Big-Repair — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

12 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$27

$27 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% $-5

Other

41% 100% +$1

Tech

8% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	+76	$3	12¢	$9	+$6	05-07 15:06
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	+42	$5	11¢	$5	$-0	05-08 22:46
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	+6	$1	22¢	$1	+$0	05-06 21:11
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	-3	$-1	31¢	$-1	+$0	05-07 11:41
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	+60	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	05-07 10:20
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	+11	$0	6¢	$1	+$0	05-07 19:25
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	-21	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-06 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:30:15	NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?	Canada	SELL	62	6¢	$3	0x6d9095…
05-08 22:46:28	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8c59f2…
05-07 21:13:20	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xf14cab…
05-07 21:11:30	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x082adf…
05-07 21:01:21	NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?	Canada	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6c7ce8…
05-07 19:25:32	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xbec525…
05-07 15:06:56	Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?	No	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xf2eaca…
05-07 11:41:17	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x892c7d…
05-07 10:20:02	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xe952ea…
05-06 21:11:41	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x93dab3…
05-06 16:26:50	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xdd5cfd…
05-06 16:26:42	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x13297b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?	2	$8	62	62	+0	open	—	05-10 10:30
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-08 22:46
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$5	54	0	+54	Canes	$-5	05-07 21:13
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?	1	$3	76	0	+76	open	—	05-07 15:06
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$1	0	21	-21	open	—	05-06 16:26
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 21:11
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	1	$1	60	0	+60	open	—	05-07 10:20
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-07 11:41
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$1	0	8	-8	Yes	+$1	05-06 16:26
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$0	11	0	+11	open	—	05-07 19:25