Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.1%
Resolved
126
Trades
187
lifetime
Volume
$251
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 11-05 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
69% 39% +$5
Politics
21% 44% +$3
Sports
10% 38% -$2
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +3 $1 99¢ $3 +$2 09-08 20:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 27¢ $2 +$1 09-01 11:08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 09-07 14:54
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $0 11-03 12:08
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 $0 05-21 23:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $0 07-20 15:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-19 03:09
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +8 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-24 23:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-20 13:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-25 07:13
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-07 13:53
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-29 14:03