Realized P&L
-$20.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
8.5%
Resolved
381
Trades
27,115
lifetime
Volume
$24.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-10 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 86% -$19,996
Politics
10% 49% -$82
Other
5% 56% +$46
Tech
1% 53% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$2
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 10-10 16:34
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 +$0 10-10 16:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 95¢ $-2 $0 10-10 16:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 10-10 16:34
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 +$0 10-10 16:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 90¢ $-1 +$0 10-10 16:34
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-16 01:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-08 22:25
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 05-27 06:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$0 07-10 10:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 06-25 18:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 06-15 09:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $0 35¢ $0 $0 06-02 16:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 07-05 21:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +7 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 06-19 13:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-23 13:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 06-10 00:11
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-01 20:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 47¢ $0 $0 06-16 12:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 +$0 07-01 13:54
US recession by end of 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-16 15:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 06-26 06:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 19¢ $0 $0 06-12 09:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 29¢ $0 $0 06-05 01:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 +$0 07-01 13:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 06-26 19:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 06-03 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 $0 06-11 02:47