Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$1.95K
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,007
lifetime
Volume
$269.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$17.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 10:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$256
Politics
37% 75% $-69
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,382 $-5,845 89¢ $-5658 +$187 06-16 01:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -7,222 $-4,851 55¢ $-3972 +$879 07-20 22:31
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,360 $3,225 58¢ $3.7K +$463 07-10 21:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -1,520 $-1,258 71¢ $-1079 +$178 07-04 04:51
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,456 $1,018 26¢ $881 $-137 07-19 06:53
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2,148 $-612 27¢ $-580 +$32 07-20 08:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +1,513 $167 29¢ $439 +$272 07-04 10:43
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -839 $-268 31¢ $-260 +$7 07-13 07:04
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -289 $-136 40¢ $-117 +$19 07-21 03:36
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes -653 $-98 18¢ $-114 $-16 07-19 15:24
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -435 $-139 26¢ $-111 +$28 06-05 02:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -100 $-81 84¢ $-84 $-2 07-09 04:28
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -923 $-140 $-78 +$61 07-04 15:00
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +129 $53 40¢ $52 $-1 07-19 22:54
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +250 $35 18¢ $45 +$10 07-12 17:45
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-26 12:50
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +209 $31 $2 $-30 05-28 10:11