Realized P&L
+$30.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$28.8K
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
18
Trades
1,159
lifetime
Volume
$2.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.84K
Open exposure
$673.5K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 10-29 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% -$93,561
Politics
34% — —
Sports
24% 67% +$124,317
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -396,710 -$301,137 82¢ $-323319 -$22,182 09-06 00:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +222,388 $206,821 94¢ $210.2K +$3,336 10-29 11:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +339,361 $68,386 17¢ $56.8K -$11,543 09-02 18:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +442,738 $53,406 12¢ $54.2K +$829 10-29 11:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +37,313 $25,000 70¢ $26.3K +$1,306 10-29 11:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +1,815 $1,452 80¢ $1.5K +$9 10-29 11:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +200,000 $1,727 1¢ $1.2K -$527 10-29 11:44