Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$751
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
13,545
lifetime
Volume
$39.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$3.53K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-02 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$3
Politics
38% 100% +$19
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 1037 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +32,986 $1,796 $1.2K $-625 07-02 17:56
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +15,888 $643 $675 +$33 07-02 17:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,552 $408 16¢ $396 $-13 07-02 18:08
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -486 $-223 68¢ $-328 $-104 06-04 12:24
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +3,373 $204 $196 $-9 06-26 05:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +2,156 $162 $183 +$21 07-01 21:27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +2,979 $161 $159 $-1 07-02 02:29
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +3,022 $136 $127 $-9 07-02 17:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +3,361 $122 $86 $-36 06-26 09:56
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +539 $58 $49 $-9 07-02 17:43
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,965 $38 $46 +$8 07-02 07:53
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +881 $43 $44 +$1 07-02 05:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -74 $-30 46¢ $-34 $-4 06-17 16:51
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +914 $27 $23 $-4 06-13 03:10
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +318 $13 $14 +$1 06-30 00:24
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes -13 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 11:53