Average-Jellybeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

20,859

lifetime

Volume

$47.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 08-12 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$3

Politics

36% 100% +$19

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 2067 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8,221	$17.5K	162,219	147,528	+14,691	open	—	08-13 03:33
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1,500	$7.2K	7,898	7,758	+140	Yes	+$19	05-09 04:30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	319	$4.8K	14,225	11,691	+2,533	open	—	08-13 02:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	5,786	$4.5K	44,723	38,481	+6,243	open	—	08-12 22:56
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	3,883	$2.6K	33,126	23,094	+10,032	open	—	08-12 17:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	180	$2.2K	12,993	10,285	+2,707	open	—	07-24 16:54
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	140	$1.6K	998	836	+162	open	—	04-24 03:44
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	51	$1.4K	25,972	17,872	+8,100	open	—	05-22 09:48
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	160	$1.2K	11,490	8,784	+2,705	open	—	08-11 09:18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	31	$765	625	679	-54	open	—	03-23 16:14
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	44	$756	6,620	3,351	+3,269	open	—	08-11 17:44
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	89	$644	8,348	4,086	+4,262	open	—	08-04 16:11
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	95	$475	2,800	1,954	+846	open	—	08-11 23:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	35	$459	706	779	-74	open	—	06-17 16:51
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	48	$325	194	184	+10	Yes	+$3	04-22 15:39
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	109	$300	2,817	1,571	+1,246	open	—	08-09 14:34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$223	0	486	-486	open	—	06-04 12:24
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	72	$213	4,313	5,952	-1,639	open	—	07-06 08:51
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$154	0	183	-183	open	—	07-11 10:25
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	9	$129	4,889	1,230	+3,659	open	—	04-10 06:06
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	67	$109	1,428	616	+812	open	—	08-12 21:28
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	9	$62	29	36	-7	open	—	04-12 16:42
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$27	914	0	+914	open	—	06-13 03:10
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	7	$22	0	104	-104	open	—	08-12 23:05
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	05-28 23:06
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	5	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	06-04 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:33:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	4¢	$14	0x824f6c…
08-13 03:27:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe336e5…
08-13 03:13:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0f3573…
08-13 03:10:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xc0b149…
08-13 02:35:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xf6cbc2…
08-12 23:05:43	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x574810…
08-12 22:56:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0xf60678…
08-12 22:42:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe2fe81…
08-12 22:00:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd56ab8…
08-12 21:46:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xd24a6c…
08-12 21:28:06	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x9edbf0…
08-12 21:27:57	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe098d5…
08-12 20:12:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0x83a08a…
08-12 17:53:27	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xbdf177…
08-12 15:45:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	218	4¢	$8	0x88470e…
08-12 15:39:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xacc6d6…
08-12 15:13:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf935cb…
08-12 15:13:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x884235…
08-12 15:13:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x7eab7a…
08-12 15:13:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x023f3c…
08-12 15:13:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	4¢	$4	0x08302b…
08-12 15:00:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf3bd56…
08-12 14:48:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x85ab80…
08-12 14:39:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xee443c…
08-12 14:35:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x37fb89…
08-12 14:28:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x93fb99…
08-12 14:21:54	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4bbc16…
08-12 13:59:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa28304…
08-12 13:52:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x621278…
08-12 13:49:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa9ed68…
08-12 13:34:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0b0dad…
08-12 13:21:51	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf56639…
08-12 13:14:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x974161…
08-12 13:14:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0x8e3ce7…
08-12 13:11:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfea949…
08-12 12:29:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc3f01a…
08-12 12:24:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd40125…
08-12 12:23:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xd6e244…
08-12 12:23:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x3a89ff…
08-12 12:23:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x977abb…
08-12 12:22:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcf76ae…
08-12 12:22:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xcd2d95…
08-12 12:22:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xa70974…
08-12 12:21:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x9fa779…
08-12 12:16:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x74ccbd…
08-12 11:58:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe07631…
08-12 11:38:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd4dec1…
08-12 11:30:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3640b5…
08-12 11:17:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc021ab…
08-12 11:03:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb95465…
08-12 11:02:42	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xa44aa7…
08-12 10:49:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3cf24b…
08-12 10:38:58	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0xb67b4a…
08-12 10:35:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x746403…
08-12 10:23:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	322	4¢	$12	0x1fcc5d…
08-12 10:18:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	582	4¢	$22	0x9c6dfe…
08-12 06:32:49	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x8da1d6…
08-11 23:35:19	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x5b241f…
08-11 21:13:28	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x678cec…
08-11 20:38:21	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x11aed6…
08-11 17:44:55	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0xb08400…
08-11 16:31:30	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x909f98…
08-11 16:25:18	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x34fb8b…
08-11 14:58:45	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x03055e…
08-11 14:40:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	4¢	$7	0x1c17cc…
08-11 14:39:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x0b4db6…
08-11 14:39:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xfc1da8…
08-11 14:39:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xe085d4…
08-11 14:31:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8bd506…
08-11 14:07:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x533200…
08-11 13:29:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xeb10f0…
08-11 13:25:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x072d7e…
08-11 13:20:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x66e509…
08-11 13:05:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x13ff04…
08-11 12:40:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd5a05a…
08-11 12:24:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x091085…
08-11 12:00:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb7d703…
08-11 11:30:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x799345…
08-11 11:14:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x4e6b5f…
08-11 11:13:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x77545f…
08-11 11:13:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xe29056…
08-11 11:10:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xffea40…
08-11 11:10:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x5bcb2d…
08-11 11:09:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xf83c43…
08-11 11:08:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xc28292…
08-11 11:07:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xf835ef…
08-11 11:07:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x024f12…
08-11 11:05:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xefe05b…
08-11 10:52:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x34d999…
08-11 10:45:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa3064…
08-11 10:03:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	582	4¢	$22	0x3600f1…
08-11 09:18:40	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	SELL	123	4¢	$5	0x3e405a…
08-11 07:27:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0ce4a7…
08-11 07:27:40	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x19b00c…
08-11 05:30:45	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1fa50c…
08-11 05:30:36	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x741879…
08-10 23:56:27	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x64862d…
08-10 23:56:18	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xccea93…
08-10 19:57:51	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x6278cd…
08-10 18:40:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xb555e5…