Realized P&L (90d)
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$563
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved (90d)
118
Trades (90d)
821
821 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$119.0K
$119.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$20.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-11
last 08-18 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
69% 38% +$1
Politics
30% 27% -$63
Crypto
0% 4% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +3,273 $3,062 98¢ $3.2K +$135 08-18 16:29
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +2,131 $1,667 91¢ $1.9K +$272 08-16 10:32
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +1,983 $1,822 93¢ $1.8K +$21 08-18 16:12
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +1,770 $1,639 98¢ $1.7K +$90 08-18 16:16
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,669 $1,431 86¢ $1.4K +$4 08-18 16:20
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +1,244 $1,037 100¢ $1.2K +$204 08-18 11:23
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +1,182 $1,087 95¢ $1.1K +$37 08-18 16:27
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +1,136 $706 84¢ $948 +$242 08-16 10:09
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +1,048 $652 74¢ $770 +$118 08-16 09:57
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 No +996 $413 60¢ $597 +$185 08-16 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +721 $416 78¢ $566 +$149 08-15 22:43
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +541 $303 89¢ $481 +$178 08-16 08:58
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +996 $583 40¢ $398 -$185 08-16 10:57
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +497 $253 72¢ $358 +$104 08-16 10:20
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +499 $175 70¢ $352 +$177 08-16 10:43
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 No +508 $213 66¢ $335 +$122 08-15 22:58
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +484 $271 68¢ $329 +$58 08-16 09:36
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +1,048 $395 26¢ $278 -$118 08-16 09:57
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,669 $239 14¢ $234 -$6 08-18 16:20
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +488 $332 46¢ $227 -$105 08-15 21:37
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 Yes — +2,131 $463 9¢ $192 -$272 08-16 10:32
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221272 Yes +508 $294 34¢ $173 -$122 08-15 22:58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +168 $163 100¢ $167 +$4 08-17 22:51
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +955 $363 16¢ $158 -$205 08-16 10:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +721 $304 22¢ $155 -$149 08-15 22:43
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +484 $213 32¢ $155 -$58 08-16 09:36
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +2,149 $174 7¢ $153 -$22 08-18 16:12
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 No +191 $162 78¢ $148 -$14 08-15 14:07
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +499 $324 30¢ $147 -$177 08-16 10:43
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 Yes +497 $243 28¢ $139 -$104 08-16 10:21