11 13:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 -$30 4¢ $-9 +$21 09-04 04:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +27 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 07-28 07:30