Pink-Zampone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$439

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$37.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$7.49K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

67% 53% -$2,377

Politics

19% 75% +$941

Sports

8% 47% -$67

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% 0% -$348

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,730	$1,558	96¢	$1.7K	+$107	10-26 17:30
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+1,090	$916	91¢	$988	+$72	10-18 21:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+1,031	$860	82¢	$851	-$9	10-23 21:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+880	$810	92¢	$814	+$4	10-20 07:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	+717	$680	95¢	$679	$0	10-21 08:30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	+600	$498	88¢	$528	+$30	10-19 08:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+360	$320	94¢	$338	+$18	10-21 08:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	+390	$304	84¢	$330	+$25	05-18 07:19
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	+352	$84	87¢	$306	+$222	10-19 04:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+310	$186	96¢	$296	+$110	10-09 17:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+320	$288	92¢	$293	+$5	10-18 21:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+185	$81	92¢	$169	+$88	06-03 01:26
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+600	$66	12¢	$69	+$3	10-21 08:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+405	$77	12¢	$51	-$26	10-17 02:26
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+48	$45	91¢	$44	-$1	10-19 08:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-1,870	-$122	2¢	$-36	+$85	06-02 04:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+668	$312	4¢	$27	-$285	08-08 03:48
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+570	$18	1¢	$8	-$9	10-21 08:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	24	$4.4K	2,430	2,430	+0	No	+$60	03-10 10:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$2.6K	4,825	0	+4,825	No	-$2,558	09-01 22:14
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	9	$2.1K	2,010	280	+1,730	open	—	10-26 17:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	13	$1.9K	1,040	1,040	+0	open	—	10-18 16:02
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.9K	1,240	930	+310	open	—	10-09 17:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1.8K	1,681	1,681	+0	No	+$588	03-10 04:12
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.4K	789	789	+0	Yes	+$158	09-15 05:07
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	25	$1.1K	1,068	1,068	+0	No	+$112	03-09 22:20
AI bubble burst in 2026?	6	$916	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	10-18 21:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	4	$871	585	585	+0	open	—	08-19 07:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	5	$860	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	10-23 21:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	3	$810	880	0	+880	open	—	10-20 07:18
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	2	$792	464	464	+0	Yes	+$130	08-05 00:48
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$698	500	500	+0	open	—	10-15 07:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	4	$680	717	0	+717	open	—	10-21 08:30
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	2	$677	704	352	+352	open	—	10-19 04:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$629	2,700	1,000	+1,700	Spurs	-$109	05-31 02:36
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	4	$521	285	285	+0	No	+$42	09-15 05:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$514	1,440	0	+1,440	Yes	-$514	09-15 05:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	6	$506	300	300	+0	No	+$86	07-07 21:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$499	580	0	+580	Yes	-$499	06-02 04:57
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	2	$498	600	0	+600	open	—	10-19 08:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$490	700	0	+700	No	+$210	03-05 07:10
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$489	1,480	225	+1,255	Spurs	-$237	05-19 03:36
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	7	$485	655	0	+655	open	—	10-23 21:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$480	623	0	+623	Yes	+$143	07-28 19:59
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	4	$448	236	236	+0	open	—	10-23 20:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$404	918	0	+918	Yes	+$514	03-05 06:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$354	820	152	+668	open	—	08-08 03:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$348	700	0	+700	Yes	-$348	05-13 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:30:50	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x749e74…
10-23 21:06:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x4cfe9f…
10-23 21:06:05	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	136	77¢	$105	0xd09e99…
10-23 20:05:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xcf30e8…
10-23 20:04:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x4231e1…
10-23 20:03:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x2bb257…
10-23 17:27:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x702052…
10-23 09:12:11	Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x89ce6d…
10-23 08:17:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd61890…
10-21 21:12:30	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x762e64…
10-21 16:41:51	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9abc59…
10-21 13:54:44	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x47a5d6…
10-21 08:41:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	236	93¢	$219	0x58341c…
10-21 08:38:29	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	570	3¢	$18	0x4dc8b3…
10-21 08:36:02	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0x8408ef…
10-21 08:33:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	185	84¢	$155	0xb1f8ba…
10-21 08:30:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	370	95¢	$351	0x3153f7…
10-21 08:27:08	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x1ec967…
10-21 08:26:56	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0x7f5bc2…
10-21 08:22:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	360	89¢	$320	0xd7c559…
10-20 07:18:44	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	280	92¢	$258	0x61f32b…
10-20 05:40:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xff34dc…
10-20 05:39:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xfe9e32…
10-20 05:39:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	185	95¢	$175	0xec3e82…
10-20 05:38:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	596	84¢	$501	0xd24486…
10-19 08:51:08	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xcdc6ae…
10-19 08:45:54	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x7da0dc…
10-19 04:04:51	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	352	84¢	$296	0xc246ec…
10-19 02:59:45	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0xff14a5…
10-19 02:54:45	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x984f77…
10-19 02:54:24	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	87	90¢	$79	0x85ded6…
10-19 02:49:08	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	17¢	$24	0xccb38e…
10-19 02:49:08	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	SELL	227	15¢	$34	0x97bfcd…
10-19 02:49:08	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	489	16¢	$76	0x972a70…
10-19 02:49:06	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	13¢	$88	0xef51ec…
10-19 02:14:14	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x745e88…
10-19 02:11:59	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	91	82¢	$74	0x7a0c49…
10-19 02:11:57	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xed3e0f…
10-19 02:10:23	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x0fd726…
10-19 02:10:21	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x8d7df4…
10-19 02:02:03	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3448ad…
10-19 02:02:02	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	BUY	334	23¢	$77	0xc4884c…
10-19 02:02:02	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	BUY	365	13¢	$48	0x41393a…
10-19 01:57:21	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	17¢	$40	0xfb0cbd…
10-19 01:56:39	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	19¢	$27	0xd4028c…
10-19 01:56:17	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	Yes	BUY	489	19¢	$94	0x273320…
10-19 01:08:12	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$100	0xed6e1d…
10-18 21:41:24	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	140	74¢	$104	0x47c3f8…
10-18 21:40:45	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	149	72¢	$108	0xd1256e…
10-18 21:40:44	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$36	0x2a44c8…
10-18 21:33:39	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x70d3fa…
10-18 21:21:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	320	90¢	$288	0x60d686…
10-18 21:04:44	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$224	0xdcb4cc…
10-18 21:04:42	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x8060a2…
10-18 21:01:53	Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xef0e24…
10-18 21:00:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x3e1c30…
10-18 16:02:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	101	96¢	$98	0x825214…
10-18 15:04:00	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x5e5859…
10-18 14:50:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x46a762…
10-18 14:48:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x6f26c5…
10-18 10:46:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xa34a85…
10-18 08:53:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x27f792…
10-18 08:28:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xf22229…
10-18 08:26:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x10ac64…
10-18 07:37:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x534e26…
10-18 07:11:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xded8fb…
10-18 02:51:33	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x89a001…
10-18 00:14:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	293	59¢	$173	0xf4af18…
10-17 23:41:53	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x64d04c…
10-17 23:26:48	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	No	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0xa2af17…
10-17 23:04:27	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xcb22cd…
10-17 22:48:44	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x277fb5…
10-17 22:47:41	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xfe3127…
10-17 02:26:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	405	13¢	$53	0xbcf28a…
10-17 02:25:24	OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x675826…
10-16 16:27:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc6577a…
10-16 15:09:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xb20810…
10-16 11:46:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x1c337c…
10-16 02:08:36	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xfde14b…
10-15 07:58:02	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x54229f…
10-09 17:24:52	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x0379c2…
10-08 10:52:32	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6d39db…
10-08 10:42:30	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x385816…
10-08 10:10:45	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xfe2c4a…
10-08 10:04:23	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x804a68…
10-08 09:51:50	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6abdf2…
10-08 09:45:23	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xfdcc70…
10-08 09:30:21	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x4d6495…
10-08 09:26:00	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc32883…
10-08 09:12:21	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xddf4d0…
10-08 09:02:58	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc61f53…
10-08 08:16:58	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x34d203…
10-08 08:11:58	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xec4d84…
10-08 07:58:55	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeef986…
09-22 07:07:54	Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x11ce70…
09-22 07:02:00	Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 140 and 150?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ab37c…
09-22 06:59:22	Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd4ef83…
09-15 05:25:27	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	704	54¢	$380	0x6f4770…
09-15 05:23:55	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0x29fb5b…
09-15 05:19:52	OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$26	0xc31910…