Realized P&L
+$9.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.56K
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
224
Trades
2,823
lifetime
Volume
$366.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$7.99K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
70% 51% +$21,153
Politics
29% 55% -$10,378
Crypto
1% 0% -$924
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +1,500 $1,337 90¢ $1.3K +$5 10-26 09:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,456 -$830 91¢ $-1325 -$495 05-09 05:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,250 $1,151 93¢ $1.2K +$14 10-27 21:06
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -3,967 -$1,326 25¢ $-992 +$335 07-29 14:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,559 $3,425 6¢ $881 -$2,544 10-06 19:48
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,271 $1,128 24¢ $769 -$359 10-20 12:09
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2,148 -$612 15¢ $-322 +$290 07-20 08:18
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -9,699 -$644 3¢ $-247 +$397 07-24 03:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,816 -$4,738 4¢ $-217 +$4,521 09-25 08:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,307 -$730 8¢ $-173 +$557 09-23 08:34
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -515 -$227 33¢ $-170 +$56 07-26 01:31
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes -653 -$98 17¢ $-111 -$13 07-19 15:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -100 -$81 87¢ $-87 -$6 07-09 04:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $1,525 24¢ $75 -$1,449 10-26 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -809 -$179 6¢ $-53 +$127 09-23 00:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -794 -$128 4¢ $-36 +$92 09-11 14:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -453 -$43 3¢ $-15 +$28 09-11 13:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 -$30 4¢ $-11 +$19 09-04 04:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +27 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 07-28 07:30