Realized P&L
+$62
Unrealized P&L
+$761
Hit rate
32.8%
Resolved
39
Trades
624
lifetime
Volume
$117.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$189
Open exposure
$20.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-15
last 08-18 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
74% 36% +$75
Politics
26% 18% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2,970 $2,768 98¢ $2.9K +$133 08-18 16:12
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +2,131 $1,972 97¢ $2.1K +$93 08-18 15:53
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 No — +2,197 $1,720 91¢ $2.0K +$279 08-16 10:32
will trump visit north korea by december 31 No +2,131 $1,957 93¢ $2.0K +$25 08-18 14:14
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,690 $1,449 86¢ $1.5K +$4 08-18 15:54
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 No +1,023 $573 82¢ $839 +$266 08-16 09:36
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +955 $592 84¢ $802 +$210 08-16 10:09
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +1,145 $815 68¢ $773 -$42 08-15 22:17
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by october 31 2026 20260811165319370 No +720 $602 100¢ $718 +$116 08-18 11:28
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +749 $689 95¢ $710 +$21 08-18 16:18
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 No +937 $586 74¢ $698 +$112 08-16 09:57
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +656 $621 96¢ $630 +$10 08-18 11:28
will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271 No +657 $368 88¢ $575 +$207 08-16 08:58
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +996 $583 57¢ $568 -$15 08-16 10:56
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 No +996 $413 43¢ $428 +$15 08-16 10:57
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +508 $264 78¢ $399 +$135 08-15 22:52
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 No +497 $253 80¢ $397 +$144 08-16 10:21
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 No +499 $175 76¢ $382 +$207 08-16 10:43
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +939 $272 32¢ $305 +$33 08-15 22:17
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +479 $153 54¢ $256 +$103 08-15 22:55
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 No +301 $162 82¢ $247 +$85 08-15 20:34
total internet blackout in iran by december 31 2026 Yes +937 $351 26¢ $239 -$112 08-16 09:57
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,690 $240 14¢ $237 -$4 08-18 15:54
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +479 $326 46¢ $223 -$103 08-15 22:55
will marco rubio attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221263 Yes — +2,197 $477 9¢ $198 -$279 08-16 10:32
will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221264 Yes +1,023 $450 18¢ $184 -$266 08-16 09:36
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 Yes +1,136 $430 16¢ $182 -$248 08-16 10:09
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +2,131 $174 7¢ $149 -$25 08-18 14:14
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269 Yes +499 $324 24¢ $117 -$207 08-16 10:43
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 Yes +508 $244 22¢ $109 -$135 08-15 22:51