(anonymous) 0x19e593…d6d7cd
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$926
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved (7d)
88
Trades (7d)
1,041
3,402 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$13.3K
$35.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$86
14 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-30 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
55% 46% +$283
Politics
44% 51% +$856
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $25 +$15 09-14 13:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $11 90¢ $13 +$2 10-29 22:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +25 $14 36¢ $9 -$5 10-29 17:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +25 $9 34¢ $9 -$1 10-30 02:05
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +15 $9 56¢ $8 -$1 10-29 22:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$1 10-29 22:47
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$2 10-30 01:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 -$6 73¢ $4 +$9 10-29 17:19
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +120 $82 3¢ $4 -$78 10-25 20:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +5 $3 48¢ $2 $0 10-29 17:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-29 19:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +13 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-29 21:49
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 12:27
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +6 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-28 09:45