Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$909
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
15,835
lifetime
Volume
$40.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$3.66K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-03 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$3
Politics
38% 100% +$19
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 2015 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +33,729 $1,817 $1.1K $-687 07-03 19:58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +15,896 $640 $707 +$68 07-03 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,758 $437 15¢ $400 $-37 07-03 14:05
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -486 $-223 65¢ $-316 $-92 06-04 12:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +5,000 $255 $238 $-17 07-03 20:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +4,285 $304 $236 $-68 07-03 13:08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +3,373 $204 $202 $-2 06-26 05:53
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +3,778 $159 $119 $-40 07-02 19:29
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +3,361 $122 $81 $-41 06-26 09:56
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +607 $62 12¢ $70 +$7 07-03 18:48
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,965 $38 $46 +$8 07-02 07:53
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +898 $44 $45 +$1 07-03 19:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -74 $-30 48¢ $-35 $-5 06-17 16:51
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +914 $27 $22 $-5 06-13 03:10
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +318 $13 $14 +$1 06-30 00:24
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes -13 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 11:53