(anonymous) 0x19e593…d6d7cd
bot hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved (90d)
294
Trades (90d)
2,516
2,516 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$33.1K
$33.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$312
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-31 09:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
54% 45% +$243
Politics
45% 52% +$857
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +104 $51 52¢ $54 +$4 10-30 21:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 10-30 10:32
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $35 +$25 09-14 13:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +29 $21 74¢ $21 +$0 10-31 01:13
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $17 54¢ $16 -$1 10-31 08:41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +45 $12 33¢ $15 +$3 10-31 07:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +55 $12 20¢ $11 -$1 10-31 08:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +11 $11 98¢ $11 +$0 10-30 13:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +15 $11 66¢ $10 -$1 10-31 07:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +25 $14 40¢ $10 -$4 10-29 17:51
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 10-30 16:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +25 $9 34¢ $9 -$1 10-30 02:05
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +30 $8 26¢ $8 $0 10-31 08:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $4 97¢ $7 +$2 10-30 05:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $6 $0 10-30 21:34
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +7 $6 66¢ $5 -$1 10-30 12:47
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $3 90¢ $5 +$2 10-30 01:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-29 22:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40 $5 12¢ $5 $0 10-31 08:19
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $3 56¢ $4 +$1 10-31 07:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +14 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 10-31 08:58
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +120 $82 3¢ $4 -$78 10-25 20:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 -$6 68¢ $3 +$9 10-29 17:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-31 08:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +100 $18 3¢ $3 -$15 10-31 05:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +14 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-30 08:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 $0 10-29 19:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +17 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 10-31 08:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 10-31 03:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-31 05:29