Frosty-Leaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$51.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

$492

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-09 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

42% 100% +$171

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No		+515	$485	96¢	$492	+$7	06-10 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$7.3K	3,888	3,888	+0	open	—	05-25 06:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$7.1K	6,082	4,450	+1,632	open	—	04-24 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$4.3K	2,355	2,355	+0	open	—	05-13 03:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	11	$3.4K	2,578	1,045	+1,533	open	—	05-22 13:15
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$3.3K	2,276	1,148	+1,128	open	—	04-12 18:04
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$2.5K	1,682	1,682	+0	open	—	04-17 13:44
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	6	$2.4K	3,567	3,567	+0	open	—	04-12 18:01
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	38	$2.3K	4,359	1,823	+2,536	open	—	05-19 21:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	05-24 16:10
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$1.9K	1,104	1,104	+0	open	—	04-09 11:55
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$1.6K	873	873	+0	open	—	04-01 17:17
Nothing Ever Happens: May	15	$1.6K	789	919	-130	open	—	06-01 06:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$1.5K	1,714	0	+1,714	open	—	05-24 16:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	05-24 16:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$924	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	05-23 10:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$753	412	412	+0	open	—	05-14 14:49
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	7	$567	592	0	+592	open	—	05-21 12:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	6	$517	458	114	+343	open	—	05-02 23:10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	2	$485	515	0	+515	open	—	06-10 04:00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	4	$460	494	0	+494	open	—	05-17 11:01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	4	$446	227	227	+0	open	—	05-19 20:44
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$430	220	220	+0	open	—	05-04 05:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	5	$421	469	49	+420	Yes	+$97	05-10 03:53
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$390	424	0	+424	open	—	05-10 14:13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?	3	$282	315	0	+315	open	—	04-28 04:03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	4	$279	316	0	+316	open	—	05-16 16:10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	8	$251	325	0	+325	open	—	05-15 06:16
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	2	$230	234	0	+234	open	—	04-30 16:18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	2	$230	273	0	+273	open	—	05-15 21:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	05-25 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 04:00:25	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	88	95¢	$84	0x2c7fb8…
06-09 14:36:33	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x0d0b1f…
06-09 14:35:19	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	No	BUY	171	94¢	$161	0xc6365a…
06-09 14:31:57	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	427	94¢	$401	0xb44735…
06-01 06:22:25	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	919	100¢	$916	0x9cc29a…
05-28 11:22:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	78	94¢	$73	0x440594…
05-27 06:40:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xc9232a…
05-26 15:04:23	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	217	78¢	$169	0x0677f3…
05-25 22:09:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xc9b9be…
05-25 21:56:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x298312…
05-25 15:23:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xcb15ef…
05-25 15:19:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0x385ea4…
05-25 15:18:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe34b29…
05-25 15:14:45	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x94b6cb…
05-25 15:08:04	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x43f788…
05-25 15:07:38	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0xfb9594…
05-25 14:58:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x55845b…
05-25 14:45:42	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x699f7d…
05-25 13:32:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x613e54…
05-25 06:57:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,663	98¢	$1,622	0xf3a31f…
05-25 04:32:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0xb250f6…
05-24 16:58:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x94bba7…
05-24 16:48:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0x2b28f0…
05-24 16:41:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2168cf…
05-24 16:40:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf12356…
05-24 16:23:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,136	91¢	$1,034	0x3cf1e1…
05-24 16:21:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x70ea0b…
05-24 16:20:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	668	84¢	$561	0x12eb83…
05-24 16:15:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	757	87¢	$659	0x57372f…
05-24 16:10:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	994	98¢	$975	0x6fe652…
05-24 16:09:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,663	96¢	$1,602	0x9f7f28…
05-24 16:04:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0x3a39e2…
05-24 16:02:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0x4bf93d…
05-23 20:46:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,090	94¢	$1,025	0xd08b6b…
05-23 10:40:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	455	87¢	$396	0x2dbb57…
05-23 10:00:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xf4cb4e…
05-23 08:44:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	600	88¢	$528	0x024c65…
05-23 08:41:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x5df094…
05-23 08:25:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0xfd95c7…
05-23 08:11:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0c6038…
05-23 08:07:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0x933c68…
05-23 08:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x097442…
05-23 07:31:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x27f5db…
05-22 13:15:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0x287c85…
05-22 13:14:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x8b162c…
05-22 04:52:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xb11809…
05-22 04:51:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x4a1353…
05-22 04:45:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	609	97¢	$593	0x390548…
05-21 12:39:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x9fe85d…
05-21 12:34:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	97¢	$132	0xe78eb2…
05-21 12:18:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x6900e4…
05-21 12:18:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	96¢	$337	0x445e64…
05-21 12:15:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	539	96¢	$515	0x2e1033…
05-21 05:38:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	360	94¢	$337	0x6f3628…
05-20 07:31:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xede931…
05-20 07:21:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x848446…
05-20 07:21:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x6f703c…
05-20 07:21:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x408f37…
05-19 23:06:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x33c73f…
05-19 21:53:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x6b08e8…
05-19 21:28:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xe0fd8c…
05-19 21:12:05	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	39¢	$82	0x47f1eb…
05-19 21:10:45	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	186	38¢	$70	0x270685…
05-19 21:06:15	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	182	38¢	$69	0x83065a…
05-19 20:59:33	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9e721e…
05-19 20:58:33	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x43c02c…
05-19 20:56:05	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x71b2ae…
05-19 20:52:21	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0x77eb63…
05-19 20:52:12	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x092df5…
05-19 20:50:37	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	242	45¢	$108	0x0bbd52…
05-19 20:49:27	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0xe56d77…
05-19 20:49:17	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x96f661…
05-19 20:49:05	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	126	42¢	$53	0x023e5d…
05-19 20:49:03	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c6a95…
05-19 20:48:45	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	40¢	$133	0x909608…
05-19 20:48:45	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	42¢	$43	0x58905d…
05-19 20:47:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,045	95¢	$993	0xbb6690…
05-19 20:45:28	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	552	41¢	$226	0x287884…
05-19 20:44:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x659c3a…
05-19 18:25:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	672	95¢	$638	0x3bb7c5…
05-19 15:06:19	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,823	35¢	$638	0xf5fa02…
05-19 11:26:29	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x6a9b34…
05-19 08:39:55	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x240709…
05-19 08:32:32	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1cfeb6…
05-19 08:24:45	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe0d35d…
05-19 08:20:59	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0xf65e09…
05-19 07:30:44	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x43c76d…
05-19 07:10:29	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x0fdbf5…
05-19 06:16:56	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x0bd3ac…
05-19 06:09:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xffb62e…
05-18 10:20:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x49e652…
05-18 07:23:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	373	95¢	$354	0xb10e9d…
05-18 07:17:25	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaca170…
05-18 05:49:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x845f2d…
05-18 05:08:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x29c2ec…
05-17 20:12:09	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x091e58…
05-17 20:07:52	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x7b11e4…
05-17 18:21:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xed40db…
05-17 11:12:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x0cd8f6…
05-17 11:01:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x2bb3d2…