(anonymous) 0xe8c6c4…6bf7f6
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$973
Unrealized P&L
+$982
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
1,995
Trades
6,689
lifetime
Volume
$86.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$8.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-01 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
59% 76% -$440
Politics
26% 70% -$195
Crypto
8% 50% -$309
Tech
7% 36% -$44
Sports
1% 77% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 963 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +996 $567 82¢ $812 +$245 09-22 16:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +667 $500 92¢ $611 +$110 09-23 10:54
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +520 $431 96¢ $502 +$71 09-19 01:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +501 $437 97¢ $485 +$48 09-23 16:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +589 $450 81¢ $476 +$26 09-23 17:39
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +480 $287 97¢ $465 +$179 09-17 05:28
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +511 $245 86¢ $439 +$194 09-21 20:03
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $410 86¢ $427 +$17 09-21 18:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +550 $316 74¢ $404 +$89 09-21 11:33
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +400 $366 89¢ $355 -$11 09-21 20:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +399 $264 88¢ $353 +$89 09-21 00:52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +400 $322 78¢ $310 -$12 09-19 00:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +298 $229 96¢ $288 +$59 09-15 15:16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +500 $222 56¢ $280 +$58 09-19 19:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +355 $210 70¢ $251 +$41 09-16 18:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +338 $304 72¢ $245 -$59 09-27 19:45
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +400 $192 56¢ $224 +$32 09-21 09:01
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +500 $285 44¢ $220 -$65 09-19 19:03
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +200 $164 94¢ $189 +$25 09-06 13:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +996 $439 18¢ $184 -$255 09-22 16:38
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +400 $212 44¢ $176 -$36 09-21 09:01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +230 $117 72¢ $167 +$49 09-16 18:00
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +200 $131 83¢ $166 +$35 09-15 15:17
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +200 $106 80¢ $159 +$53 09-23 13:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +160 $108 96¢ $154 +$46 09-15 15:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +550 $242 26¢ $146 -$96 09-21 11:33
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +150 $102 90¢ $135 +$33 09-16 16:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +589 $145 19¢ $113 -$33 09-23 17:39
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +140 $101 80¢ $111 +$10 09-16 15:10
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +113 $74 98¢ $110 +$37 09-22 17:22