Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$891
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
124
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$211
Open exposure
$12.6K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-08 15:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
42%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,574 $3,900 84¢ $3.9K $-35 06-16 17:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +2,575 $1,800 72¢ $1.8K +$41 07-08 23:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,193 $1,250 66¢ $1.5K +$209 07-07 14:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,616 $1,300 86¢ $1.4K +$82 06-22 16:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,382 $1,000 96¢ $1.3K +$319 07-05 21:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +935 $650 77¢ $720 +$70 06-26 03:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +726 $600 86¢ $621 +$21 07-02 19:19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +802 $560 76¢ $614 +$54 07-06 04:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,184 $360 42¢ $492 +$132 07-07 21:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +233 $200 88¢ $205 +$5 07-01 02:44
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +169 $100 56¢ $94 $-6 06-24 14:21