(anonymous) 0x91942d…c21a67
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$183
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$76
22 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 06-19 00:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
38% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-17 21:23
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +13 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 06-17 20:57
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +62 $10 16¢ $10 $-0 06-17 21:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +30 $10 22¢ $7 $-3 06-17 15:19
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? No +11 $10 59¢ $6 $-4 06-17 21:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +50 $10 8¢ $4 $-6 06-18 08:17
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +4 $1 52¢ $2 +$1 06-18 12:15
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$1 06-18 12:15
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $1 70¢ $2 +$1 06-18 12:19
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:18
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:18
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:25
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:19
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-18 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-17 21:25
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 $-0 06-18 15:47
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-18 12:19
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-18 12:20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +31 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-18 12:16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +116 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-18 09:39
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-18 12:00