(anonymous) 0x19e593…d6d7cd
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$879
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
259
Trades
2,941
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-27 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
54% 47% +$465
Politics
45% 51% +$417
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +489 $345 80¢ $389 +$44 10-27 12:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +125 $68 68¢ $85 +$17 10-27 02:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +101 $64 66¢ $67 +$3 10-26 20:53
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +115 $34 32¢ $37 +$2 10-21 22:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $35 76¢ $34 $0 10-21 19:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 10-25 21:55
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +900 $56 3¢ $28 -$27 09-30 10:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +50 $27 53¢ $26 $0 10-27 09:28
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +69 $20 38¢ $26 +$6 10-06 20:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +70 $23 34¢ $24 +$1 10-27 03:33
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +35 $23 64¢ $23 $0 10-20 05:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +24 $22 92¢ $22 $0 10-26 01:30
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +70 $21 31¢ $22 +$1 10-19 22:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +51 $24 40¢ $21 -$3 10-26 22:16
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +26 $19 78¢ $21 +$2 10-25 14:35
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +96 $21 20¢ $20 -$1 10-13 09:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $15 78¢ $19 +$4 10-16 06:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +30 $18 56¢ $17 -$1 10-26 09:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +259 $56 6¢ $17 -$40 09-21 11:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +69 $5 22¢ $16 +$11 10-03 23:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +21 $15 68¢ $15 +$0 10-26 11:26
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +82 $13 18¢ $14 +$1 10-20 20:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $0 94¢ $14 +$14 10-26 19:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $15 62¢ $14 -$1 10-10 13:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +13 $13 99¢ $13 +$0 10-26 19:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +30 $16 42¢ $13 -$3 10-09 18:00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +58 $8 22¢ $12 +$5 10-02 00:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $8 74¢ $12 +$4 10-08 12:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +17 $14 68¢ $12 -$2 10-09 15:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $10 22¢ $11 +$1 10-18 09:12