Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$95

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

165

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$33.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$3.76K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-01 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Politics

39% 62% +$972

Other

35% 59% +$133

Sports

13% 57% +$798

Tech

13% 100% +$291

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+2,110	$2,062	100¢	$2.1K	+$45	09-10 23:00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+900	$444	88¢	$796	+$352	10-16 01:45
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	+456	$246	83¢	$378	+$132	09-20 02:56
will zohran mamdani be time person of the year 2026	No	+219	$160	80¢	$176	+$15	07-27 23:01
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$121	94¢	$142	+$20	05-11 17:31
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+900	$590	12¢	$103	-$486	10-26 16:07
Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?	Yes	+94	$56	33¢	$31	-$25	10-25 10:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	-17	-$10	88¢	$-15	-$5	05-11 17:30
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	+11	-$41	73¢	$8	+$49	08-30 16:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+2,110	$6	0¢	$3	-$3	11-01 19:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	5	$2.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	08-12 01:19
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?	25	$2.3K	1,787	1,155	+631	Yes	+$237	03-03 05:44
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	18	$2.1K	5,712	1,492	+4,220	open	—	11-01 19:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$420	09-09 19:46
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	10	$1.4K	2,200	400	+1,800	open	—	10-26 16:07
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	11	$1.3K	824	809	+15	Yes	+$253	08-22 01:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$1.1K	900	900	+0	open	—	10-28 00:55
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	6	$1.1K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$43	09-21 03:01
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	13	$1.1K	1,354	544	+810	Yes	-$129	03-06 01:44
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	8	$1.0K	1,134	354	+781	No	+$199	08-12 01:27
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	5	$939	989	505	+483	No	+$130	08-11 07:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$790	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$210	09-13 23:56
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	19	$779	934	734	+200	No	+$17	05-14 21:05
Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	3	$762	1,245	227	+1,017	Yes	+$560	10-28 22:29
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	9	$653	1,702	839	+863	Yes	-$245	03-03 05:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$584	300	300	+0	Yes	+$15	03-01 15:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$579	500	500	+0	Yes	+$291	07-01 17:06
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	7	$577	600	0	+600	No	+$23	07-19 18:10
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	9	$519	384	373	+11	open	—	08-30 16:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$504	800	0	+800	No	+$96	07-29 15:50
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	11	$478	600	200	+400	No	+$10	08-30 02:59
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?	16	$460	978	550	+428	No	+$44	08-12 04:50
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	3	$411	602	0	+602	No	-$110	09-21 13:22
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	01-25 02:20
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	4	$373	432	0	+432	Yes	+$59	08-18 23:43
Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	4	$356	775	30	+746	Yes	-$317	10-29 13:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$332	200	200	+0	No	-$32	03-23 12:44
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026?	14	$301	607	185	+422	No	+$55	09-01 03:43
will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	15	$301	387	210	+176	Yes	-$31	03-20 12:50
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$295	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$55	07-19 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:58:07	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,459	0¢	$7	0x65766c…
10-29 13:18:29	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x3dac8f…
10-28 22:33:49	Will Invictus Gaming Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	74	90¢	$67	0x5d1f71…
10-28 22:32:05	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	524	45¢	$236	0x5ce3ec…
10-28 22:29:52	Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	SELL	227	67¢	$152	0x8d2073…
10-28 12:25:47	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x19cb75…
10-28 11:37:55	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x568e2b…
10-28 04:04:59	Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xfa7608…
10-28 00:55:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	900	53¢	$477	0xf30096…
10-27 03:59:39	Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	89	33¢	$29	0x16fc75…
10-26 22:02:36	Will Team Liquid Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x41b051…
10-26 16:07:38	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	400	45¢	$180	0x939f12…
10-26 12:46:59	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x61d0ff…
10-26 04:32:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	900	74¢	$666	0x5dfa6a…
10-25 10:32:27	Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?	Yes	BUY	94	60¢	$56	0x185cd2…
10-25 04:58:14	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x6f9bd3…
10-25 04:56:57	Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	945	50¢	$472	0x1e3e3b…
10-25 04:56:00	Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x11b644…
10-25 04:47:23	Will LOS Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x1a6746…
10-24 18:50:08	Will CTBC Flying Oyster Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	71	85¢	$61	0x6980cb…
10-24 05:41:38	Will Karmine Corp Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb4a575…
10-23 23:02:12	Will CTBC Flying Oyster Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	108	11¢	$12	0x55edd7…
10-23 20:08:59	Will Movistar KOI Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0xa49911…
10-19 14:47:54	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x2fae92…
10-19 12:29:03	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x951daf…
10-16 07:32:48	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0xacddec…
10-16 01:45:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x0becb2…
10-15 22:28:06	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6d9aa6…
09-29 06:54:38	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xf78ba3…
09-29 06:38:51	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0xe74b94…
09-23 01:46:10	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x87bab7…
09-22 01:58:36	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	36¢	$93	0x9ebb23…
09-22 01:55:53	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xa24923…
09-21 13:22:45	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	No	BUY	301	98¢	$296	0x050f9f…
09-21 03:33:29	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xd99f0b…
09-21 03:01:49	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3be82d…
09-21 03:01:43	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0xa6cddc…
09-21 03:01:35	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	53¢	$71	0x59b74c…
09-20 22:09:22	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x78e5d5…
09-20 20:52:07	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	Yes	BUY	244	40¢	$98	0xbd42a5…
09-20 20:50:37	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	Yes	BUY	57	30¢	$17	0xf1b352…
09-20 20:47:47	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x0b5f43…
09-20 20:46:04	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0xc0d79d…
09-20 20:41:47	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	26¢	$64	0x2aa763…
09-20 20:35:32	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	2¢	$5	0x6e6a99…
09-20 20:33:35	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	350	27¢	$93	0x9312fb…
09-20 20:00:16	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2d38ba…
09-20 17:22:22	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x8bea6d…
09-20 10:59:07	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x2dcb31…
09-20 06:39:04	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x881c0f…
09-20 04:47:01	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9b516a…
09-20 04:46:54	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe00c5a…
09-20 04:46:03	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x82c012…
09-20 02:56:40	Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	456	54¢	$246	0xc09740…
09-20 02:54:15	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa87efc…
09-20 02:54:15	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x831ab5…
09-19 16:03:12	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	979	80¢	$785	0xf88365…
09-19 01:08:42	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	10¢	$145	0x9d756a…
09-18 23:49:42	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x2d81cc…
09-18 10:13:21	Will Paul Mallett win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb5b5db…
09-17 13:10:03	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x006d06…
09-17 09:01:16	where will it rain on september 17 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfc63cd…
09-17 02:14:48	Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xca0f24…
09-13 23:56:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x5569c5…
09-13 21:25:54	Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x2ed64c…
09-13 08:59:34	Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0xc8f2c4…
09-10 23:00:34	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0x862d3e…
09-10 22:59:01	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	98¢	$987	0x92985d…
09-10 06:58:39	Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x608fc5…
09-10 04:54:54	Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9d6743…
09-09 19:46:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xe9eaca…
09-09 12:45:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0xf2e8c6…
09-09 12:07:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x5d541a…
09-09 12:07:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x4478bd…
09-08 06:13:00	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x42b277…
09-08 04:34:03	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xb736d2…
09-08 01:42:06	Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	175	18¢	$32	0xa0ea15…
09-08 01:41:27	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	189	32¢	$60	0x7ad7a5…
09-08 01:39:09	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	141	34¢	$47	0x4b1eac…
09-07 15:41:54	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xa7571c…
09-07 13:11:34	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	168	74¢	$125	0xbb4861…
09-07 07:48:58	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x18637f…
09-07 07:29:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	442	58¢	$257	0x88a84a…
09-05 20:05:57	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	65	59¢	$38	0x98d2f9…
09-05 16:09:16	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x9c1d18…
09-04 10:29:21	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x05023f…
09-04 03:34:39	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0xb93a49…
09-04 01:15:13	Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xfded53…
09-04 01:14:48	Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	232	64¢	$148	0xb57c34…
09-03 05:23:36	Will PQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5d3607…
09-03 01:27:18	Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xa27f16…
09-02 23:46:09	Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xd96240…
09-02 23:40:51	Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	235	75¢	$176	0x5aecc4…
09-02 23:40:07	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	189	56¢	$107	0xf059a3…
09-02 18:05:25	Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7855a0…
09-02 18:03:58	Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 2?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x7b6575…
09-02 18:01:54	Will it rain in New York, NY on September 2?	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x10eeee…
09-02 17:58:01	Will it rain in New York, NY on September 2?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9812d2…
09-02 17:56:40	Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 2?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x6fc704…
09-02 17:56:34	Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4f66a4…