(anonymous) 0xd57745…afd2da
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
145
lifetime
Volume
$64.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$445
Open exposure
$142
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 06-10 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
63% — —
Sports
32% — —
Other
5% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +23 $21 93¢ $21 +$0 06-10 14:21
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 $-0 06-10 08:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +19 $17 90¢ $17 +$0 06-10 08:53
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +19 $17 93¢ $17 +$0 06-10 08:56
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +19 $17 86¢ $16 $-1 06-10 14:20
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 06-10 08:49
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-10 08:56
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? No +14 $13 90¢ $13 $-0 06-10 08:49
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +9 $9 96¢ $9 $-0 06-10 08:59