(anonymous) 0xe8c6c4…6bf7f6 Create alert
bot cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
2,061
Trades
6,829
lifetime
Volume
$90.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$9.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 11-05 03:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
60% 76% -$554
Politics
25% 66% -$222
Crypto
8% 50% -$309
Tech
6% 35% -$53
Sports
1% 71% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 963 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +996 $567 79¢ $787 +$220 09-22 16:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +667 $500 94¢ $631 +$131 09-23 10:54
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +520 $431 96¢ $502 +$71 09-19 01:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +501 $437 98¢ $491 +$54 09-23 16:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +589 $450 83¢ $491 +$41 09-23 17:39
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +480 $287 97¢ $466 +$180 09-17 05:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +500 $410 92¢ $462 +$52 09-21 18:03
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +511 $245 88¢ $448 +$202 09-21 20:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +550 $316 78¢ $426 +$111 09-21 11:33
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +400 $366 94¢ $376 +$10 09-21 20:54
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +500 $222 72¢ $358 +$136 09-19 19:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +399 $264 88¢ $349 +$85 09-21 00:52
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +400 $322 86¢ $342 +$20 09-19 00:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +298 $229 97¢ $288 +$60 09-15 15:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +355 $210 78¢ $275 +$66 09-16 18:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +338 $304 78¢ $265 -$39 09-27 19:45
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +400 $192 60¢ $238 +$46 09-21 09:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +996 $439 21¢ $209 -$230 09-22 16:38
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +200 $164 94¢ $187 +$23 09-06 13:41
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +230 $117 78¢ $178 +$61 09-16 18:00
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +200 $131 84¢ $169 +$38 09-15 15:17
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +200 $106 81¢ $162 +$56 09-23 13:17
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +400 $212 40¢ $162 -$50 09-21 09:01
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +500 $285 29¢ $143 -$142 09-19 19:03
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +150 $102 86¢ $128 +$27 09-16 16:32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +550 $242 22¢ $124 -$118 09-21 11:33
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +113 $74 100¢ $112 +$39 09-22 17:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +149 $117 74¢ $111 -$6 09-13 15:20
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +140 $101 75¢ $105 +$4 09-16 15:10
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +100 $52 99¢ $99 +$47 09-22 12:26