Speedy-Excellence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.79K

Unrealized P&L

+$748

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

533

Trades

5,612

lifetime

Volume

$1.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$311

Open exposure

$8.99K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Politics

89% 77% +$15,646

Other

11% 73% -$10,054

Tech

0% 50% -$730

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 20% -$72

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,202	$2,832	98¢	$3.1K	+$311	06-28 04:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+3,200	$3,015	98¢	$3.1K	+$119	07-08 18:36
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+5,803	$1,502	29¢	$1.7K	+$152	11-02 04:21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+372	$350	97¢	$359	+$10	07-02 08:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+400	$258	62¢	$250	-$8	10-26 03:31
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	+179	$169	99¢	$177	+$8	07-01 07:02
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+380	$138	42¢	$160	+$21	10-26 11:05
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+262	$20	44¢	$115	+$95	10-28 15:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$7	84¢	$0	+$7	07-22 15:30
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	67¢	$0	$0	08-25 03:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+0	-$33	81¢	$0	+$33	10-16 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	39	$65.4K	31,752	35,902	-4,151	Yes	+$394	05-26 02:20
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	95	$51.9K	32,345	25,898	+6,448	No	+$281	01-24 07:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	164	$49.9K	38,331	33,905	+4,426	No	+$866	02-01 02:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	26	$42.3K	22,184	22,996	-812	Yes	-$572	05-23 10:11
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	34	$39.8K	21,050	21,050	+0	No	+$349	02-28 06:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	79	$34.7K	25,791	23,787	+2,005	No	+$4,868	04-28 03:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	102	$33.4K	21,165	20,172	+993	No	-$136	04-01 01:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	34	$31.1K	15,963	15,963	+0	No	+$617	03-15 10:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	29	$30.4K	21,146	22,646	-1,500	No	+$1,238	05-08 06:54
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	15	$30.0K	15,111	15,111	+0	No	+$42	02-09 04:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	45	$26.7K	15,905	12,088	+3,817	No	+$640	05-19 05:05
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	27	$24.1K	12,217	12,232	-15	No	+$96	01-30 04:48
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	56	$22.2K	12,687	10,373	+2,313	No	+$7	01-27 04:13
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	22	$22.2K	11,328	11,328	+0	No	+$161	02-10 05:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	32	$21.7K	11,895	12,895	-1,000	No	+$708	04-01 04:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	152	$21.6K	15,981	15,981	+0	Yes	+$1,544	05-12 21:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	38	$21.6K	11,988	11,385	+603	No	+$701	04-15 06:24
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	44	$21.6K	10,955	10,955	+0	No	+$136	02-24 05:00
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	26	$20.7K	13,653	8,253	+5,400	No	+$119	02-01 12:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	100	$20.7K	12,140	13,140	-1,000	Yes	+$1,178	05-12 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$19.6K	10,076	10,076	+0	No	+$267	05-25 02:44
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	11	$19.0K	9,624	9,624	+0	No	+$95	01-29 03:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	51	$18.9K	12,415	12,587	-172	No	+$147	05-27 08:20
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	32	$18.3K	9,412	9,412	+0	No	+$105	02-24 09:10
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	8	$17.8K	11,077	7,500	+3,577	No	+$549	02-23 05:13
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	26	$17.0K	10,939	6,214	+4,725	No	+$35	01-28 02:42
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	14	$15.6K	10,085	5,545	+4,540	No	+$42	02-04 04:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	64	$15.3K	15,163	13,228	+1,936	No	-$244	01-25 15:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$14.9K	7,749	7,749	-0	No	+$20	05-10 14:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	28	$14.8K	7,669	7,669	+0	No	+$45	03-06 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 02:38:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	867	36¢	$315	0xb71a92…
11-03 02:37:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xf56c59…
11-02 21:59:54	Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x5979b4…
11-02 20:49:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x6c60e9…
11-02 20:05:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x686700…
11-02 19:08:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x3a95b8…
11-02 19:02:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,091	100¢	$1,087	0xae45c6…
11-02 19:01:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x76a8b9…
11-02 18:03:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	300	39¢	$117	0x42b69f…
11-02 10:41:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	360	59¢	$213	0xb7d713…
11-02 10:40:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	360	59¢	$212	0x6d4585…
11-02 10:39:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xe9a647…
11-02 05:29:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0x37b15b…
11-02 04:21:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x843525…
11-02 02:13:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	179	97¢	$173	0x6a2368…
11-02 02:03:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb97fa7…
11-02 02:01:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x402d35…
11-02 02:01:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1596c8…
11-02 02:00:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7ca870…
11-02 02:00:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf08faa…
11-02 02:00:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbfc904…
11-02 02:00:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xda9a33…
11-02 02:00:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x86c88e…
11-02 01:59:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc7ed8c…
11-02 01:56:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8c93f4…
11-02 01:56:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xc7b207…
11-02 01:55:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x269acc…
11-02 01:55:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x1ce12e…
11-02 01:53:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x103fc8…
11-02 01:38:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x0bd520…
11-02 01:01:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	653	97¢	$635	0x0b7677…
11-02 00:58:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x54a149…
11-01 18:20:25	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	78¢	$160	0x65b8cd…
11-01 16:17:28	Will Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	299	96¢	$287	0x20ce30…
11-01 12:27:31	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0x66ec31…
11-01 12:27:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	22¢	$43	0xcfdec9…
11-01 07:39:04	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	83¢	$243	0x88a404…
11-01 07:27:39	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb85de9…
11-01 07:27:36	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xcfe8f5…
11-01 07:25:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	199	26¢	$52	0x8c3424…
11-01 06:11:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x43cea0…
11-01 05:42:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x29620e…
11-01 05:09:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	63	94¢	$60	0x919755…
11-01 04:59:42	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	SELL	38	88¢	$34	0x11abcc…
11-01 04:51:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x92a9b1…
11-01 04:21:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xa0ac5f…
11-01 03:40:28	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x48b395…
11-01 02:49:40	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	190	83¢	$158	0xed515d…
11-01 01:43:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x272d75…
11-01 01:42:06	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x590ec2…
10-31 15:39:21	Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x4d27c4…
10-31 09:18:42	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x001ef5…
10-31 09:18:28	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x4a5af4…
10-31 08:51:57	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x4bbc06…
10-31 08:22:28	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	222	26¢	$58	0xa4c4b0…
10-31 08:21:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x715a68…
10-31 08:21:40	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	264	26¢	$69	0xadd03c…
10-31 08:21:40	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x968af9…
10-31 08:21:40	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x5aa577…
10-31 08:21:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	46	26¢	$12	0xb9186a…
10-31 08:21:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x974259…
10-31 08:21:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x650256…
10-31 08:21:39	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0x55dadf…
10-31 05:58:10	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x69621f…
10-31 05:52:27	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xeb1d08…
10-31 05:52:25	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	31	80¢	$24	0x3656b4…
10-31 05:52:25	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x270330…
10-31 05:52:25	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x02f44c…
10-31 03:06:34	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x7d692b…
10-30 23:21:54	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xcbc48d…
10-30 22:10:37	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x132d05…
10-30 21:43:55	Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xad0282…
10-30 18:20:49	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe3850c…
10-30 13:36:13	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x9f51ec…
10-30 13:19:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x9646ca…
10-30 13:12:55	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0xe009a5…
10-30 11:36:01	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x96b9ca…
10-30 11:35:31	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xd40ab2…
10-30 11:10:34	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa5ad4e…
10-30 11:09:40	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xdcab34…
10-30 10:40:43	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xf2661f…
10-30 10:15:25	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x1a4c21…
10-30 09:26:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x1c2e35…
10-30 08:31:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	32	84¢	$26	0x71dd4b…
10-30 08:25:07	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xd82e94…
10-30 08:24:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	32	84¢	$26	0x9c5323…
10-30 06:23:45	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x36b167…
10-30 06:23:24	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	68	57¢	$39	0xa104a8…
10-30 05:46:22	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x0f3693…
10-30 05:26:42	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd4ec77…
10-30 04:45:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf44df6…
10-30 04:31:51	Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xba15b4…
10-30 03:56:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x12883d…
10-29 13:49:50	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x09050e…
10-29 13:48:58	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcf8377…
10-29 13:48:58	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb7fe24…
10-29 09:07:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	449	28¢	$126	0x11b841…
10-29 08:33:41	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x3394e6…
10-29 08:28:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	108	39¢	$42	0x333b7f…
10-29 08:20:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x21b64c…