Realized P&L
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$289
Hit rate
96.0%
Resolved
16
Trades
159
lifetime
Volume
$148.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$932
Open exposure
$33.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 09-24 07:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
91% 64% -$34
Tech
8% — —
Sports
2% 50% +$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +6,728 $6,328 98¢ $6.6K +$276 09-21 15:22
US recession by end of 2026? No +6,640 $5,996 94¢ $6.3K +$278 09-24 07:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +4,296 $4,005 96¢ $4.1K +$132 09-18 21:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +3,960 $3,601 95¢ $3.8K +$151 09-15 22:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3,500 $3,412 98¢ $3.4K +$33 09-14 08:13
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +2,774 $2,648 96¢ $2.7K +$28 09-14 08:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +2,641 $2,572 99¢ $2.6K +$33 09-14 01:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4,000 $3,200 64¢ $2.5K -$660 08-28 15:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +731 $716 97¢ $711 -$5 09-14 02:45
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +496 $463 98¢ $485 +$22 09-14 08:49
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +199 $195 98¢ $195 $0 09-14 02:45