Lavish-Horde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$107

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$313.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.28K

Open exposure

$4.11K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-26 05:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Sports

76% 64% +$27,416

Other

17% 81% -$3,842

Politics

7% 100% +$352

Crypto

0% 38% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+4,280	$4,000	96¢	$4.1K	+$107	09-19 04:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$87.9K	104,409	0	+104,409	No	+$16,550	06-29 04:37
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	13	$31.2K	34,268	0	+34,268	Yes	+$3,084	04-05 04:45
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	6	$30.7K	38,338	0	+38,338	Justin Gaethje	-$30,670	06-14 15:00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$21.4K	52,483	0	+52,483	No	+$29,794	07-12 16:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$21.2K	34,987	0	+34,987	No	+$12,976	07-12 16:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$10.0K	10,010	0	+10,010	No	+$10	04-02 05:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	31	$9.6K	60,162	0	+60,162	No	-$9,560	04-05 04:45
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	5	$6.5K	6,563	0	+6,563	Yes	+$63	05-17 08:38
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	11	$6.1K	6,374	0	+6,374	No	+$233	04-29 05:12
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	5	$6.1K	6,470	0	+6,470	No	+$370	03-31 14:02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	20	$5.7K	6,450	0	+6,450	Yes	+$740	04-05 04:31
bkcba she jia 2026 03 24	2	$4.1K	4,759	0	+4,759	Shenzhen Leopards	+$618	03-24 11:59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$4.0K	7,660	0	+7,660	Yes	-$4,038	10-03 05:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$4.0K	4,280	0	+4,280	open	—	09-19 04:38
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$4.0K	4,167	0	+4,167	No	+$167	10-01 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$4.0K	4,085	0	+4,085	No	+$88	04-18 06:10
ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	1	$3.6K	8,322	0	+8,322	Mason Jones	-$3,597	03-21 04:48
ufc abd2 she6 2026 03 21	1	$3.5K	7,067	0	+7,067	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	+$3,604	03-20 15:29
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	4	$3.1K	4,523	1,429	+3,095	Yes	+$4	04-22 06:30
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$3.0K	3,209	0	+3,209	No	+$209	03-27 14:42
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$3.0K	4,617	0	+4,617	No	+$1,637	04-29 04:57
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.2K	2,444	0	+2,444	Yes	+$244	05-26 04:51
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$2.0K	3,942	0	+3,942	No	-$2,008	10-03 05:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,026	0	+2,026	No	+$26	03-30 15:05
efa mnc liv 2026 04 04 mnc	2	$2.0K	2,157	0	+2,157	Yes	+$157	04-04 12:54
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2.0K	2,049	0	+2,049	No	+$49	10-01 05:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$2.0K	2,066	0	+2,066	No	+$66	04-17 14:34
will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$2.0K	2,045	0	+2,045	No	+$45	04-19 17:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$10	04-01 09:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$1.5K	1,526	0	+1,526	No	+$28	04-21 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:58:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	366	78¢	$285	0xd8a603…
10-03 05:10:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,838	58¢	$1,635	0x0a9dea…
10-03 05:01:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,847	47¢	$867	0xe45dce…
10-02 17:06:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	940	54¢	$510	0xd39e8f…
10-02 15:06:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	948	55¢	$518	0x701767…
10-02 15:04:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	207	55¢	$113	0x9b71cf…
10-01 05:40:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,041	96¢	$1,000	0x10086f…
10-01 05:39:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,041	96¢	$1,000	0x413e63…
10-01 05:39:06	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x8c9586…
10-01 05:38:59	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,026	97¢	$1,000	0xe707e5…
10-01 05:38:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0x63d8f9…
10-01 05:38:36	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0xd56fcd…
10-01 05:38:05	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0x65b2b5…
09-19 04:38:34	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2,183	92¢	$2,000	0x08cfed…
09-16 05:38:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2,096	95¢	$2,000	0x55b4e4…
08-31 06:01:13	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	900	36¢	$321	0x23c0d0…
08-07 05:32:07	cs2 cs1 g1 2026 08 07	GenOne	BUY	321	53¢	$170	0x8b8b28…
08-07 05:24:55	cs2 saw2 eac 2026 08 07	SAW	BUY	314	59¢	$185	0x6b2e8b…
08-06 15:02:02	codmw c9 omit 2026 08 06	OMiT	BUY	288	58¢	$167	0x429654…
08-06 14:57:26	Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x1231c8…
08-06 14:56:09	Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06?	No	BUY	1,482	79¢	$1,170	0xa54195…
08-05 05:51:41	cs2 tl1 fnc 2026 08 05	Liquid	BUY	274	62¢	$170	0xbc94ca…
08-05 05:50:05	cs2 js1 bca 2026 08 05	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	298	56¢	$167	0x8e37d7…
08-05 05:47:26	cs2 ntr cyb 2026 08 05	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	BUY	607	27¢	$164	0xa2b828…
08-02 10:57:47	cs2 nrg spo 2026 08 02	SportsBetExpert	BUY	840	20¢	$168	0x4683f7…
08-02 07:42:50	cs2 ttbs sng 2026 08 02	Teletubisie	BUY	202	51¢	$103	0x46680b…
08-01 05:29:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	486	47¢	$227	0xafaab9…
07-28 06:07:16	ucl ucr pls 2026 07 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	591	77¢	$455	0xcc9947…
07-28 05:57:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	917	54¢	$495	0xe46864…
07-28 05:51:58	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,519	54¢	$1,360	0x2eeff0…
07-26 05:28:13	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	1,307	72¢	$944	0xbda67e…
07-12 16:28:01	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,266	61¢	$772	0x139d14…
07-12 16:27:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	771	39¢	$300	0x3c6ae8…
07-12 14:59:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25,158	41¢	$10,228	0x3a74a9…
07-12 14:57:35	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	26,060	40¢	$10,424	0x2ffbaa…
07-12 14:25:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,493	61¢	$914	0x3968d3…
07-12 14:19:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,990	61¢	$3,666	0x4fb920…
07-12 13:45:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26,732	61¢	$16,360	0xa420e3…
07-06 05:51:43	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,489	5¢	$493	0x35b84a…
07-05 16:23:23	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,161	3¢	$284	0xe46893…
07-05 15:56:29	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,129	3¢	$190	0x1e636f…
07-05 10:31:37	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	No	BUY	641	37¢	$237	0xfb0430…
07-05 09:35:32	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x3e923b…
07-05 09:31:34	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3edd31…
07-05 09:30:56	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xf20998…
07-05 09:30:41	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x19d8c3…
07-05 07:31:46	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,134	3¢	$178	0x33e666…
07-05 05:53:41	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	897	3¢	$26	0x575af0…
07-05 05:50:56	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,314	3¢	$183	0x3597bc…
07-05 05:26:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,917	3¢	$138	0x50fd35…
06-29 04:37:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6,663	79¢	$5,280	0x8a1175…
06-28 06:55:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6,868	79¢	$5,423	0x165232…
06-26 15:07:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9,833	85¢	$8,348	0x1ec484…
06-26 15:00:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7,903	85¢	$6,710	0x251f00…
06-25 16:56:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	18,061	85¢	$15,388	0x966ca8…
06-25 05:50:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	27,653	85¢	$23,470	0x80e1f2…
06-25 05:17:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	27,428	85¢	$23,240	0xb4cd6a…
06-14 15:11:30	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0xf5359f…
06-14 15:00:06	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	BUY	7,668	80¢	$6,134	0x432f4c…
06-14 14:56:09	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	7,668	80¢	$6,134	0x889510…
06-14 14:48:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	7,668	80¢	$6,134	0x87d1db…
06-14 14:42:33	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	7,668	80¢	$6,134	0x883e12…
06-14 14:32:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	3,834	80¢	$3,067	0x8a8e06…
06-14 14:28:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	3,834	80¢	$3,067	0x318dc5…
05-26 04:51:37	Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x2a1c3c…
05-24 14:40:21	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0xd66131…
05-23 08:35:29	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	330	93¢	$307	0x04025a…
05-22 17:01:39	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0820a3…
05-22 17:01:18	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd5d40e…
05-22 17:01:11	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xde8f02…
05-17 08:38:02	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x6a84ef…
05-17 08:37:54	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x7ed36f…
05-17 08:37:45	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0xbc994c…
05-17 08:37:34	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x06070e…
05-16 12:55:29	Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,228	90¢	$2,000	0xfbd465…
05-07 04:17:19	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	2,545	98¢	$2,500	0x09fe8d…
04-29 05:12:18	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x0289a0…
04-29 04:57:08	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	4,617	65¢	$2,980	0x0940c4…
04-26 04:38:42	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x321fd1…
04-24 08:53:28	Beijing Ducks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Beijing Ducks	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x26dc4a…
04-24 08:53:10	Beijing Ducks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Beijing Ducks	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa3a1b1…
04-24 08:49:46	Beijing Ducks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Beijing Ducks	BUY	473	97¢	$460	0xc2484b…
04-24 04:47:14	Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x933b28…
04-23 14:09:02	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	629	95¢	$600	0xbd36c2…
04-23 14:08:46	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0xfde294…
04-23 14:08:32	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x11689c…
04-22 06:30:22	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	SELL	1,429	1¢	$10	0x6470ec…
04-22 05:09:32	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	449	98¢	$441	0x2406a7…
04-21 14:58:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	615	99¢	$609	0xb67f46…
04-21 12:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0xd3f619…
04-21 11:32:44	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x4e3b1b…
04-20 05:46:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	509	98¢	$499	0x2453fc…
04-20 05:28:46	Shanghai Sharks vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x3a256c…
04-20 05:28:32	Jiangsu Dragons vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jiangsu Dragons	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xf85ede…
04-19 17:19:26	will velichie velichie win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbe5cf3…
04-19 17:18:00	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x65d103…
04-19 17:17:48	will alliance for rights and freedoms aps win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0x4e58cc…
04-19 17:13:28	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xcad11d…
04-19 17:13:04	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7b5830…
04-19 17:12:22	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x56f779…