Big-Repair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

84% 44% +$16

Politics

10% 0% $-5

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-8

Crypto

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$798	408	408	+0	open	—	01-23 17:40
will russia capture viroliubivka by march 31	2	$557	283	283	+0	open	—	03-31 23:36
will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	4	$475	361	127	+235	open	—	03-31 00:49
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	5	$468	294	294	+0	open	—	02-25 11:18
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	4	$363	338	338	+0	open	—	02-16 11:15
will russia capture all of ternuvate by december 31 2026	11	$343	200	240	-40	open	—	07-02 19:05
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	17	$325	373	373	+0	open	—	07-17 16:42
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	11	$324	212	212	+0	open	—	07-13 20:20
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	3	$302	0	505	-505	open	—	01-16 22:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$302	153	153	+0	open	—	04-22 23:30
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	6	$299	150	168	-18	open	—	08-01 13:24
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	2	$286	150	150	+0	open	—	01-30 18:44
will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	2	$275	160	160	+0	open	—	08-04 00:55
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	4	$270	145	145	+0	open	—	04-15 19:56
will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	6	$253	220	220	+0	open	—	08-01 11:43
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	10	$240	146	146	+0	open	—	07-11 14:46
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	33	$239	342	342	+0	open	—	07-26 01:44
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	9	$237	145	145	-0	open	—	06-26 19:27
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$234	0	317	-317	open	—	06-09 19:35
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	2	$234	150	150	+0	open	—	06-28 20:33
alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	14	$231	238	238	+0	open	—	08-09 02:05
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	5	$227	160	110	+50	open	—	07-21 19:47
will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	2	$217	120	120	+0	open	—	06-26 14:50
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	9	$206	114	114	+0	open	—	06-17 14:28
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	7	$203	120	120	+0	open	—	06-25 11:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$201	104	104	+0	open	—	02-16 11:16
will revoluts valuation hit low 95b by august 31 20260731174621604	10	$200	241	87	+154	open	—	08-04 11:21
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	23	$194	985	577	+408	open	—	08-11 12:27
will stripes valuation hit high 250b by december 31	4	$183	132	132	+0	open	—	07-01 09:32
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	18	$174	207	194	+13	open	—	06-16 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:29:27	will russia target kyiv on august 11 2026 20260810162903046	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc92a67…
08-11 12:27:34	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	397	13¢	$50	0xa06474…
08-11 10:55:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x83e247…
08-10 23:40:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9cfbb4…
08-10 21:08:54	will neutrl launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	169	42¢	$71	0xf3f76c…
08-10 09:36:40	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7e3a8d…
08-09 02:05:54	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	97	62¢	$60	0xb34103…
08-09 00:29:57	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	169	15¢	$26	0x79b3dc…
08-09 00:11:04	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	SELL	170	29¢	$49	0x8c712a…
08-08 23:22:52	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xc181f4…
08-08 22:43:57	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	96	43¢	$41	0xf58407…
08-08 22:43:57	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xd75133…
08-08 22:42:54	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x456b0d…
08-08 22:42:01	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x32b7bd…
08-08 20:45:06	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	BUY	120	18¢	$22	0x444300…
08-08 20:43:42	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc033d7…
08-08 20:42:28	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x088007…
08-08 16:53:27	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x52367b…
08-08 11:13:12	will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	Yes	BUY	170	30¢	$51	0x0e742d…
08-08 10:40:37	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8daa29…
08-08 10:40:37	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x885c2f…
08-08 10:40:12	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xe9b9b5…
08-08 10:40:12	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x1c19d2…
08-08 10:09:54	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	SELL	115	66¢	$76	0x3babaa…
08-08 08:31:15	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x3b923c…
08-08 02:56:42	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2ec26d…
08-08 02:46:07	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x686a44…
08-08 02:23:55	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x374afc…
08-08 01:21:13	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x751ba0…
08-08 00:48:43	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30 226	No	SELL	799	5¢	$38	0xff6ae9…
08-07 22:38:37	will hawaii reach coral bleaching alert level 1 by december 31 2026 20260807170348514	No	BUY	175	28¢	$49	0x067dfa…
08-07 21:33:40	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x795fb6…
08-07 14:39:07	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xd43336…
08-07 14:27:27	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd620c5…
08-07 14:20:25	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa60945…
08-07 14:20:22	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xb558af…
08-07 14:19:21	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x83c537…
08-07 13:59:45	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xbff566…
08-07 12:33:55	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x05445c…
08-07 12:33:36	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdf4fc2…
08-07 12:31:12	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x07fbb3…
08-07 11:04:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf3137f…
08-07 03:05:03	will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x4e9184…
08-07 00:13:14	will stripchain launch a token by september 30 2026 20260805194003348	No	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0x109939…
08-06 23:12:08	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xea65e7…
08-06 22:31:35	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	86	62¢	$53	0x1019fc…
08-06 21:52:29	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x19e2f0…
08-06 21:52:15	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x218157…
08-06 21:05:26	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0xd5c133…
08-06 21:05:03	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x14121d…
08-05 23:05:17	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x5cfdf7…
08-05 21:27:27	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x89b104…
08-05 19:10:53	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0xc92e50…
08-05 16:21:32	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0xea9b9f…
08-05 15:06:44	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x13a35a…
08-05 12:51:12	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x76440b…
08-05 12:39:30	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa426be…
08-04 23:57:48	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x0f85d9…
08-04 21:34:26	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb1b76f…
08-04 21:11:30	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0xdb1e7f…
08-04 18:12:29	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x132edf…
08-04 17:36:54	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	Yes	SELL	141	12¢	$17	0xc61b0d…
08-04 16:38:24	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x7df63b…
08-04 16:38:15	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	485	12¢	$60	0x903961…
08-04 16:38:15	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	54	12¢	$7	0x398031…
08-04 14:46:26	will loopscale launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd1407c…
08-04 14:06:56	will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x21b995…
08-04 12:53:02	will bloomberg ipo by march 31 2027 20260729141424615	No	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x89cf96…
08-04 12:52:15	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xdb74c5…
08-04 11:41:54	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x1cc461…
08-04 11:21:27	will revoluts valuation hit low 95b by august 31 20260731174621604	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x4f3b2f…
08-04 10:56:05	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8188d2…
08-04 10:54:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xc43b11…
08-04 10:54:14	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xe7837b…
08-04 10:53:15	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xb2aa2f…
08-04 10:44:30	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x70baf4…
08-04 10:44:30	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x28884f…
08-04 10:38:44	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xc10638…
08-04 10:26:14	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xb2c048…
08-04 10:25:33	will rebels capture gao by december 31 20260706144440995	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xbc4ca3…
08-04 02:11:57	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x7e5f28…
08-04 00:55:36	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	No	SELL	160	90¢	$144	0x09742b…
08-04 00:33:26	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x29b4f7…
08-04 00:30:53	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$3	0xc5b743…
08-04 00:28:54	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf2d5ac…
08-04 00:28:21	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xc2e547…
08-03 22:16:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xabeb1b…
08-03 21:14:33	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6a968f…
08-03 21:13:54	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x1c9769…
08-03 21:13:54	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x19c94d…
08-03 17:09:17	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x0c0d7c…
08-03 17:08:30	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x3d626d…
08-03 15:56:26	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xd842b1…
08-03 15:50:33	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x21f76b…
08-03 04:14:21	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x879b80…
08-03 03:46:12	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4cb6ee…
08-03 02:58:42	will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xbc58f5…
08-03 02:54:29	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xfec459…
08-03 02:54:24	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 30	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xadbb9c…
08-03 01:02:15	will oregon reach d4 exceptional drought by august 31 2026 20260721193813646	No	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0x039954…