Realized P&L
+$618
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
249
Trades
2,838
lifetime
Volume
$28.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-26 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
54% 46% +$194
Politics
45% 51% +$428
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? Mbappé +260 $189 74¢ $194 +$5 10-26 14:08
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +250 $151 75¢ $188 +$37 10-26 20:46
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Anyone's Legend — +147 $69 88¢ $128 +$59 10-26 21:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $77 62¢ $77 +$0 10-26 15:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $61 70¢ $73 +$12 10-26 21:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +101 $64 64¢ $64 +$0 10-26 20:53
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +115 $34 32¢ $36 +$2 10-21 22:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $35 76¢ $34 $0 10-21 19:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +33 $30 96¢ $31 +$2 10-25 21:55
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +900 $56 3¢ $29 -$26 09-30 10:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +69 $20 38¢ $26 +$6 10-06 20:08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +35 $23 65¢ $23 $0 10-20 05:14
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +96 $21 24¢ $23 +$2 10-13 09:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +24 $22 92¢ $22 $0 10-26 01:30
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +70 $21 31¢ $22 +$1 10-19 22:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +26 $19 70¢ $18 $0 10-25 14:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $5 25¢ $17 +$12 10-03 23:01
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $15 68¢ $17 +$2 10-16 06:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +259 $56 6¢ $17 -$40 09-21 11:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +30 $18 52¢ $16 -$3 10-26 09:48
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $15 +$5 09-14 13:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +82 $13 18¢ $14 +$1 10-20 20:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $15 67¢ $14 $0 10-26 11:26
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $15 62¢ $14 -$1 10-10 13:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $0 93¢ $14 +$14 10-26 19:32
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +58 $8 22¢ $13 +$5 10-02 00:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +13 $13 97¢ $13 $0 10-26 19:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $10 24¢ $12 +$2 10-18 09:12
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +30 $16 40¢ $12 -$4 10-09 18:00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $8 72¢ $12 +$4 10-08 12:54