Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$836
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
118
Trades
821
lifetime
Volume
$119.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$20.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 08-18 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
69% 38% +$1
Politics
30% 27% -$63
Crypto
0% 4% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +3,273 $3,062 98¢ $3.2K +$135 08-18 16:29
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +2,131 $1,667 91¢ $1.9K +$272 08-16 10:32
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +1,983 $1,822 93¢ $1.8K +$20 08-18 16:12
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,770 $1,639 97¢ $1.7K +$77 08-18 16:16
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,669 $1,431 88¢ $1.5K +$29 08-18 16:20
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +1,244 $1,037 100¢ $1.2K +$204 08-18 11:23
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +1,182 $1,087 95¢ $1.1K +$40 08-18 16:27
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +1,136 $706 84¢ $954 +$248 08-16 10:09
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +1,048 $652 76¢ $796 +$144 08-16 09:57
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +996 $583 57¢ $573 -$10 08-16 10:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +721 $416 79¢ $569 +$153 08-15 22:43
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +541 $303 88¢ $473 +$170 08-16 08:58
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 No +996 $413 42¢ $423 +$10 08-16 10:56
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +497 $253 80¢ $397 +$144 08-16 10:20
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +484 $271 82¢ $394 +$123 08-16 09:36
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +499 $175 76¢ $382 +$207 08-16 10:43
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +508 $213 72¢ $368 +$155 08-15 22:58
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +1,048 $395 24¢ $251 -$144 08-16 09:57
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +488 $332 46¢ $227 -$105 08-15 21:37
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,669 $239 12¢ $209 -$31 08-18 16:20
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 Yes — +2,131 $463 9¢ $192 -$272 08-16 10:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +168 $163 99¢ $166 +$4 08-17 22:51
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +191 $162 81¢ $155 -$8 08-15 14:07
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +2,149 $174 7¢ $154 -$20 08-18 16:12
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +955 $363 16¢ $153 -$210 08-16 10:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +721 $304 21¢ $151 -$153 08-15 22:43
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +189 $130 76¢ $144 +$14 08-15 18:25
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +508 $294 28¢ $140 -$155 08-15 22:58
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +499 $324 24¢ $117 -$207 08-16 10:43
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +169 $115 69¢ $117 +$2 08-15 14:46