Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$820
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
19,957
lifetime
Volume
$45.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$4.09K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-23 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$3
Politics
37% 100% +$19
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 2067 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +36,492 $1,905 $1.4K $-500 07-23 04:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +17,925 $712 $547 $-165 07-23 03:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,544 $375 15¢ $369 $-6 07-23 12:25
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -486 $-223 65¢ $-316 $-92 06-04 12:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +7,004 $329 $312 $-17 07-23 11:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +4,400 $269 $308 +$39 07-22 06:02
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -183 $-154 82¢ $-150 +$4 07-11 10:25
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +3,384 $205 $147 $-58 07-22 19:08
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,967 $5 $118 +$113 07-06 08:51
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +4,056 $138 $107 $-31 07-09 22:37
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,061 $97 $85 $-12 07-23 04:14
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +3,820 $152 $82 $-70 07-20 19:45
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -74 $-30 74¢ $-54 $-24 06-17 16:51
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +899 $39 $40 +$0 07-20 06:51
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +616 $28 $28 +$0 07-12 16:02
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +914 $27 $26 $-2 06-13 03:10
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes -13 $-3 17¢ $-2 +$1 06-10 11:53