Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,701
lifetime
Volume
$239.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$2.33K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
57% 100% +$256
Politics
42% 75% $-69
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +2,294 $765 22¢ $505 $-260 06-09 12:01
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -1,312 $-420 30¢ $-394 +$26 06-05 02:23
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +1,973 $355 18¢ $355 +$0 06-06 20:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +653 $144 50¢ $330 +$185 06-09 21:33
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -800 $-254 33¢ $-264 $-10 06-05 02:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $190 82¢ $205 +$15 06-05 01:22
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -435 $-139 27¢ $-117 +$22 06-05 02:23
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -521 $-78 15¢ $-75 +$3 06-09 08:42
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -90 $-47 52¢ $-47 $-1 06-05 02:24
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +209 $31 14¢ $29 $-2 05-28 10:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +13 $8 69¢ $9 +$1 05-31 13:06