Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
242
lifetime
Volume
$57.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$630
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-30 14:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
31%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -232 $-227 100¢ $-230 $-3 06-04 01:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -290 $-128 58¢ $-170 $-42 05-29 06:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -60 $-46 84¢ $-50 $-4 05-28 13:43
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -425 $-53 10¢ $-40 +$13 05-31 04:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -60 $-34 60¢ $-36 $-2 06-07 12:47
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -25 $-22 99¢ $-25 $-3 06-11 01:58
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? No +25 $19 86¢ $21 +$2 06-23 02:48
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -25 $-18 72¢ $-18 +$0 06-10 07:59
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +20 $17 89¢ $18 +$1 06-15 14:07
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -19 $-17 90¢ $-17 +$1 06-13 15:59
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 05-29 09:11