Realized P&L (90d)
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$915
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved (90d)
118
Trades (90d)
821
821 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$119.0K
$119.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$21.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 08-18 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
69% 38% +$1
Politics
30% 27% -$63
Crypto
0% 4% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +3,273 $3,062 98¢ $3.2K +$130 08-18 16:29
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +2,131 $1,667 91¢ $1.9K +$272 08-16 10:32
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +1,983 $1,822 93¢ $1.8K +$23 08-18 16:12
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,770 $1,639 97¢ $1.7K +$83 08-18 16:16
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,669 $1,431 84¢ $1.4K -$21 08-18 16:20
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +1,244 $1,037 100¢ $1.2K +$204 08-18 11:23
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +1,182 $1,087 92¢ $1.1K +$5 08-18 16:27
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +1,136 $706 88¢ $994 +$288 08-16 10:09
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 No +1,386 $776 58¢ $811 +$35 08-16 10:45
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +1,048 $652 70¢ $728 +$76 08-16 09:57
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +1,386 $610 42¢ $575 -$35 08-16 10:45
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 No +996 $413 56¢ $553 +$140 08-16 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +721 $416 68¢ $494 +$77 08-15 22:43
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +541 $303 87¢ $470 +$168 08-16 08:58
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +996 $583 44¢ $443 -$140 08-16 10:57
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +497 $253 71¢ $353 +$99 08-16 10:20
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +508 $213 66¢ $333 +$119 08-15 22:58
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +499 $175 66¢ $329 +$155 08-16 10:43
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +484 $271 68¢ $329 +$58 08-16 09:36
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +1,048 $395 31¢ $325 -$71 08-16 09:57
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,669 $239 16¢ $259 +$19 08-18 16:20
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +488 $332 46¢ $227 -$105 08-15 21:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +721 $304 32¢ $227 -$77 08-15 22:43
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 Yes — +2,131 $463 9¢ $192 -$272 08-16 10:32
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +508 $294 34¢ $175 -$119 08-15 22:58
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +499 $324 34¢ $170 -$155 08-16 10:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +168 $163 99¢ $167 +$4 08-17 22:51
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +484 $213 32¢ $155 -$58 08-16 09:36
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +169 $115 90¢ $151 +$36 08-15 14:46
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +2,149 $174 7¢ $150 -$24 08-18 16:12