Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$291
Hit rate
94.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,834
lifetime
Volume
$252.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$8.93K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$256
Politics
40% 75% $-69
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,382 $-5,845 86¢ $-5489 +$357 06-16 01:08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,500 $1,287 29¢ $1.3K +$18 06-30 06:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -764 $-1,000 65¢ $-497 +$504 06-27 10:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -647 $-568 75¢ $-485 +$83 06-20 06:11
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -1,312 $-420 24¢ $-315 +$105 06-05 02:23
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +379 $208 62¢ $237 +$29 06-30 14:51
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -807 $-257 28¢ $-222 +$35 06-18 09:10
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -288 $-135 41¢ $-118 +$18 06-17 08:53
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -673 $-100 12¢ $-81 +$19 06-30 11:13
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -435 $-139 17¢ $-74 +$65 06-05 02:23
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +1,973 $355 $48 $-307 06-06 20:31
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +1,613 $656 $41 $-615 06-29 10:43
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +209 $31 $11 $-20 05-28 10:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 06-26 12:50