Boiling-Broiler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

909

Trades

2,064

lifetime

Volume

$58.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-21 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 49% -$215

Other

34% 74% +$250

Tech

10% 100% +$147

Politics

7% 100% +$78

Sports

0% 76% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	41	$4.4K	2,620	2,620	+0	No	+$147	08-21 13:00
will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	142	$2.5K	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	08-21 14:51
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	2	$2.2K	1,146	1,146	+0	Yes	-$18	02-08 15:48
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$2.0K	1,077	1,077	+0	No	-$25	02-11 18:08
bitcoin above 82k on january 14	3	$1.8K	937	937	+0	Yes	+$3	01-09 05:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	24	$1.7K	915	915	+0	open	—	08-21 13:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 21	4	$1.6K	861	798	+63	No	-$5	01-20 19:21
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.2K	1,175	0	+1,175	No	+$2	01-25 20:55
bitcoin above 94k on january 25	1	$1.2K	1,173	0	+1,173	No	+$1	01-25 01:10
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$1.2K	1,160	0	+1,160	No	+$1	02-05 19:58
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$1.2K	1,167	0	+1,167	Yes	+$9	01-22 19:43
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$1.2K	589	589	+0	No	+$2	01-19 15:31
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	61	$1.1K	729	729	+0	open	—	08-21 14:50
bitcoin above 86k on january 24	1	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	Yes	+$5	01-23 22:12
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	01-27 01:22
will derek turnbow die in stranger things season 5	1	$998	0	999	-999	No	-$1	01-01 01:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 10	1	$949	950	0	+950	No	+$1	01-10 15:39
ethereum above 3400 on january 9	1	$917	918	0	+918	No	+$1	01-09 14:33
bitcoin above 86k on january 7	1	$910	912	0	+912	Yes	+$2	01-07 02:08
bitcoin above 84k on january 6	2	$899	910	0	+910	Yes	+$11	01-04 01:30
will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	45	$854	673	673	+0	open	—	08-21 14:47
ethereum above 2900 on january 20	2	$838	420	420	+0	Yes	+$1	01-20 05:55
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	47	$833	555	555	+0	open	—	08-21 14:48
ethereum above 3200 on january 20	1	$790	799	0	+799	No	+$9	01-20 14:27
ethereum above 3300 on january 12	4	$768	774	0	+774	No	+$6	01-12 08:21
will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 15	1	$758	758	0	+758	No	+$1	01-15 13:52
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$754	400	400	+0	No	+$6	01-20 05:34
spx up or down on january 20 2026	1	$747	747	0	+747	Down	+$1	01-20 19:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	47	$721	871	871	+0	open	—	08-21 13:01
ethereum above 3500 on january 22	1	$717	719	0	+719	No	+$2	01-21 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 14:53:27	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	113	15¢	$17	0xdf4c05…
08-21 14:53:18	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xb458b9…
08-21 14:53:12	will noble launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	78	90¢	$70	0xd7cd02…
08-21 14:52:48	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	65	56¢	$36	0x7c657a…
08-21 14:52:42	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0xef43fc…
08-21 14:52:00	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	57	73¢	$42	0xc3f1b3…
08-21 14:51:51	will axiom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	103	56¢	$57	0x6c2642…
08-21 14:51:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x350ae1…
08-21 14:51:22	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0x53d8d5…
08-21 14:50:19	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	79¢	$45	0x620c8c…
08-21 14:48:28	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	82¢	$46	0x2db4be…
08-21 14:48:04	will phantom launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	68	69¢	$47	0xb5415d…
08-21 14:47:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0xbf1cf0…
08-21 14:47:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x3f7556…
08-21 14:47:22	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	58	85¢	$50	0xbfff23…
08-21 14:47:07	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	61	75¢	$46	0xfb1172…
08-21 14:46:58	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	80	57¢	$46	0x9e09e9…
08-21 14:46:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0xafa7d8…
08-21 13:04:51	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	121	30¢	$37	0x45fd47…
08-21 13:04:13	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$35	0xb9ae88…
08-21 13:04:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	132	27¢	$36	0xdf60c0…
08-21 13:04:03	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xd33928…
08-21 13:03:51	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0xdbd48a…
08-21 13:03:42	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	92	44¢	$41	0x9cd80b…
08-21 13:03:36	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	68	58¢	$39	0x9f91ff…
08-21 13:03:27	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	94¢	$29	0xd67292…
08-21 13:03:19	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0x4ebd30…
08-21 13:03:12	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	26	82¢	$22	0x9e0081…
08-21 13:03:06	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x6c0fa3…
08-21 13:02:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	59	83¢	$49	0xe2fa0c…
08-21 13:02:48	will relay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x3e35f0…
08-21 13:02:30	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x17c43d…
08-21 13:02:24	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	101	15¢	$15	0x7a2b7c…
08-21 13:02:18	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	27	56¢	$15	0xfbe2a5…
08-21 13:02:12	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x4f2804…
08-21 13:02:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$2	0x65cc1f…
08-21 13:01:57	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$45	0xe97d71…
08-21 13:01:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	55	87¢	$48	0x694b48…
08-21 13:01:43	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	51¢	$47	0x501ebd…
08-21 13:01:36	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	59	79¢	$46	0xac3bf5…
08-21 13:01:28	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	61	77¢	$47	0x930976…
08-21 13:01:22	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0x7f6229…
08-21 13:01:13	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x8f3d85…
08-21 13:01:04	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	115	47¢	$54	0x865f02…
08-21 13:00:57	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x1694f5…
08-21 13:00:51	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	72	72¢	$52	0x6ef3be…
08-21 13:00:42	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	62	87¢	$54	0x4442d7…
08-21 13:00:34	will curvance launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	96	62¢	$59	0xb720a8…
08-21 13:00:19	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	211	93¢	$197	0x296d7f…
08-20 20:43:06	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xdde8b4…
08-20 18:22:22	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x33456a…
08-20 14:29:40	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x3047a7…
08-20 12:02:13	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xabc475…
08-19 23:34:48	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb7e81b…
08-19 19:14:01	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x3ff3c7…
08-19 18:06:48	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x340fcf…
08-19 11:59:42	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x031edc…
08-19 11:55:12	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5d5a61…
08-18 23:07:36	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x296009…
08-18 15:18:22	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0xa67629…
08-18 04:45:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x970b46…
08-18 03:23:45	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xee840b…
08-17 07:17:27	will relay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x452b0d…
08-16 22:45:24	will relay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xbe29e5…
08-16 22:36:37	will relay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xb701f4…
08-16 22:36:28	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x31e08a…
08-16 22:36:12	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x89a9dc…
08-16 22:31:54	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x797eb9…
08-16 22:31:27	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x6d56a1…
08-16 22:29:34	will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xc7ba23…
08-15 13:07:34	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf319e7…
08-14 19:46:22	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xa21d9c…
08-14 19:46:01	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xecbd92…
08-14 18:52:04	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0x41f3bb…
08-14 12:54:57	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x450e96…
08-14 12:53:49	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7ca463…
08-13 19:47:01	Will Ethereal launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xaf55f7…
08-13 18:59:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xe52003…
08-13 18:32:19	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x15bf45…
08-13 12:26:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0x76dbef…
08-13 11:41:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x0d2410…
08-13 08:02:21	will noble launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x877d44…
08-12 23:09:09	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x384509…
08-12 16:31:19	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x561f2f…
08-12 01:00:55	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x4480c4…
08-11 16:22:43	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	68	67¢	$45	0x6d3665…
08-11 13:34:40	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x374678…
08-11 13:34:36	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x256a5b…
08-11 13:34:30	will fomo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	118	62¢	$73	0xdbdeb4…
08-11 08:45:49	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x36a409…
08-11 08:00:31	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf01ddb…
08-11 07:59:18	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$20	0xe2aed0…
08-10 15:21:49	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7cd658…
08-10 15:21:45	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x463e0d…
08-10 15:21:43	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x768d2a…
08-10 02:55:13	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x1323ba…
08-09 20:44:49	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x3898c1…
08-09 15:55:07	Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa1cc93…
08-07 19:45:18	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	87¢	$12	0x55154a…
08-07 16:47:51	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x768862…