Near-Season — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

285

Trades

5,712

lifetime

Volume

$107.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-09 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 52% $-22

Politics

33% — —

Other

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1786148400	8	$4.9K	3,078	3,078	+0	open	—	08-08 00:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	17	$4.8K	4,037	4,037	+0	open	—	08-06 03:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$4.1K	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	06-13 06:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$4.1K	2,409	2,409	+0	open	—	05-24 14:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	4	$4.0K	2,062	2,062	+0	open	—	06-08 01:55
will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	20	$3.8K	2,096	2,096	+0	open	—	07-31 22:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	4	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	07-19 02:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	10	$3.4K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	07-26 13:20
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	19	$2.6K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	07-31 18:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$2.4K	2,409	314	+2,095	open	—	05-31 03:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	18	$2.2K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	08-01 05:56
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$2.0K	2,056	0	+2,056	open	—	06-08 19:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	15	$1.8K	2,170	95	+2,075	open	—	08-02 03:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$1.7K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	06-14 10:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	16	$1.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	08-08 02:23
btc updown 5m 1786147200	6	$1.6K	925	925	+0	open	—	08-08 00:03
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$1.5K	832	832	+0	open	—	07-01 14:04
btc updown 5m 1786149900	6	$1.4K	931	931	+0	open	—	08-08 00:49
btc updown 5m 1786148700	4	$1.2K	712	712	+0	open	—	08-08 00:29
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	10	$1.2K	1,358	1,358	+0	open	—	08-04 18:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	6	$1.2K	676	676	+0	open	—	08-01 05:56
will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	6	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-16 19:34
btc updown 5m 1786149000	4	$1.0K	667	667	+0	open	—	08-08 00:34
btc updown 5m 1786153500	10	$1.0K	671	671	+0	open	—	08-08 01:49
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	07-04 07:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$1.0K	0	1,493	-1,493	open	—	05-28 15:10
btc updown 5m 1786156200	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	open	—	08-08 02:33
btc updown 5m 1786152900	10	$1.0K	594	594	+0	open	—	08-08 01:39
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$1000	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	07-03 17:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$993	714	714	+0	open	—	05-29 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 15:28:21	btc updown 5m 1786289100	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xee9281…
08-09 05:01:22	btc updown 5m 1786251600	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0xb452c7…
08-09 05:00:21	btc updown 5m 1786251600	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xac8db3…
08-09 04:58:33	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Down	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x0c942b…
08-09 04:58:00	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x964c2d…
08-09 04:57:09	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Down	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x410b19…
08-09 04:56:57	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3d4712…
08-09 04:56:12	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Up	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x93ccf4…
08-09 04:54:58	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2fb80c…
08-09 04:52:21	btc updown 5m 1786251000	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa09b7e…
08-09 04:51:49	btc updown 5m 1786251000	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xebc8dd…
08-09 04:51:18	btc updown 5m 1786251000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x111c06…
08-09 04:30:58	btc updown 5m 1786249800	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xdf8172…
08-09 04:30:48	btc updown 5m 1786249800	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc3618c…
08-09 04:25:46	btc updown 5m 1786249500	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4533ee…
08-09 04:22:12	btc updown 5m 1786249200	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa790a5…
08-09 04:21:54	btc updown 5m 1786249200	Down	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x521d38…
08-09 04:21:16	btc updown 5m 1786249200	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x71283a…
08-09 04:20:48	btc updown 5m 1786249200	Down	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xc7f35b…
08-09 04:20:19	btc updown 5m 1786249200	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xd16be2…
08-09 04:16:06	btc updown 5m 1786248900	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6cfed6…
08-09 04:12:45	btc updown 5m 1786248600	Down	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x12a99e…
08-09 04:10:42	btc updown 5m 1786248600	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdabb24…
08-09 04:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2474a8…
08-09 04:03:19	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x921643…
08-09 04:03:03	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd44955…
08-09 04:02:45	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0xee6f09…
08-09 04:02:25	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x04757d…
08-09 04:01:58	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x228870…
08-09 04:00:55	btc updown 5m 1786248000	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0a1c3b…
08-09 03:45:37	btc updown 5m 1786247100	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x52fa37…
08-09 03:45:24	btc updown 5m 1786247100	Up	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0xd2c13b…
08-09 03:45:16	btc updown 5m 1786247100	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf43225…
08-09 03:42:16	btc updown 5m 1786246800	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9ef2a1…
08-09 03:41:51	btc updown 5m 1786246800	Down	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0xf8bc41…
08-09 03:40:52	btc updown 5m 1786246800	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x828bfb…
08-09 03:40:06	btc updown 5m 1786246500	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x95854e…
08-09 03:36:09	btc updown 5m 1786246500	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1ee7d5…
08-09 03:33:43	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Down	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x1da18d…
08-09 03:33:25	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6aa6d3…
08-09 03:31:39	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Up	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0x8dc744…
08-09 03:31:33	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd50326…
08-09 03:30:51	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Up	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x092b4e…
08-09 03:30:40	btc updown 5m 1786246200	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x155439…
08-09 03:29:07	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x67485a…
08-09 03:28:16	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x5b24b5…
08-09 03:27:49	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xc918ce…
08-09 03:27:33	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5861d3…
08-09 03:26:25	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	SELL	72	62¢	$44	0xd0fd99…
08-09 03:25:51	btc updown 5m 1786245900	Down	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x921084…
08-09 03:14:37	btc updown 5m 1786245300	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x70b931…
08-09 03:12:36	btc updown 5m 1786245000	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb30078…
08-09 03:11:22	btc updown 5m 1786245000	Up	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0xa955ff…
08-09 03:10:21	btc updown 5m 1786245000	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe5a514…
08-09 03:07:45	btc updown 5m 1786244700	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2b8980…
08-09 03:07:01	btc updown 5m 1786244700	Up	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x26a975…
08-09 03:06:31	btc updown 5m 1786244700	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdb227e…
08-09 03:00:24	btc updown 5m 1786244400	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1c99f2…
08-09 02:58:12	btc updown 5m 1786244100	Up	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x1ab2be…
08-09 02:56:24	btc updown 5m 1786244100	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa45fbf…
08-09 02:56:04	btc updown 5m 1786244100	Up	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x314c07…
08-09 02:55:48	btc updown 5m 1786244100	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xafa9b6…
08-09 02:54:24	btc updown 5m 1786243800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b855f…
08-09 02:53:33	btc updown 5m 1786243800	Up	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x6d256e…
08-09 02:52:28	btc updown 5m 1786243800	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x019fb5…
08-09 02:52:01	btc updown 5m 1786243800	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x563760…
08-09 02:51:49	btc updown 5m 1786243800	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x39f688…
08-09 02:49:25	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x19cb8f…
08-09 02:48:48	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Up	SELL	26	44¢	$12	0x536251…
08-09 02:47:36	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeced2d…
08-09 02:47:07	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x30c321…
08-09 02:45:21	btc updown 5m 1786243500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7bcb2e…
08-09 02:43:04	btc updown 5m 1786243200	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7f1f2a…
08-09 02:41:15	btc updown 5m 1786243200	Up	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x0c93a3…
08-09 02:41:04	btc updown 5m 1786243200	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbdb369…
08-09 02:40:36	btc updown 5m 1786243200	Up	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x3be4f1…
08-09 02:40:24	btc updown 5m 1786243200	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc6c47b…
08-09 02:39:07	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0bcfc3…
08-09 02:38:00	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x5ccdd3…
08-09 02:37:45	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0ca8f6…
08-09 02:36:40	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x0253bd…
08-09 02:36:22	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x41be23…
08-09 02:35:33	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Down	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xa63aed…
08-09 02:35:21	btc updown 5m 1786242900	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1ab6f6…
08-09 02:34:54	btc updown 5m 1786242600	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x136305…
08-09 02:34:40	btc updown 5m 1786242600	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x89dee6…
08-09 02:33:28	btc updown 5m 1786242600	Down	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x0fbdbf…
08-09 02:33:16	btc updown 5m 1786242600	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd3db9d…
08-09 02:29:01	btc updown 5m 1786242300	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa2f5da…
08-09 02:28:42	btc updown 5m 1786242300	Up	SELL	41	45¢	$18	0xddeb79…
08-09 02:28:21	btc updown 5m 1786242300	Up	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x75cc00…
08-09 02:27:15	btc updown 5m 1786242300	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x3fc041…
08-09 02:26:39	btc updown 5m 1786242300	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2e5a45…
08-09 02:23:55	btc updown 5m 1786242000	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x87b91f…
08-09 01:58:31	btc updown 5m 1786240500	Down	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x6a390e…
08-09 01:56:49	btc updown 5m 1786240500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x79c738…
08-09 01:54:24	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x340911…
08-09 01:51:33	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7321ba…
08-09 01:50:48	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Down	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0x897afd…
08-09 01:50:31	btc updown 5m 1786240200	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0a2850…