Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$910
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
124
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$211
Open exposure
$12.3K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-08 15:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
41%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,574 $3,900 86¢ $3.9K +$11 06-16 17:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,154 $1,500 72¢ $1.5K +$40 07-08 19:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,193 $1,250 66¢ $1.4K +$187 07-07 14:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,616 $1,300 86¢ $1.4K +$82 06-22 16:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,382 $1,000 96¢ $1.3K +$319 07-05 21:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +935 $650 78¢ $725 +$75 06-26 03:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +726 $600 85¢ $617 +$17 07-02 19:19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +802 $560 75¢ $602 +$42 07-06 04:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,184 $360 42¢ $497 +$137 07-07 21:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +233 $200 88¢ $206 +$6 07-01 02:44
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +169 $100 56¢ $94 $-6 06-24 14:21