(anonymous) 0x19e593…d6d7cd Create alert
bot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$705
Unrealized P&L
+$269
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved (30d)
262
Trades (30d)
2,209
4,027 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$24.0K
$37.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$700
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-04 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
53% 45% +$179
Politics
46% 50% +$718
Tech
1% 50% $0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +258 $86 93¢ $239 +$153 11-04 07:34
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +133 $17 91¢ $121 +$104 11-04 00:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +96 $53 57¢ $55 +$2 11-04 18:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +55 $30 56¢ $31 +$1 10-31 12:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +29 $24 90¢ $26 +$2 11-03 14:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +36 $23 68¢ $25 +$2 11-04 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +208 $33 11¢ $22 -$11 11-04 09:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +25 $19 74¢ $19 +$0 11-04 18:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +25 $17 68¢ $17 +$0 11-01 11:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $20 44¢ $16 -$4 11-03 13:47
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $15 +$5 09-14 13:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +15 $11 74¢ $11 +$1 10-31 07:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +25 $14 44¢ $11 -$3 11-04 14:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +38 $8 26¢ $10 +$1 11-03 13:48
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +140 $3 7¢ $10 +$6 11-03 21:24
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +17 $8 46¢ $8 $0 10-31 10:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 11-02 18:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +25 $11 26¢ $6 -$5 11-04 09:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +30 $8 21¢ $6 -$2 10-31 08:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $3 16¢ $6 +$3 11-03 09:43
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +5 $1 99¢ $5 +$4 10-29 17:50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 11-04 10:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 10-31 08:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +36 $6 12¢ $4 -$2 11-03 14:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +18 $4 22¢ $4 $0 11-04 08:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 -$6 72¢ $4 +$9 10-29 17:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 10-31 17:07
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +5 $3 69¢ $3 +$0 11-02 21:17
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-31 08:29
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $3 11¢ $3 $0 11-04 07:48