Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
55.2%
Resolved
21
Trades
416
lifetime
Volume
$8.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$913
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
72% 44% +$16
Politics
22% 0% $-5
Crypto
2% 0% $-0
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -317 $-234 76¢ $-241 $-6 06-09 19:35
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -209 $-104 52¢ $-110 $-6 06-04 21:35
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -112 $-102 94¢ $-105 $-4 05-30 19:05
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +157 $100 65¢ $102 +$2 05-31 18:57
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +80 $70 88¢ $70 $-0 06-06 13:14
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -72 $-63 90¢ $-64 $-1 05-30 13:44
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +77 $55 82¢ $63 +$8 06-02 11:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +185 $43 29¢ $53 +$10 06-07 22:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +49 $42 92¢ $45 +$2 06-05 10:58
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +51 $40 82¢ $42 +$2 06-09 22:44
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? No -48 $-13 28¢ $-14 $-0 06-08 07:39
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +6 $4 62¢ $4 $-0 05-31 15:16
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +62 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 14:58
Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? No -5 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 09:56