Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15,317
lifetime
Volume
$22.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-05 06:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
89%
Politics
7%
Other
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 1096 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +6 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-05 00:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-3 $-1 06-20 10:42
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +26 $4 10¢ $3 $-2 07-04 18:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$1 06-26 18:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-03 09:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 06-16 05:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-1 18¢ $-2 $-0 07-04 14:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-29 13:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 19:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 17:16
US recession by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 15:20
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-24 21:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-08 12:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 00:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -1 $-1 38¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 06:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $0 $-0 06-16 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -0 $-0 74¢ $-0 $-0 06-11 02:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +0 $-0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-08 11:38
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -0 $0 52¢ $-0 $-0 06-17 21:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-28 11:14