Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$64.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-15 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Sports

32% — —

Other

5% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	No		+14	$13	90¢	$13	$-0	06-10 08:49
Waymo IPO before 2027?	No		-7	$-7	96¢	$-7	$-0	06-15 13:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	8	$26.0K	13,050	13,050	+0	open	—	03-04 04:52
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	49	$14.8K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	03-03 03:10
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$8.9K	4,470	4,470	+0	open	—	03-05 21:10
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$7.5K	3,750	3,750	+0	open	—	03-06 06:31
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$4.2K	2,090	2,090	+0	open	—	03-10 15:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 36 37f	1	$370	370	0	+370	open	—	03-07 08:09
highest temperature in seattle on march 3 2026 44 45f	1	$312	312	0	+312	open	—	03-03 08:24
highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 8corbelow	1	$270	271	0	+271	open	—	03-07 08:15
highest temperature in paris on march 7 2026 13corbelow	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	03-07 08:20
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 90forhigher	1	$221	221	0	+221	open	—	03-02 12:43
highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 74forhigher	1	$206	206	0	+206	open	—	03-12 10:11
highest temperature in atlanta on march 7 2026 70 71f	1	$204	205	0	+205	open	—	03-07 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 4 2026 90forhigher	1	$197	197	0	+197	open	—	03-04 08:54
highest temperature in miami on march 7 2026 90forhigher	1	$192	192	0	+192	open	—	03-07 08:13
highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 6c	1	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	03-05 08:38
highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 58 59f	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-02 09:13
highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 67forbelow	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	03-05 08:38
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 20c	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	03-06 10:39
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$40	20	20	-0	open	—	03-13 10:04
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	06-15 13:15
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 10:04
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	06-15 13:18
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	06-15 13:18
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	06-10 14:21
will donald trump attend the g7 summit	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-15 13:16
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 9c	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 08:27
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	06-15 13:17
will openais valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	06-15 13:17
will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	03-13 10:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	06-10 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:18:45	Waymo IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x6c02f3…
06-15 13:18:21	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x0529a9…
06-15 13:18:13	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x235321…
06-15 13:17:52	will openais valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x792331…
06-15 13:17:16	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6a0b95…
06-15 13:16:43	will donald trump attend the g7 summit	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x9cac54…
06-15 13:15:19	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x457c3d…
06-10 14:21:03	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x7f5a2a…
06-10 14:20:07	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x3eeb2f…
06-10 09:02:24	will openais valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf6e5e9…
06-10 09:00:22	will donald trump attend the g7 summit	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdcdf52…
06-10 09:00:12	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xdce03a…
06-10 08:59:13	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2c8c0d…
06-10 08:59:06	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x55455c…
06-10 08:56:16	Another Elon baby by June 30?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x747077…
06-10 08:56:03	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xfdcfb4…
06-10 08:53:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x8886af…
06-10 08:49:43	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xb39c1e…
06-10 08:49:31	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x229e62…
05-04 19:02:04	Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Players	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x45a559…
05-04 19:01:16	Brazzaville: Digvijaypratap Singh vs Dillon Beckles	Digvijaypratap Singh	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6ab8a4…
03-13 10:23:35	cs2 ill ursa 2026 03 13	illwill	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x89c481…
03-13 10:23:13	cs2 biga fokusr 2026 03 13	BIG Academy	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6b06fa…
03-13 10:17:57	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6fe35c…
03-13 10:17:47	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 3 and 4	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x519e8e…
03-13 10:08:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4f6c09…
03-13 10:08:09	will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x7e377e…
03-13 10:07:59	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xd89166…
03-13 10:06:21	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x624f5e…
03-13 10:05:31	will march 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x195768…
03-13 10:05:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc70e2f…
03-13 10:04:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x7071f0…
03-13 10:04:31	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1665c7…
03-12 10:11:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 74forhigher	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xba495f…
03-11 08:28:33	highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x655d66…
03-11 08:28:13	highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3d10b4…
03-11 08:27:51	highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 9c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcef86c…
03-10 15:26:17	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x9651f1…
03-10 15:13:25	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	167	99¢	$166	0x46689a…
03-10 15:00:39	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,111	99¢	$1,104	0x012452…
03-10 14:53:29	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	229	99¢	$228	0xf7ef28…
03-10 14:53:29	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$220	0x925d6d…
03-10 14:53:19	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0x88514e…
03-10 14:52:59	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x2e3699…
03-10 11:24:27	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2,090	99¢	$2,077	0x5e4245…
03-10 11:22:31	dota2 pari ty 2026 03 10	Team Yandex	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x2a533a…
03-10 11:18:29	dota2 vg flc 2026 03 10	Team Falcons	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x58c219…
03-10 11:17:03	cs2 hs2 aim1 2026 03 10	HyperSpirit	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x935b68…
03-07 14:54:13	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 60 and 70	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe2bdf3…
03-07 08:28:43	highest temperature in atlanta on march 7 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x244de0…
03-07 08:27:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9d1a4a…
03-07 08:25:15	will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5c2507…
03-07 08:25:01	will march 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9e0b2c…
03-07 08:20:53	highest temperature in paris on march 7 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xaf683e…
03-07 08:15:15	highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x6dcc70…
03-07 08:13:03	highest temperature in miami on march 7 2026 90forhigher	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x60c3a8…
03-07 08:09:51	highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x1df26b…
03-06 10:39:01	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 20c	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x953e6a…
03-06 06:31:31	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$216	0xf2906f…
03-06 06:09:29	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	873	99¢	$868	0xc83be8…
03-06 05:40:25	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,450	99¢	$1,441	0x51c618…
03-06 05:40:11	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,210	99¢	$1,203	0x81733b…
03-05 21:10:43	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,035	99¢	$1,027	0x45d4a5…
03-05 21:09:49	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,006	99¢	$998	0x85b3af…
03-05 21:05:41	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$104	0xe5345c…
03-05 21:05:29	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	536	99¢	$532	0x173975…
03-05 21:04:55	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$502	0x25bbd9…
03-05 21:04:35	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	720	99¢	$715	0xc44c4a…
03-05 21:04:19	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	562	99¢	$557	0xb8ee52…
03-05 19:39:03	atp vallejo schiess 2026 03 05	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x30623d…
03-05 19:38:25	atp majchrz perrica 2026 03 04	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x458768…
03-05 19:36:35	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4,470	99¢	$4,434	0x52d222…
03-05 08:47:39	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb96f1f…
03-05 08:47:07	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3,750	99¢	$3,728	0xe0320c…
03-05 08:38:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 67forbelow	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc4b646…
03-05 08:38:35	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 6c	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xe4cba3…
03-04 09:06:37	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x57db6a…
03-04 08:54:11	highest temperature in miami on march 4 2026 90forhigher	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x69db77…
03-04 04:52:41	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x77c112…
03-04 04:09:43	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2e27c0…
03-04 03:56:43	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,193	100¢	$1,189	0xcec828…
03-04 03:20:59	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x692cfc…
03-04 02:54:57	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5,749	100¢	$5,731	0x5b7ec3…
03-03 18:08:29	will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xac4af9…
03-03 18:06:35	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	7,518	100¢	$7,495	0xc2ebfd…
03-03 08:26:39	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x98e1e4…
03-03 08:24:19	highest temperature in seattle on march 3 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x551e90…
03-03 03:10:03	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xd10a95…
03-03 03:09:51	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x32dfb1…
03-03 03:09:37	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x13c04c…
03-03 03:09:25	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0xdf07a5…
03-03 03:09:11	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x8001f3…
03-03 03:08:57	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x3a16b5…
03-03 03:08:41	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x03a437…
03-03 03:08:23	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x99cbff…
03-03 03:08:11	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xab04eb…
03-03 03:07:57	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x8ab3a6…
03-03 03:07:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5ab907…
03-03 03:07:05	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x0c697b…
03-03 03:04:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	612	100¢	$610	0xb5513e…