Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
open
Total volume
$2,399
Trades
125
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$3,867
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-28
last 07-28 01:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $12
vs crowd: 14% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $22 | $417 | $396 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $126 | $477 | $351 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $29 | $214 | $185 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $14 | $115 | $101 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $92 | — | +$92 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $301 | $296 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $26 | $19 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $17 | $74 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $7 | $417 | $410 |
| unranked | 10 | $5 | $182 | $178 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +173 | $8 | $29 | 6 | 07-13 10:59 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-07 09:29 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +86 | $77 | $145 | 3 | 07-09 09:24 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +86 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-07 09:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +73 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-09 15:10 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +70 | $1 | $12 | 9 | 07-28 01:05 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +66 | $0 | $16 | 10 | 07-22 17:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 07-13 10:59 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 10:59 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-13 10:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 07-25 01:57 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-28 14:30 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 09:28 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-07 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-07 09:29 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-27 20:26 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 01:05:45 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xbb9b08… |
| 07-28 01:05:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xbb9b08… |
| 07-27 20:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a10ca… |
| 07-27 20:26:21 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a10ca… |
| 07-27 20:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e811f… |
| 07-27 20:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e811f… |
| 07-27 20:26:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e811f… |
| 07-25 01:57:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x00fa19… |
| 07-25 01:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x00fa19… |
| 07-25 01:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2a404a… |
| 07-25 01:57:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2a404a… |
| 07-25 01:57:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6eef89… |
| 07-25 01:57:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6eef89… |
| 07-22 17:37:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8c92fb… |
| 07-22 17:37:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8c92fb… |
| 07-15 14:45:23 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe55ca… |
| 07-15 14:45:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe55ca… |
| 07-15 14:45:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5ce567… |
| 07-15 14:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5ce567… |
| 07-15 14:44:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x6798b9… |
| 07-15 14:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6798b9… |
| 07-15 14:44:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6798b9… |
| 07-15 14:44:40 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6798b9… |
| 07-15 14:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x6798b9… |
| 07-13 10:59:26 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x16687c… |
| 07-13 10:59:26 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x16687c… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x1b6f29… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x1b6f29… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x1b6f29… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 193 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x1b6f29… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x1b6f29… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x810957… |
| 07-13 10:59:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x810957… |
| 07-12 12:03:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xef318e… |
| 07-12 12:03:10 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xef318e… |
| 07-12 12:03:07 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xc320a4… |
| 07-12 12:03:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xc320a4… |
| 07-12 12:03:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0x8d4d99… |
| 07-12 12:03:07 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8d4d99… |
| 07-12 12:03:04 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x570a15… |
| 07-12 12:03:04 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 133 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x570a15… |
| 07-12 12:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x570a15… |
| 07-12 12:03:04 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 230 | 95¢ | $218 | 0x570a15… |
| 07-10 12:45:56 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6f436b… |
| 07-10 12:45:56 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6f436b… |
| 07-10 11:21:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf63859… |
| 07-10 11:21:55 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf63859… |
| 07-10 11:21:55 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf63859… |
| 07-10 09:36:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4b8cde… |
| 07-10 09:36:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x4b8cde… |
| 07-10 09:36:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4b8cde… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 189 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xd8e4bf… |
| 07-09 15:10:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb912b2… |
| 07-09 15:10:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb912b2… |
| 07-09 15:10:35 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb912b2… |
| 07-09 09:24:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x20a58b… |
| 07-09 09:24:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20a58b… |
| 07-07 22:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb31964… |
| 07-07 22:25:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb31964… |
| 07-07 22:25:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xb31964… |
| 07-07 22:25:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xb31964… |
| 07-07 22:25:37 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb31964… |
| 07-07 22:04:53 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xac0844… |
| 07-07 22:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xac0844… |
| 07-07 22:04:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xac0844… |
| 07-07 11:20:44 | Watery-Variety 0x3de0…17c6 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x6a01e6… |
| 07-07 11:20:44 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a01e6… |
| 07-07 11:20:44 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a01e6… |
| 07-07 11:20:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6a01e6… |
| 07-07 10:39:26 | Watery-Variety 0x3de0…17c6 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc68aa2… |
| 07-07 10:39:26 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc68aa2… |
| 07-07 10:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x47a2ad… |
| 07-07 10:11:13 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x47a2ad… |
| 07-07 09:38:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 75 | 95¢ | $71 | 0x99c6fc… |
| 07-07 09:38:32 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x99c6fc… |
| 07-07 09:38:32 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x99c6fc… |
| 07-07 09:38:32 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x99c6fc… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 101 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Open-Amenity 0xa202…9b12 | Yes | SELL | 928 | 7¢ | $62 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 32 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 70 | 91¢ | $64 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:29:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0xcec80d… |
| 07-07 09:28:07 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x49f011… |