Realized P&L
+$3.47K
Unrealized P&L
-$181
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
12,186
Trades
164,386
lifetime
Volume
$319.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$1.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 09-23 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Other
64% 46% +$2,871
Politics
23% 50% +$529
Crypto
8% 44% +$44
Sports
3% 43% -$77
Tech
1% 48% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -67 -$52 98¢ $-65 -$13 05-12 17:59
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -63 -$61 100¢ $-63 -$2 05-06 20:28
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -46 -$44 99¢ $-46 -$2 05-06 12:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No -45 -$44 100¢ $-45 -$1 05-10 05:43
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -43 -$39 99¢ $-42 -$4 05-06 11:17
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -43 -$34 96¢ $-41 -$8 05-07 23:10
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -38 -$13 97¢ $-37 -$25 05-06 20:51
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -38 -$35 97¢ $-37 -$2 05-06 07:56
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -39 -$35 94¢ $-37 -$2 05-09 18:21
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -37 -$33 96¢ $-35 -$2 05-06 15:40
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? No -35 -$20 98¢ $-34 -$14 05-08 09:36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -33 -$32 100¢ $-33 $0 05-06 07:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -38 -$25 85¢ $-32 -$7 05-06 08:17
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -33 -$27 97¢ $-32 -$5 05-09 10:30
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -30 -$15 98¢ $-29 -$14 05-07 02:41
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -39 -$9 75¢ $-29 -$20 05-09 02:02
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -30 -$27 96¢ $-29 -$2 05-08 08:18
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -34 -$32 84¢ $-29 +$3 05-06 12:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -30 -$25 95¢ $-28 -$4 05-06 06:27
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -30 -$22 94¢ $-28 -$6 05-09 15:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -29 -$18 96¢ $-28 -$9 05-06 12:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -29 -$18 94¢ $-27 -$10 05-06 11:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -31 -$29 84¢ $-26 +$3 05-06 07:17
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -28 -$14 93¢ $-26 -$12 05-08 23:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No -25 -$12 99¢ $-25 -$13 05-13 20:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$22 98¢ $-24 -$3 05-07 04:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -25 -$23 98¢ $-24 -$2 05-06 16:33
Human moon landing in 2026? No -24 -$23 99¢ $-24 -$1 05-07 19:05
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -25 -$19 94¢ $-24 -$5 05-07 16:08
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -24 -$23 96¢ $-23 $0 05-09 13:29