Full-Bow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

102

Trades

163,493

lifetime

Volume

$313.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-24 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

64% 58% +$60

Politics

23% 55% +$2

Crypto

8% 56% +$7

Sports

3% 43% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1,453	$3.2K	6,494	0	+6,494	open	—	03-29 04:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	960	$2.3K	4,486	0	+4,486	open	—	03-30 18:18
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	934	$2.2K	4,412	0	+4,412	open	—	03-31 16:42
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	767	$1.7K	3,590	0	+3,590	open	—	03-31 18:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	673	$1.6K	3,104	0	+3,104	open	—	04-20 20:49
will the us invade iran by march 31	637	$1.5K	3,079	0	+3,079	open	—	04-01 03:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	634	$1.5K	3,120	0	+3,120	open	—	03-23 12:30
btc updown 5m 1771917000	158	$1.5K	1,385	1,662	-277	open	—	02-24 07:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	532	$1.2K	2,470	0	+2,470	open	—	04-20 21:34
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	542	$1.2K	2,445	0	+2,445	open	—	03-16 02:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	473	$1.2K	2,318	0	+2,318	open	—	03-08 21:29
will trump visit china by march 31	405	$997	1,953	0	+1,953	open	—	03-25 17:43
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	445	$996	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	04-20 20:50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	417	$971	2,090	0	+2,090	open	—	03-08 21:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	426	$925	1,808	0	+1,808	open	—	04-20 20:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	388	$859	1,748	0	+1,748	open	—	04-20 20:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	324	$797	1,605	0	+1,605	open	—	03-31 01:33
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	337	$790	1,601	0	+1,601	open	—	03-16 02:35
btc updown 5m 1771919400	318	$790	1,442	0	+1,442	open	—	02-24 07:54
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	317	$775	1,577	0	+1,577	open	—	03-26 00:55
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	356	$770	1,624	0	+1,624	open	—	04-20 19:23
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	323	$721	1,477	0	+1,477	open	—	04-20 21:44
bitboy convicted	338	$721	1,416	0	+1,416	open	—	04-01 04:35
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	368	$703	1,762	0	+1,762	open	—	03-16 02:18
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	309	$702	1,402	0	+1,402	open	—	04-16 19:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	303	$698	1,460	0	+1,460	open	—	03-29 02:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	234	$648	1,245	0	+1,245	open	—	03-10 11:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	276	$635	1,237	0	+1,237	open	—	03-10 13:08
btc updown 5m 1771920000	95	$626	720	0	+720	open	—	02-24 08:04
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	260	$624	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	04-20 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 13:55:58	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x052244…
06-23 17:52:32	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3a8500…
06-17 19:50:04	Ramp IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x1aaf04…
06-10 02:16:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x268b6a…
06-07 21:39:55	Will Trump nationalize elections?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x889b61…
06-06 02:03:34	Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x7c9f7b…
06-02 07:11:26	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x86b288…
06-02 05:02:48	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x38e86b…
06-02 04:17:59	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x675250…
06-02 04:12:23	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5adfd4…
05-28 23:33:04	Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xcae6a1…
05-28 21:27:41	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3835dc…
05-27 20:07:33	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xd7c78c…
05-13 17:17:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x2690e9…
05-13 15:28:05	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5eea7b…
05-13 04:48:50	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1a5ce4…
05-11 12:23:06	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x651c61…
05-09 14:08:13	Will AJ Brown be traded?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x1fb6a0…
05-09 07:26:53	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xb14ee7…
05-08 22:03:09	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x1e1aca…
05-08 08:09:33	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x3d1770…
05-08 06:30:11	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xb48698…
05-08 04:01:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xc2e95c…
05-08 03:57:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x72b2cc…
05-07 15:12:01	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x26f2b5…
05-07 13:04:07	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x620331…
05-07 08:44:44	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xa0425f…
05-07 05:45:08	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xea6561…
05-07 05:04:00	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xe3540f…
05-07 01:07:37	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0x7f9246…
05-06 20:28:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xd00265…
05-06 19:51:16	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x91ea28…
05-06 19:19:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe5c802…
05-06 19:11:50	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x1bd8bd…
05-06 18:51:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xadb5ab…
05-06 18:18:05	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x66e29c…
05-06 17:34:30	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x59e962…
05-06 17:00:26	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0x9779e6…
05-06 16:14:16	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x5d827d…
05-06 16:06:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x362202…
05-06 16:03:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x137947…
05-06 15:53:58	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x26c40a…
05-06 15:34:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xe2229c…
05-06 14:40:07	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1432d2…
05-06 14:34:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x5b82c9…
05-06 14:02:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xd509c0…
05-06 13:54:14	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa6d71f…
05-06 13:51:50	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x4a8ea0…
05-06 13:44:50	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0x28cd04…
05-06 13:13:50	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7f517b…
05-06 12:25:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x183cc9…
05-06 12:19:28	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x996fd4…
05-06 12:12:08	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x4584a8…
05-06 12:11:02	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x0a5de0…
05-06 11:59:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xbcea54…
05-06 11:02:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x9e1a0e…
05-06 11:00:42	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xc159e9…
05-06 10:46:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb8d229…
05-06 10:44:16	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8dae5a…
05-06 10:39:06	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0de584…
05-06 10:24:38	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xe0a8f1…
05-06 10:23:26	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xf19b60…
05-06 10:07:02	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xb10aed…
05-06 10:06:24	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3cf231…
05-06 10:02:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x394434…
05-06 09:51:22	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa45d05…
05-06 09:50:10	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0xa6078a…
05-06 09:43:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x53ae3f…
05-06 09:42:56	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98ba33…
05-06 09:42:52	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcdf717…
05-06 09:41:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xfdb3a9…
05-06 09:41:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x8ba547…
05-06 09:02:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x1cfe2b…
05-06 08:56:38	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x499163…
05-06 08:46:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x6a3bde…
05-06 08:45:24	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x142bda…
05-06 08:44:52	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x56828e…
05-06 08:34:38	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xa691cc…
05-06 08:33:10	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3d035a…
05-06 08:28:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4038e8…
05-06 08:26:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xd5e9e9…
05-06 08:25:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x4c3787…
05-06 08:06:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x68f622…
05-06 07:49:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x36f3c8…
05-06 07:22:40	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xed1392…
05-06 06:51:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x437e0e…
05-06 06:47:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x2255e0…
05-06 06:39:52	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x2fb17e…
04-20 21:56:28	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe77823…
04-20 21:56:28	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5e6149…
04-20 21:56:16	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x37ecdf…
04-20 21:52:30	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xf73ce7…
04-20 21:49:40	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x289307…
04-20 21:44:32	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x512d63…
04-20 21:43:56	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1a74d3…
04-20 21:40:32	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x29c3c0…
04-20 21:37:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6080ea…
04-20 21:34:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdde402…
04-20 21:32:48	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe80e25…
04-20 21:29:14	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd891ce…