Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$193
Hit rate
78.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
200
lifetime
Volume
$4.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.09K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-07 13:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% +$22
Other
38%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,257 $805 78¢ $987 +$182 06-06 22:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +122 $28 35¢ $43 +$15 06-07 13:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $22 88¢ $27 +$5 06-06 19:42
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $17 16¢ $13 $-4 06-01 00:42
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $9 30¢ $11 +$2 06-02 16:41
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $8 $7 $-2 05-29 19:24
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 $6 $-4 05-28 08:31