Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$839
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
681
lifetime
Volume
$242.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$356
Open exposure
$18.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-23 06:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72%
Politics
21%
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +5,000 $3,465 83¢ $4.1K +$685 06-18 08:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,000 $3,400 90¢ $3.6K +$220 06-21 06:30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +4,931 $3,545 67¢ $3.3K $-241 06-13 08:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5,000 $2,000 50¢ $2.5K +$525 07-15 10:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,733 $1,388 86¢ $1.5K +$111 06-14 22:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,000 $1,200 $850 $-350 07-04 17:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $700 78¢ $775 +$75 06-05 20:20
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +791 $543 72¢ $565 +$22 07-23 12:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,000 $540 56¢ $565 +$25 07-05 03:26
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +301 $249 88¢ $265 +$16 07-20 12:04
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +91 $69 77¢ $70 +$2 07-20 04:11
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +1,000 $140 $16 $-123 07-14 20:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $130 99¢ $0 $-130 07-07 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $-2 50¢ $0 +$2 06-09 14:02