Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.52K

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,443

lifetime

Volume

$836.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$342

Open exposure

$97.1K

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-26 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

63% 76% +$24,119

Politics

21% 50% -$122

Tech

13% 67% -$3,012

Sports

3% 50% +$822

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+25,000	$19,485	74¢	$18.6K	-$897	10-13 07:12
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+17,926	$14,697	92¢	$16.4K	+$1,706	10-26 14:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+10,000	$4,140	88¢	$8.9K	+$4,710	08-27 05:51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,700	96¢	$4.8K	+$108	08-12 15:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,300	94¢	$4.7K	+$425	08-13 00:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+5,000	$4,650	94¢	$4.7K	+$25	08-22 09:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+5,000	$4,700	94¢	$4.7K	-$25	09-24 09:53
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+5,000	$3,703	86¢	$4.3K	+$622	10-23 13:27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,450	86¢	$4.3K	-$125	09-24 10:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$4,114	86¢	$4.3K	+$164	09-11 08:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+5,000	$4,000	72¢	$3.6K	-$425	10-24 17:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10,000	$2,210	19¢	$1.9K	-$285	09-17 11:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$1,140	89¢	$1.8K	+$640	09-25 17:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$1,200	89¢	$1.8K	+$579	10-02 08:42
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+2,000	$680	84¢	$1.7K	+$1,010	10-26 01:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,740	84¢	$1.7K	-$70	10-03 12:22
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,785	82¢	$1.6K	-$135	08-13 15:17
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+2,000	$860	82¢	$1.6K	+$770	08-22 03:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,170	34¢	$1.0K	-$150	10-01 07:01
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	+1,000	$850	92¢	$920	+$70	08-17 12:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+1,000	$343	81¢	$810	+$467	08-27 07:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,000	$1,026	38¢	$769	-$257	09-17 11:24
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$530	32¢	$640	+$110	10-05 21:19
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+2,000	$839	18¢	$370	-$469	09-27 13:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$480	16¢	$310	-$170	09-30 08:19
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+10,000	$892	3¢	$265	-$627	06-21 09:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+1,000	$236	21¢	$212	-$24	09-26 15:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$1,200	2¢	$195	-$1,005	07-04 17:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$250	15¢	$145	-$105	09-11 23:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$220	6¢	$110	-$110	09-25 21:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	185	$71.2K	51,916	51,916	+0	Yes	-$4,907	07-31 13:20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	137	$47.2K	33,816	33,816	+0	No	+$956	07-31 08:07
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	93	$33.8K	19,469	19,469	+0	Yes	+$2,487	07-18 17:13
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	54	$31.7K	17,703	17,703	+0	No	+$1,823	06-30 15:46
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	121	$26.0K	24,331	6,405	+17,926	open	—	10-26 14:49
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	84	$25.7K	18,966	18,966	+0	No	-$879	10-13 07:30
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	49	$24.9K	13,779	13,779	+0	Yes	+$1,492	07-21 20:20
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	44	$23.4K	12,215	12,215	+0	No	+$800	10-01 08:49
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	45	$23.2K	13,000	13,000	+0	No	+$1,732	07-02 08:14
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	46	$23.2K	22,271	14,271	+8,000	No	+$778	10-05 19:58
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	47	$23.0K	14,129	14,129	+0	Yes	+$4,596	07-21 20:21
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	79	$20.3K	21,986	16,986	+5,000	No	-$242	10-24 17:31
No one announced as next James Bond?	14	$19.5K	25,024	24	+25,000	open	—	10-13 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	41	$19.5K	25,200	15,200	+10,000	open	—	08-27 05:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	16	$17.9K	21,000	0	+21,000	No	+$3,078	07-26 14:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	51	$16.0K	10,354	10,354	+0	open	—	09-14 18:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	38	$13.4K	10,000	5,000	+5,000	open	—	08-13 00:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$13.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	09-18 18:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$13.2K	9,021	6,021	+3,000	Yes	+$873	07-19 22:01
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	17	$11.4K	13,000	3,000	+10,000	No	+$3,493	06-26 07:19
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	91	$10.5K	8,200	8,200	+0	No	+$16	06-24 08:30
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	59	$10.1K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	08-28 03:03
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$247	07-30 03:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	2	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	09-24 10:34
Trump out as President before 2027?	5	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-03 21:01
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$535	06-28 10:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	2	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$548	07-01 16:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$9.3K	12,000	2,000	+10,000	No	+$1,200	06-18 09:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	38	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$728	07-30 03:25
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$533	07-30 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:49:27	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	90¢	$66	0xb3fdbb…
10-26 01:22:08	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	596	90¢	$537	0x052bdf…
10-25 16:34:03	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	370	95¢	$351	0x0dc639…
10-25 15:41:21	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x52c784…
10-25 11:03:14	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xe68824…
10-25 07:44:56	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x065789…
10-25 03:13:26	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x095d82…
10-25 02:16:26	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbd4ee0…
10-24 18:32:45	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$25	0x630acd…
10-24 17:31:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	83¢	$4,170	0xd7bdce…
10-24 17:28:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	88¢	$4,400	0x3f7921…
10-24 12:48:42	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x4f7b45…
10-24 12:36:56	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x6dbe50…
10-24 12:36:48	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xd94bfd…
10-24 12:36:47	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xd3ab2a…
10-24 12:36:42	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$135	0xcf6142…
10-23 13:35:42	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x6e16d3…
10-23 13:27:48	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	401	82¢	$329	0xeef8ea…
10-23 13:21:50	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,599	82¢	$1,309	0x085b2d…
10-23 12:08:35	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0x1dd4f3…
10-23 12:08:27	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdf0279…
10-22 21:57:57	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	87¢	$296	0xec5900…
10-22 19:51:51	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x5cf7aa…
10-22 19:33:53	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x531cb2…
10-22 16:58:05	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	452	88¢	$398	0x98464a…
10-22 16:56:48	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,759	0xad65c3…
10-22 04:23:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	822	63¢	$522	0xd55ca9…
10-22 04:22:51	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xb46a31…
10-21 23:46:18	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x4d938f…
10-21 21:10:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x9511e1…
10-21 21:03:48	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x04d5a0…
10-21 21:03:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x3af7bc…
10-21 21:03:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$14	0xf7b71e…
10-21 21:03:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x203909…
10-21 21:03:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xbe5f05…
10-21 21:03:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0xc44353…
10-21 20:28:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xcf7c4f…
10-21 20:10:53	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	69¢	$2,066	0x4ec3b9…
10-21 14:25:51	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	1,874	94¢	$1,762	0x8182a2…
10-21 12:08:54	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x89a57f…
10-21 08:26:32	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	466	90¢	$419	0x5912d8…
10-20 20:57:47	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x909659…
10-20 19:35:26	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0xc6d843…
10-20 10:59:26	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x02c64b…
10-19 16:04:11	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x310db7…
10-18 19:39:06	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xe6d30f…
10-18 15:39:14	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	196	85¢	$167	0x2c728e…
10-18 15:39:12	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x999252…
10-18 15:39:12	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x1eb2fe…
10-18 15:39:11	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xfbcb1a…
10-17 16:47:27	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x46095d…
10-17 16:47:24	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x1b0caf…
10-17 13:03:32	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x0796e5…
10-16 19:26:08	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	134	20¢	$27	0x2e4570…
10-16 19:25:04	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	570	20¢	$114	0xee506e…
10-16 19:24:40	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	295	20¢	$59	0x6ef747…
10-16 19:14:37	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	363	16¢	$58	0x523663…
10-16 19:02:46	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	96	16¢	$15	0x77253b…
10-16 18:54:44	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	101	16¢	$16	0x89f883…
10-16 18:21:14	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	440	16¢	$70	0xd1eeda…
10-14 13:15:59	Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xccde1a…
10-13 17:00:40	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x76a36b…
10-13 10:50:52	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xf013b2…
10-13 07:30:04	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	1,500	14¢	$215	0xbe11b9…
10-13 07:12:20	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	873	72¢	$628	0xaa1f6c…
10-13 07:12:20	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	787	75¢	$590	0x123a27…
10-13 07:11:04	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	1,340	67¢	$893	0xb4b0f8…
10-11 18:44:33	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	607	81¢	$491	0xed17f4…
10-11 18:23:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xe1c9ca…
10-11 18:12:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	63	50¢	$31	0x50dca7…
10-11 18:08:00	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xf1bac9…
10-11 17:49:37	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfda29b…
10-11 17:46:42	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7a9927…
10-11 17:13:57	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xbb4c18…
10-11 17:12:34	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x7b5da6…
10-11 17:01:43	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb33aeb…
10-11 17:01:40	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x8c504e…
10-11 16:56:33	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0xe86757…
10-11 16:50:15	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xea435f…
10-11 16:12:28	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	No	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0xd935b1…
10-11 15:46:58	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x6668b0…
10-11 10:44:45	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x36a616…
10-11 10:44:41	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfcf1e1…
10-11 08:57:45	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	SELL	247	92¢	$228	0xb04e2d…
10-11 08:13:25	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe47942…
10-11 08:12:21	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x473880…
10-11 08:12:18	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdcdb96…
10-11 08:11:12	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x45c76c…
10-11 08:05:34	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x932e02…
10-11 08:04:28	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcb540a…
10-11 08:04:24	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa3ffea…
10-11 07:59:22	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	928	80¢	$743	0x5e3286…
10-11 07:59:22	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0x1659f5…
10-11 06:09:05	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	75¢	$323	0x0aa628…
10-10 18:10:43	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x9ff85d…
10-10 18:10:16	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	73¢	$243	0xca2926…
10-09 22:54:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x3985bc…
10-09 22:54:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	442	60¢	$265	0x8c33a6…
10-09 22:54:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x4e11fa…
10-09 09:34:31	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	232	76¢	$176	0xa1e2b5…