Harmless-Baseball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.72K

Unrealized P&L

-$700

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,706

lifetime

Volume

$2.59M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$699

Open exposure

$39.1K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$720

Politics

39% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

7% 100% +$5,000

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		+35,217	$35,182	100¢	$35.2K	$-0	06-08 20:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes		+20,000	$4,600	20¢	$3.9K	$-700	06-08 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$279.2K	250,000	30,000	+220,000	Yes	+$720	05-04 03:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$263.7K	264,200	0	+264,200	open	—	04-30 01:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$219.1K	219,941	0	+219,941	open	—	06-03 00:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	29	$136.9K	137,500	0	+137,500	open	—	05-21 18:55
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	8	$122.7K	122,976	0	+122,976	open	—	06-07 21:09
iran closes its airspace by june 8	12	$109.1K	109,167	0	+109,167	open	—	06-08 19:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	69	$97.3K	53,407	53,407	+0	open	—	02-02 21:28
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	24	$74.6K	56,527	18,340	+38,187	open	—	01-03 18:33
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	63	$72.8K	38,781	35,808	+2,973	open	—	02-09 07:01
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	212	$68.1K	132,165	0	+132,165	open	—	02-08 22:44
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	58	$64.3K	40,764	40,764	+0	open	—	02-11 07:49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	18	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	06-08 20:06
another us government shutdown by february 14	67	$58.7K	63,749	32,265	+31,484	open	—	02-15 04:40
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	33	$52.7K	46,397	7,000	+39,397	open	—	02-04 00:25
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	227	$51.3K	165,299	51,286	+114,013	open	—	02-26 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$43.5K	43,996	0	+43,996	open	—	05-29 23:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	29	$37.5K	31,362	14,172	+17,190	open	—	02-24 23:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	7	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	05-26 02:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	15	$27.0K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	02-13 05:28
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	4	$20.3K	23,768	0	+23,768	open	—	02-08 01:54
iran closes its airspace by june 15	9	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-08 19:29
will no qualifying us iran meeting occur by february 13 2026	21	$19.0K	23,299	256	+23,043	open	—	02-06 23:03
will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	28	$18.9K	20,765	1,217	+19,547	open	—	01-29 05:57
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	31	$17.3K	9,122	9,122	+0	open	—	01-20 23:33
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	30	$16.4K	16,651	0	+16,651	open	—	01-06 12:16
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	23	$16.2K	15,000	1,500	+13,500	open	—	01-08 01:35
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12	65	$15.7K	35,708	0	+35,708	open	—	02-12 12:21
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	13	$15.5K	15,644	0	+15,644	open	—	01-03 10:19
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	28	$15.2K	19,987	0	+19,987	open	—	01-27 06:06
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game1	58	$15.0K	36,152	0	+36,152	open	—	02-15 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:39:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xd61aae…
06-09 18:32:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x695701…
06-09 18:31:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x87764b…
06-09 18:29:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x8ca560…
06-09 18:18:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	429	7¢	$30	0x37e23d…
06-09 18:17:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	286	7¢	$20	0xa5f296…
06-09 18:15:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x5abdd0…
06-09 18:11:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x34666d…
06-09 18:10:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0x4537bc…
06-09 18:07:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	714	7¢	$50	0x67e6c0…
06-09 17:59:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9b759c…
06-09 17:55:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$5	0xb6cc51…
06-09 17:54:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x95db0b…
06-09 17:48:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7,000	7¢	$490	0xf95150…
06-09 17:45:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0x725525…
06-08 20:46:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	12,500	5¢	$625	0x92bd35…
06-08 20:43:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,055	5¢	$153	0x560fa1…
06-08 20:36:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20,000	5¢	$1,000	0x2b8df0…
06-08 20:36:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,444	5¢	$422	0x8998c4…
06-08 20:28:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7,000	5¢	$350	0xe61d10…
06-08 20:06:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,424	100¢	$3,421	0x318622…
06-08 20:00:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5856d7…
06-08 19:49:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x5861be…
06-08 19:35:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0819b2…
06-08 19:35:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x41f70f…
06-08 19:35:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15,166	100¢	$15,151	0x48c2a4…
06-08 19:29:45	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	6,655	100¢	$6,648	0x8cc653…
06-08 19:24:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	2,140	100¢	$2,138	0x7fe3a3…
06-08 19:20:51	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x614f7e…
06-08 19:20:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x37063e…
06-08 19:16:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x78ba0a…
06-08 19:15:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xdabae6…
06-08 19:13:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,475	100¢	$1,473	0x716fa5…
06-08 18:59:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xdec4df…
06-08 18:56:21	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x337355…
06-08 18:54:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x0f5c97…
06-08 18:54:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xd0d984…
06-08 18:39:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc6becc…
06-08 18:39:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbafc47…
06-08 18:37:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x5591c2…
06-08 18:36:04	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0ffb17…
06-08 18:35:51	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa40c43…
06-08 18:34:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	339	100¢	$339	0x94b5da…
06-08 18:32:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8384a8…
06-08 18:26:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe623b3…
06-08 18:26:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xaae31b…
06-08 18:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0x4e81eb…
06-08 18:22:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0xdfec2a…
06-08 18:20:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19,636	100¢	$19,617	0xbc7369…
06-08 18:17:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf4b64c…
06-08 18:17:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xb39469…
06-08 18:16:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd50213…
06-08 18:16:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x690f74…
06-08 18:07:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x0cd7a7…
06-08 18:07:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	45,567	100¢	$45,522	0x8dd7e8…
06-08 03:33:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	588	31¢	$182	0xa56712…
06-08 03:29:25	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	690	71¢	$490	0xf8ae7d…
06-08 03:29:24	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	209	71¢	$148	0xcba77c…
06-08 03:29:19	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	667	71¢	$473	0x834bdc…
06-08 03:29:12	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	741	73¢	$541	0x9b1cf8…
06-08 03:28:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xb4cd0e…
06-08 03:28:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x791179…
06-08 03:28:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x0636bb…
06-08 03:27:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	444	73¢	$324	0x4c7d5e…
06-08 03:27:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	356	73¢	$260	0xa884ba…
06-08 03:26:21	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	396	75¢	$297	0x1872c1…
06-08 03:26:18	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6fab19…
06-08 03:24:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x47ff7b…
06-08 03:21:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xcbc8c5…
06-08 03:21:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,820	30¢	$846	0x10a89c…
06-08 03:21:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x018966…
06-08 03:21:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x681833…
06-08 03:16:25	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	955	34¢	$325	0x53e5b3…
06-08 03:16:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0xcba160…
06-08 03:16:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0xec6b9a…
06-08 03:14:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0xb99c69…
06-08 03:13:49	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x6fcf77…
06-08 03:13:27	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xffe588…
06-08 03:13:18	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x5d9f58…
06-08 03:13:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	188	52¢	$98	0xff2161…
06-08 03:12:39	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x62f74c…
06-08 03:09:34	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x9b24e5…
06-08 03:08:37	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,773	48¢	$851	0x6e291d…
06-08 03:08:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	227	48¢	$109	0x82f145…
06-08 03:07:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,992	49¢	$976	0x8d5cc6…
06-08 03:06:58	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	647	46¢	$298	0xea2a23…
06-08 03:05:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1,000	43¢	$430	0x71f8d2…
06-08 03:03:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0xa3d094…
06-08 03:02:19	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	797	46¢	$367	0xd3f072…
06-08 03:00:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xbbc751…
06-08 02:59:21	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,183	63¢	$745	0xb741fa…
06-08 02:56:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,997	55¢	$1,098	0xe03fd1…
06-08 02:56:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x50a3df…
06-08 01:16:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20,000	23¢	$4,600	0x3b1438…
06-08 01:15:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	30,000	7¢	$2,100	0x74bda4…
06-08 01:14:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,777	7¢	$404	0xfc159d…
06-07 21:09:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x24a79d…
06-07 21:09:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xdfb0bc…
06-07 21:07:34	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xdc7e42…
06-07 20:55:13	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb70265…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	216	$38.2K	9,353	06-04 00:28
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	205	$53.1K	19,774	06-09 23:12
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	183	$988.4K	20,675	06-09 16:39
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	163	$397.6K	34,678	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	163	$64.1K	25,260	04-16 23:59
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	162	$331.4K	39,697	06-09 20:25
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	157	$179.5K	17,695	03-28 06:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	156	$132.8K	1,080	06-08 20:20