Inferior-Prevalence 0x97520e…de20fe
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,576
lifetime
Volume
$21.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$79
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 00:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
93% — —
Politics
5% — —
Other
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 892 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +17 $10 88¢ $15 +$5 06-09 09:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-19 38¢ $-12 +$7 06-03 11:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-1 06-03 07:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -37 $-9 16¢ $-6 +$3 06-01 23:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +7 $4 64¢ $4 +$0 06-09 23:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$1 05-29 07:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -4 $-3 80¢ $-3 $-1 06-08 11:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4 $3 76¢ $3 +$0 06-07 22:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$1 06-05 11:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -5 $-2 45¢ $-2 $-0 06-09 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -3 $-2 70¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 16:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-07 19:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 06-10 04:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 06-09 11:17
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 23:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 19:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes -5 $-2 20¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 16:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-08 12:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +2 $0 25¢ $1 +$0 06-09 18:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-09 19:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -1 $-1 38¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 06:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -7 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 13:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -1 $-1 77¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 00:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No -2 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$1 06-05 15:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes -1 $-1 34¢ $-0 +$0 06-04 19:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +0 $0 75¢ $0 $-0 06-10 05:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 20¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 15:57
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 04:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +0 $-0 40¢ $0 +$0 06-03 08:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $-0 06-01 23:03