(anonymous) 0x0dbae3…f59b25 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$138
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
32
Trades
770
lifetime
Volume
$22.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-01
last 11-15 13:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 10% -$135
Politics
18% 100% +$1
Sports
10% — —
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
4% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +230 $197 92¢ $213 +$15 11-14 20:41
FAA outage attributed to Iran? No +200 $197 99¢ $198 +$1 11-14 09:49
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +200 $180 86¢ $172 -$8 11-14 14:55
Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +200 $145 84¢ $167 +$22 11-15 13:56
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +185 $172 87¢ $161 -$11 11-06 17:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +200 $148 72¢ $143 -$5 11-14 11:18
Will Marved play for Cloud9 in 2027? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-14 15:35
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 -$1 11-15 11:29
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 110 million views on week 1? Yes +100 $97 95¢ $95 -$2 11-15 13:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $90 89¢ $89 $0 11-15 13:20
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $89 89¢ $89 +$0 11-14 15:51
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? No +150 $92 56¢ $83 -$8 11-15 13:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +87 $65 94¢ $81 +$16 11-04 05:29
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +100 $74 76¢ $76 +$2 11-15 13:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by November 30? Yes +100 $93 75¢ $75 -$17 11-15 12:27
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +100 $65 62¢ $62 -$3 11-15 13:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +200 $54 29¢ $57 +$3 11-14 11:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +84 $44 66¢ $56 +$11 11-14 12:09
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +58 $50 93¢ $54 +$3 11-14 12:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $54 54¢ $54 $0 11-15 11:33
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +100 $49 51¢ $51 +$2 11-15 11:54
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? No +100 $51 49¢ $49 -$2 11-15 11:54
Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? No +60 $49 80¢ $48 $0 11-15 11:39
Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Yes +50 $46 96¢ $48 +$1 11-14 09:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $46 46¢ $46 $0 11-15 11:33
Will the Atlanta Falcons win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? U 7.5 +60 $46 76¢ $46 $0 11-10 18:21
Will Finland be 1st in the World Happiness Report 2027? Yes +50 $46 92¢ $46 $0 11-14 09:04
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? No +49 $44 92¢ $45 +$1 11-15 12:38
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +50 $43 84¢ $42 -$1 11-14 08:31
Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +60 $42 68¢ $41 -$2 11-15 11:47