Friendly-Moth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

891

Trades

2,000

lifetime

Volume

$413.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$207

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-05 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

62% 41% -$7,029

Sports

24% 43% +$3,785

Crypto

12% 39% -$6,629

Politics

2% 27% +$406

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 7 2am et	9	$7.0K	4,705	4,633	+72	Up	+$2,311	03-07 08:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$6.1K	3,655	3,655	+0	No	+$1,225	07-14 20:56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	4	$5.9K	5,451	5,000	+451	No	+$458	05-09 11:37
nba hou den 2026 03 11	3	$5.4K	3,773	3,373	+400	Nuggets	+$749	03-12 03:41
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	4	$5.0K	3,485	3,485	+0	Yes	+$888	09-13 21:52
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	4	$4.7K	4,059	4,059	+0	Fluxo W7M	+$2,109	05-10 19:58
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	12	$4.5K	5,223	5,223	+0	Celtics	+$464	03-26 01:50
epl mac cov 2026 09 05 spread home 2pt5	5	$4.4K	2,641	2,641	+0	Coventry City FC	+$889	09-05 15:52
Spread: Bills (-20.5)	2	$4.0K	3,183	3,183	+0	Lions	+$1,071	09-18 02:13
Celtics vs. 76ers	4	$3.7K	2,275	2,258	+17	Celtics	+$295	04-25 01:41
lol c9 red 2026 03 05	8	$3.6K	7,396	7,396	+0	Cloud9	+$1,543	03-06 01:42
cs2 krespo gh 2026 03 03	7	$3.4K	3,547	3,011	+536	ex-KRÜ Esports	+$740	03-03 15:34
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	4	$3.2K	13,305	13,305	+0	open	—	09-08 12:13
lol es1 use1 2026 03 05	6	$2.8K	2,280	2,280	+0	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	+$623	03-05 20:11
lol th kc 2026 04 12 game1	3	$2.7K	2,057	1,711	+346	Karmine Corp	-$50	04-12 17:53
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	2	$2.7K	1,695	1,695	+0	Gen.G	+$678	05-27 09:45
Chiefs vs. Raiders	5	$2.6K	4,148	4,148	+0	Chiefs	-$187	10-04 23:10
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 total 3pt5	2	$2.6K	1,840	1,840	+0	Under	+$572	03-11 21:51
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-05?	3	$2.4K	1,920	1,920	+0	Yes	+$1,401	09-05 15:55
lol c9 fur 2026 03 04	6	$2.4K	4,782	3,307	+1,475	FURIA Esports	+$659	03-04 22:33
uel not mid1 2026 03 12 not	5	$2.4K	3,356	3,356	+0	No	-$1,678	03-12 21:45
lol use1 g2nord 2026 03 03	8	$2.3K	5,452	1,337	+4,115	G2 NORD	-$104	03-03 18:32
Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	3	$2.3K	1,674	1,674	+0	Yes	+$1,057	09-12 15:56
ethereum up or down march 7 12am et	4	$2.2K	1,721	1,695	+27	Up	+$578	03-07 05:45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	4	$2.2K	3,441	3,441	+0	No	-$106	05-03 14:47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	2	$2.1K	1,541	1,541	+0	Yes	+$385	09-13 16:11
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	4	$2.0K	2,058	2,058	+0	open	—	09-08 12:13
cs2 mouz ast10 2026 03 07	8	$2.0K	12,989	2,989	+10,000	MOUZ	+$574	03-07 19:00
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	8	$2.0K	1,448	1,427	+21	Mavericks	+$516	04-06 02:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 15:00 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,292	1,253	+38	Up	+$528	04-08 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 09:33:08	lol navi fly 2026 10 05 game2	FlyQuest	BUY	653	44¢	$287	0xe72bb9…
10-05 08:45:32	LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0xd33c3b…
10-05 03:57:29	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	909	66¢	$600	0x1ddd00…
10-05 03:38:40	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	SELL	1,042	99¢	$1,031	0xa1da6b…
10-05 02:34:47	Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 52.5	Under	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0x766fb8…
10-05 02:31:53	Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 52.5	Under	SELL	489	11¢	$54	0x275f41…
10-05 01:18:38	Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0xdb63e2…
10-05 01:16:50	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0xe8aa91…
10-05 01:16:37	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xffcc2d…
10-05 01:15:55	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xdbbc75…
10-05 01:15:28	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbe8ff0…
10-05 01:14:59	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf766e7…
10-05 01:14:59	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0xee2fb5…
10-05 01:14:56	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf0812f…
10-05 01:14:26	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6fb5fc…
10-05 01:14:16	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	SELL	422	99¢	$418	0x8ebcdc…
10-04 23:11:23	Jazz vs. Nuggets	Jazz	BUY	1,009	42¢	$420	0xd4c18a…
10-04 23:10:35	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	SELL	1,736	25¢	$434	0x4cf0e4…
10-04 18:15:13	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0x251996…
10-04 18:14:25	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	1,667	33¢	$550	0x65737a…
10-04 18:13:50	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	SELL	1,625	35¢	$569	0x088c52…
10-04 17:58:44	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	BUY	1,625	48¢	$780	0x079a51…
10-04 17:58:16	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	SELL	2,412	32¢	$772	0xe49c93…
10-03 17:27:42	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	2,412	34¢	$820	0x02de59…
10-03 16:36:27	LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner	LOUD	BUY	889	45¢	$400	0xd287fb…
10-03 13:55:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	ShindeN	BUY	581	43¢	$250	0x9771cd…
09-27 05:32:18	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Dolphins	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x826f13…
09-27 05:31:56	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	2¢	$10	0xfef0f3…
09-27 05:31:33	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Dolphins	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x3c9b9a…
09-23 01:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,543	58¢	$900	0x289b59…
09-23 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	783	55¢	$432	0xd413e3…
09-23 01:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,102	52¢	$568	0x6b8f99…
09-23 01:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	486	41¢	$200	0xbb4140…
09-23 01:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	415	54¢	$224	0xc245ad…
09-23 01:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	757	40¢	$300	0xa85cb3…
09-23 00:55:49	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Toronto Tempo	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0x133dfe…
09-23 00:45:22	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Toronto Tempo	BUY	422	43¢	$180	0xfc2cf4…
09-22 02:18:54	Giants vs. Rams	Giants	SELL	149	1¢	$2	0x1ebe68…
09-22 02:16:12	Spread: Rams (-10.5)	Giants	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x8a6803…
09-22 02:15:48	Spread: Rams (-10.5)	Giants	SELL	342	10¢	$34	0x6a746d…
09-22 02:15:14	Spread: Rams (-10.5)	Giants	SELL	123	11¢	$14	0xf70928…
09-22 01:33:21	Spread: Rams (-10.5)	Giants	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0x603fae…
09-21 19:52:33	Giants vs. Rams	Giants	BUY	444	27¢	$120	0x2cb359…
09-21 05:01:30	Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	No	BUY	604	50¢	$300	0x34dcf1…
09-20 21:37:56	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	421	29¢	$122	0x674162…
09-20 21:05:35	Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	BUY	733	30¢	$220	0x11506a…
09-20 17:45:30	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	BUY	378	45¢	$170	0xe934ff…
09-20 17:39:33	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	SELL	303	31¢	$95	0x562dd4…
09-20 17:09:16	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	421	57¢	$240	0x24fc80…
09-20 17:09:03	Bengals vs. Texans	Bengals	BUY	303	40¢	$120	0x3eabfd…
09-20 16:43:30	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	394	33¢	$130	0xd1a815…
09-20 16:42:40	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	SELL	231	60¢	$138	0x030a76…
09-20 16:35:27	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	SELL	433	8¢	$35	0xc1419c…
09-20 15:47:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	231	52¢	$120	0xca82d8…
09-20 15:40:22	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	316	38¢	$120	0x7e875a…
09-20 15:14:13	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	433	30¢	$130	0xe0fe7c…
09-20 15:04:31	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x4c8faf…
09-20 14:56:04	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	447	100¢	$447	0x35c91b…
09-20 14:50:07	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	334	69¢	$230	0x6b4fc7…
09-20 13:39:24	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xfd1d77…
09-20 13:38:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	447	38¢	$170	0x198fe9…
09-19 16:43:30	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game2	Vitality	SELL	250	36¢	$90	0x8f40cf…
09-19 16:15:57	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game2	Vitality	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0xdf0874…
09-19 16:08:00	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game1	Aurora Gaming	SELL	477	100¢	$476	0x23c105…
09-19 15:56:24	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game1	Aurora Gaming	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x21a2e7…
09-19 15:54:26	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game1	Aurora Gaming	BUY	298	57¢	$170	0x868fe1…
09-19 15:51:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	SELL	535	100¢	$534	0xe43a1c…
09-19 13:36:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	535	43¢	$230	0xbd59e9…
09-18 20:21:49	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	415	100¢	$414	0x3790db…
09-18 17:09:54	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	415	41¢	$170	0x171314…
09-18 03:33:18	Spread: Bills (-13.5)	Lions	SELL	889	100¢	$888	0x22743c…
09-18 02:18:55	Lions vs. Bills	Lions	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xf5780d…
09-18 02:13:09	Spread: Bills (-20.5)	Lions	SELL	3,183	79¢	$2,514	0xf1d375…
09-18 01:03:49	Spread: Bills (-20.5)	Lions	BUY	3,183	45¢	$1,443	0x976802…
09-18 00:41:33	Spread: Bills (-13.5)	Lions	BUY	889	45¢	$400	0x0641f4…
09-17 17:32:40	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	316	38¢	$120	0x98fc8a…
09-17 17:22:21	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	BUY	225	40¢	$90	0x9345f7…
09-17 12:46:51	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	SELL	378	100¢	$377	0xf58b15…
09-17 10:48:10	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	378	45¢	$170	0x77e38b…
09-17 10:47:27	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	SELL	417	99¢	$412	0x2f08e4…
09-17 10:06:40	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x500c14…
09-16 22:36:57	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	16¢	$100	0xba2902…
09-16 22:02:34	Lions vs. Bills	Lions	BUY	424	33¢	$140	0x65cbb5…
09-16 19:20:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x6d54f9…
09-16 17:28:30	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	938	80¢	$750	0xc5e245…
09-16 14:47:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0x59a785…
09-16 14:46:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	451	49¢	$220	0x480098…
09-15 21:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,050	99¢	$1,039	0xfba0f7…
09-15 21:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,050	57¢	$600	0x7ad11d…
09-15 21:14:49	Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	618	60¢	$370	0x4f1063…
09-15 20:44:30	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	370	73¢	$270	0xa04568…
09-15 01:28:24	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	SELL	745	33¢	$246	0x08bdc1…
09-15 00:14:12	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	745	47¢	$350	0x3f48f1…
09-14 20:36:10	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xccecc4…
09-14 20:35:31	Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	358	53¢	$190	0xe022bc…
09-14 20:34:36	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	833	100¢	$831	0xcf7745…
09-13 22:33:49	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	833	42¢	$350	0x48ecff…
09-13 21:52:13	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	2,116	100¢	$2,113	0xce332f…
09-13 16:47:46	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2,116	58¢	$1,238	0xa5c1cc…
09-13 16:11:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	1,541	82¢	$1,263	0x6cc6e6…