Realized P&L
+$575.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$35.0K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
1,030
Trades
17,999
lifetime
Volume
$13.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$741
Open exposure
$182.8K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 02:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
73% 55% +$297,088
Politics
20% 71% +$260,424
Sports
5% 56% +$16,931
Crypto
2% 60% +$884
Tech
1% 67% +$539
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 819 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +84,004 $68,915 93¢ $78.3K +$9,377 10-29 02:08
Spread: Lakers (-2.5) Warriors +24,270 $11,247 98¢ $23.9K +$12,659 10-31 02:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +21,923 $20,711 96¢ $21.0K +$258 10-17 23:34
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +18,205 $18,187 100¢ $18.2K -$9 10-30 17:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +22,989 $10,102 70¢ $16.2K +$6,106 07-13 18:45
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,922 $6,666 98¢ $6.8K +$142 08-18 22:48
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,000 $6,320 72¢ $5.8K -$520 10-28 09:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,998 $5,359 72¢ $5.7K +$360 10-28 16:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,000 $1,880 94¢ $2.8K +$925 09-30 15:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,539 -$3,548 82¢ $2.1K +$5,643 09-30 15:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,081 $1,931 97¢ $2.0K +$88 06-25 12:36
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 10-27 23:11