Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,563
lifetime
Volume
$59.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$257
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-20 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
75% 25% $-7
Politics
23% 0% $-0
Crypto
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +127 $60 60¢ $77 +$17 07-12 17:16
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +241 $51 18¢ $45 $-6 07-21 03:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +204 $-4 22¢ $44 +$48 07-20 17:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +677 $35 $38 +$3 07-20 19:52
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +191 $13 $16 +$4 07-14 22:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -199 $-30 $-13 +$17 07-10 14:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $9 20¢ $12 +$3 07-17 21:38
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +119 $8 $9 +$1 07-17 09:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $28 42¢ $-2 $-30 07-13 16:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +50 $2 $2 +$0 07-19 16:28
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 07-07 21:43