Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

657

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 08-16 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

50% 32% -$17

Politics

29% 67% -$1

Sports

14% 39% +$28

Crypto

4% 75% +$12

Tech

3% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$11	91¢	$0	+$11	06-29 10:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	9¢	$0	-$1	06-30 11:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1	$2	18¢	$0	-$2	06-12 14:33
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	Yes	+3	$5	3¢	$0	-$5	07-02 19:12
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	$0	06-30 08:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+0	-$6	86¢	$0	+$6	06-29 11:01
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+0	$8	21¢	$0	-$8	07-02 07:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	24	$207	336	0	+336	Yes	+$129	06-04 15:39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	16	$138	125	125	+0	No	+$1	06-22 20:47
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	11	$90	85	85	+0	No	-$4	07-06 12:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	19	$80	48	48	-0	open	—	07-01 06:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	30	$73	235	235	+1	open	—	06-12 14:33
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	7	$72	83	83	-0	open	—	06-29 17:15
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$72	159	156	+3	Yes	+$7	06-22 18:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	7	$70	56	55	+0	open	—	06-29 10:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	12	$66	43	43	+0	open	—	06-29 11:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	6	$62	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	06-29 07:55
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	31	$59	260	0	+260	No	-$59	06-04 14:25
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	8	$58	61	60	+1	No	+$3	06-29 11:37
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	6	$57	38	38	+0	Yes	-$2	07-07 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	10	$57	77	77	+0	No	+$1	06-22 13:44
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	11	$52	79	79	+0	open	—	07-02 07:22
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	12	$51	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-19 07:04
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	9	$49	68	67	+1	Yes	-$6	06-29 08:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	5	$46	26	25	+1	open	—	06-29 10:28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	19	$46	68	68	+0	No	+$1	06-13 19:22
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	9	$45	63	60	+2	open	—	07-10 13:14
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	8	$36	86	86	+0	open	—	06-30 08:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	7	$33	59	0	+59	Yes	+$26	06-04 13:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?	10	$33	41	41	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 10:43
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	21	$31	223	0	+223	No	-$31	06-04 14:05
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	5	$31	41	38	+3	open	—	06-12 13:49
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	5	$28	41	41	-0	Yes	$0	07-08 05:54
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$28	97	94	+3	No	+$0	06-22 19:16
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	7	$28	42	0	+42	Yes	+$15	06-04 14:14
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	10	$27	49	49	+0	open	—	07-11 05:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	5	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	06-29 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 10:14:36	Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	65	9¢	$6	0xe69252…
08-16 10:14:36	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0xa75102…
08-16 10:14:36	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$11	0x8ead83…
08-05 11:26:59	Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xb00e3e…
07-26 06:41:01	Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x979a4a…
07-26 06:33:13	Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xc16270…
07-26 06:33:06	Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x332e83…
07-26 06:25:52	Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xb64d03…
07-12 14:13:04	Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x3482d4…
07-12 01:04:59	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0xf2c0c9…
07-11 16:43:11	Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x3458b0…
07-11 15:26:53	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x5f1673…
07-11 08:52:58	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb4b37d…
07-11 05:31:37	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x4ebc15…
07-10 13:14:37	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xb8323f…
07-10 09:29:37	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbe9ffa…
07-10 06:44:23	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa93422…
07-08 23:12:11	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd42a02…
07-08 05:54:44	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	No	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x37a5f3…
07-07 20:55:47	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x3e2847…
07-07 20:46:56	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xaec5e2…
07-07 14:50:43	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	38	72¢	$27	0x126b8f…
07-07 00:09:10	Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0a0ca4…
07-06 16:43:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x68cbc3…
07-06 16:28:32	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x595ea0…
07-06 16:20:41	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x40c0b7…
07-06 16:19:44	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x6efd23…
07-06 12:30:44	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	No	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0xd53a62…
07-06 12:20:11	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd8d042…
07-06 11:24:14	Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	19¢	$6	0x945075…
07-03 23:48:05	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b3ddc…
07-03 00:16:07	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xd72834…
07-02 19:12:05	Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xc7a14b…
07-02 07:22:32	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x192201…
07-02 01:35:17	Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x4931c1…
07-01 06:23:32	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0x3eee06…
07-01 03:03:13	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc6112b…
07-01 02:58:53	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x1d7afe…
06-30 22:44:14	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	27¢	$9	0x98e298…
06-30 22:39:49	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xdf9d4a…
06-30 14:33:38	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	62	12¢	$8	0xca4c1a…
06-30 13:46:35	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x73e135…
06-30 11:04:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x8f1b55…
06-30 09:24:49	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x2f51dc…
06-30 08:42:05	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd02462…
06-30 08:10:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x1e52e2…
06-30 08:04:10	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x1670db…
06-30 07:03:25	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1a513d…
06-30 05:52:19	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	64	14¢	$9	0xba3087…
06-30 04:55:26	Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x2fe1be…
06-30 03:56:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xbb5694…
06-30 01:01:47	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x56932f…
06-30 00:10:23	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x4af2d2…
06-29 21:13:10	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x1b3257…
06-29 18:42:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xc0125c…
06-29 17:46:13	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x2ac336…
06-29 17:37:19	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xedcf9e…
06-29 17:15:37	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0xc01254…
06-29 17:06:46	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x18090d…
06-29 17:00:31	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xc6e43f…
06-29 16:48:59	Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x1bce06…
06-29 16:16:02	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5d6f06…
06-29 16:13:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xdaa112…
06-29 15:55:34	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2afedb…
06-29 15:36:38	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0xd94ef2…
06-29 14:58:25	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x4fd305…
06-29 13:54:53	Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x24b772…
06-29 13:29:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0xe46afb…
06-29 11:37:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x609069…
06-29 11:27:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xc7ac51…
06-29 11:01:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x3356de…
06-29 10:40:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x1248af…
06-29 10:28:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x93d688…
06-29 10:24:04	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	73¢	$40	0xa63967…
06-29 09:45:02	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe81ab2…
06-29 09:44:32	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x0f8cce…
06-29 09:39:34	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xec8bd1…
06-29 09:38:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x8364fa…
06-29 09:34:28	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x0046d6…
06-29 09:33:44	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x7c2751…
06-29 08:21:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	32¢	$19	0x17f7dc…
06-29 07:58:07	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x0774e0…
06-29 07:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x8b9f7f…
06-28 22:15:32	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xdfb113…
06-28 07:08:22	Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x2d0c63…
06-28 05:30:29	Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x0e62d3…
06-28 00:04:01	Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x7b11ee…
06-27 17:21:13	Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x6d2b78…
06-27 15:28:46	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0bb52c…
06-26 18:48:56	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0e4786…
06-26 04:54:50	Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0xab8c2d…
06-25 12:56:25	Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4eee09…
06-24 17:17:28	Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xfbaafe…
06-24 16:20:26	Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf5d5d8…
06-24 03:20:10	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x523b3f…
06-24 02:37:10	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x6f2098…
06-24 02:36:53	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x7c8cd1…
06-24 02:35:19	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7c42fd…
06-24 02:35:04	Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x3fb1f5…
06-24 00:38:10	Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x9cfc94…