Realized P&L
+$560.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.1K
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
1,050
Trades
18,260
lifetime
Volume
$13.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$745
Open exposure
$140.5K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
73% 55% +$264,137
Politics
19% 71% +$260,442
Sports
5% 56% +$34,678
Crypto
2% 60% +$884
Tech
1% 67% +$539
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 819 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +84,004 $68,915 92¢ $77.6K +$8,663 10-29 02:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +21,923 $20,711 96¢ $21.1K +$346 10-17 23:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +22,989 $10,102 72¢ $16.4K +$6,335 07-13 18:45
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,922 $6,666 98¢ $6.8K +$152 08-18 22:48
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,000 $6,320 75¢ $6.0K -$320 10-28 09:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,998 $5,359 70¢ $5.6K +$280 10-28 16:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,000 $1,880 94¢ $2.8K +$955 09-30 15:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,539 -$3,548 82¢ $2.1K +$5,643 09-30 15:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2,081 $1,931 97¢ $2.0K +$93 06-25 12:36
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 10-27 23:11