Frosty-Leaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.31K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$67.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$149

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-29 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

51% 78% -$5,382

Other

49% 56% +$1,084

Crypto

0% 45% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+250	$140	60¢	$149	+$9	10-29 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$7.3K	3,888	3,888	+0	No	+$257	05-25 06:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$7.1K	6,082	4,450	+1,632	No	+$585	04-24 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$4.3K	2,355	2,355	+0	No	+$324	05-13 03:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	11	$3.4K	2,578	1,045	+1,533	No	+$80	05-22 13:15
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$3.3K	2,276	1,148	+1,128	Yes	+$22	04-12 18:04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$2.7K	1,647	1,647	+0	Yes	+$255	06-09 14:29
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$2.5K	1,682	1,682	+0	No	-$749	04-17 13:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	20	$2.4K	3,428	3,178	+250	open	—	10-29 06:42
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	6	$2.4K	3,567	3,567	+0	No	-$30	04-12 18:01
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	38	$2.3K	4,359	1,823	+2,536	No	-$1,034	05-19 21:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$45	05-24 16:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$2.0K	1,055	1,055	+0	Yes	+$109	05-23 20:38
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$1.9K	1,104	1,104	+0	No	+$258	04-09 11:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$1.8K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	-$1,816	05-25 15:23
Nothing Ever Happens: May	19	$1.7K	919	919	+0	Nothing	+$166	06-01 06:22
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$1.6K	873	873	+0	No	+$44	04-01 17:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$1.5K	1,714	0	+1,714	No	-$1,465	05-24 16:48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$1.4K	760	760	+0	Yes	+$100	06-22 04:13
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	6	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$14	06-29 12:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,136	0	+1,136	No	-$1,034	05-24 16:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$753	412	412	+0	No	+$53	05-14 14:49
nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	3	$619	333	333	+0	Nothing	+$21	06-21 11:46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	7	$567	592	0	+592	Yes	+$25	05-21 12:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	6	$517	458	114	+343	Yes	+$37	05-02 23:10
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	2	$500	626	0	+626	Yes	-$500	06-30 08:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	3	$483	305	305	+0	open	—	05-17 11:00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	4	$460	494	0	+494	Yes	+$34	05-17 11:01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	4	$446	227	227	+0	Yes	+$6	05-19 20:44
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$430	220	220	+0	No	+$1	05-04 05:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	5	$421	469	49	+420	Yes	+$97	05-10 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:42:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0x372b2f…
10-29 06:40:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	170	74¢	$126	0xc6e377…
10-28 04:01:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	170	63¢	$108	0x5d5f73…
10-27 22:09:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	230	37¢	$85	0x8afccb…
10-27 20:00:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xe8dc96…
10-20 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x845925…
10-13 13:27:20	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x54af3e…
10-12 06:22:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xb518f0…
10-11 11:18:50	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x4f80b6…
10-10 19:30:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x48d81b…
10-10 15:33:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x4d8404…
10-10 05:54:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xac4f1f…
10-10 05:54:01	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x138a7d…
10-09 13:46:03	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb25f61…
10-09 13:45:55	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x80b318…
10-08 03:47:59	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0xee091c…
10-07 21:25:18	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0x1d95c5…
10-07 21:22:07	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4537db…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	466	37¢	$172	0x730ba7…
08-02 15:22:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	466	35¢	$163	0x824a31…
07-20 02:32:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 20 2026 20260630182730898	Yes	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0x0315f4…
07-19 16:28:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x928221…
07-19 09:32:33	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7fa9d9…
07-17 05:34:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 23 2026 20260630182730901	Yes	BUY	113	90¢	$102	0x9329fd…
07-16 12:43:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	227	36¢	$82	0x484920…
07-16 12:36:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0x6bb4ad…
07-16 04:14:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	288	34¢	$98	0xfec965…
07-16 04:10:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	Yes	BUY	135	90¢	$122	0xa49af5…
07-15 10:07:25	Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x3d63cb…
07-15 10:06:28	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	128	40¢	$51	0x6b3783…
07-14 19:13:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	52	56¢	$30	0x5994ef…
07-14 19:05:05	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	Yes	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x1c3756…
07-14 15:52:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0x820861…
07-14 15:51:11	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	SELL	58	87¢	$51	0xe6a206…
07-14 15:49:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	79	58¢	$46	0x75b9ad…
07-14 15:46:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	115	37¢	$42	0x7b02a4…
07-14 05:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1862da…
07-14 05:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf22262…
07-14 05:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50714d…
07-14 05:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbd53d0…
07-14 05:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6bdae5…
07-14 05:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe83791…
07-14 05:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6a10a8…
07-14 04:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x26bf8e…
07-14 04:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7363c…
07-14 04:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x25d97d…
07-14 04:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4b83c…
07-14 04:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02002a…
07-14 04:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x872758…
07-14 04:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9cae2d…
07-14 04:48:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa1abe2…
07-14 04:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x01fe5c…
07-14 04:47:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbbb0e0…
07-14 04:47:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2e03a0…
07-14 04:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2603c5…
07-13 20:14:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	Yes	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x80a2d8…
07-13 20:13:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x6aaec2…
07-13 06:57:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 13 2026 20260630182730891	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0cc578…
07-13 05:10:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x0efc33…
07-13 05:08:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0xf13a56…
07-13 05:00:53	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x199f9f…
07-13 04:59:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0xba2d65…
07-13 04:55:02	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2b50d8…
07-11 21:14:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x308cba…
07-11 21:02:05	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	BUY	341	73¢	$250	0x94cfbe…
07-11 21:00:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	275	37¢	$101	0x41ba8d…
07-11 17:25:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 14 2026 20260630182730892	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xb39b41…
07-11 17:25:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 13 2026 20260630182730891	Yes	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x5a99f8…
07-11 13:28:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0xe7a84b…
07-10 20:44:53	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x77cf10…
07-10 20:43:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x2646fb…
07-10 17:52:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x221d15…
07-09 16:28:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0xf8135c…
07-05 05:10:26	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xe54011…
07-05 05:09:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0xb29d1b…
07-05 04:54:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x353806…
07-05 04:53:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	574	36¢	$206	0xe5add9…
07-05 04:16:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	298	67¢	$200	0x979551…
07-04 20:24:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 5 2026 20260630182730883	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x17226a…
07-03 04:17:29	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 5 2026 20260630182730883	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0xeb6e10…
07-03 04:16:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 3 2026 20260630182730881	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x81642b…
07-01 08:34:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x5e7ce7…
06-30 08:36:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	305	75¢	$228	0xee5df4…
06-30 08:34:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	382	35¢	$134	0x52736d…
06-30 04:23:52	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x133be7…
06-30 04:15:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	566	35¢	$198	0xe3d2e3…
06-29 12:32:28	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	331	82¢	$270	0xa944fc…
06-29 12:31:10	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	281	97¢	$272	0x03adb3…
06-28 06:35:31	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	322	84¢	$272	0xda1907…
06-28 06:34:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0xa314ad…
06-28 06:33:50	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0xf2077c…
06-26 17:24:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x076bc7…
06-26 17:23:10	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0x505654…
06-23 08:52:29	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x058359…
06-23 08:51:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0x173053…
06-22 04:14:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,095	35¢	$733	0x76af39…
06-22 04:13:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	760	99¢	$755	0xe89d88…
06-21 19:54:17	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x0804c9…
06-21 19:51:31	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	No	SELL	171	96¢	$165	0x4568bb…
06-21 12:16:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	210	89¢	$187	0x102977…