(anonymous) 0x19e593…d6d7cd
bot hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
313
Trades
3,617
lifetime
Volume
$35.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$425
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-01 14:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
54% 45% +$319
Politics
45% 48% +$703
Tech
1% 50% $0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +104 $51 52¢ $54 +$4 10-30 21:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +69 $49 74¢ $51 +$2 10-31 15:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 10-30 10:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +55 $30 58¢ $32 +$2 10-31 12:22
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $25 +$15 09-14 13:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $24 42¢ $22 -$1 11-01 14:19
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +25 $17 68¢ $17 +$0 11-01 11:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +45 $21 37¢ $17 -$5 10-31 12:57
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +19 $13 84¢ $16 +$2 11-01 09:05
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 10-31 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +88 $15 16¢ $15 $0 11-01 08:30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +47 $10 26¢ $12 +$2 11-01 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 84¢ $12 +$0 10-31 22:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +15 $11 74¢ $11 +$1 10-31 07:44
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 10-30 13:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +25 $9 34¢ $8 -$1 10-30 02:05
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +17 $8 43¢ $7 -$1 10-31 10:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $4 99¢ $7 +$3 10-30 05:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +30 $8 18¢ $6 -$2 10-31 08:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40 $5 12¢ $5 +$0 10-31 08:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $0 11-01 06:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 10-29 22:47
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $3 93¢ $5 +$2 10-30 01:32
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +83 $21 5¢ $4 -$16 11-01 04:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $3 58¢ $4 +$1 10-31 07:32
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 11-01 08:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +14 $0 26¢ $4 +$4 11-01 12:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 -$6 72¢ $4 +$9 10-29 17:19
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +120 $82 3¢ $4 -$78 10-25 20:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +10 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 10-31 08:29