Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$313
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
19
2,842 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.94K
$370.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$8.22K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
69% 51% +$21,153
Politics
29% 55% -$10,378
Crypto
1% 0% -$924
Sports
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? Yes +5,354 $2,915 38¢ $2.0K -$907 11-05 15:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,456 -$830 95¢ $-1383 -$553 05-09 05:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,250 $1,151 95¢ $1.2K +$37 10-27 21:06
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -3,967 -$1,326 26¢ $-1012 +$315 07-29 14:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,559 $3,425 4¢ $610 -$2,815 10-06 19:48
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,871 $823 22¢ $412 -$411 11-04 13:20
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -2,148 -$612 17¢ $-365 +$247 07-20 08:18
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -9,699 -$644 3¢ $-262 +$382 07-24 03:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,816 -$4,738 5¢ $-219 +$4,519 09-25 08:19
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -515 -$227 36¢ $-186 +$41 07-26 01:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,307 -$730 6¢ $-150 +$580 09-23 08:34
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? Yes -653 -$98 17¢ $-111 -$13 07-19 15:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -100 -$81 92¢ $-92 -$11 07-09 04:28
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -435 -$139 18¢ $-76 +$63 06-05 02:23
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $1,525 22¢ $68 -$1,457 10-26 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -809 -$179 4¢ $-31 +$148 09-23 00:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -794 -$128 3¢ $-24 +$104 09-11 14:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -453 -$43 2¢ $-11 +$32 09-11 13:58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 -$30 3¢ $-8 +$22 09-04 04:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +27 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 07-28 07:30