Realized P&L
-$60.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.11K
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
132
Trades
7,727
lifetime
Volume
$1.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$73.4K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-29 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Sports
73% 38% -$68,012
Other
21% 54% +$11,058
Politics
6% 17% -$3,327
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +268,694 $8,939 5¢ $12.8K +$3,824 10-28 17:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +65,422 $9,626 15¢ $10.1K +$482 10-27 20:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +91,851 $9,442 10¢ $9.0K -$487 10-28 03:00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,580 $7,988 69¢ $8.0K +$2 10-29 00:39
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +34,883 $6,215 22¢ $7.5K +$1,285 07-24 15:53
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +113,403 $8,057 6¢ $7.4K -$686 10-29 11:58
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +21,073 $3,177 16¢ $3.5K +$300 10-27 17:17
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,000 $3,150 45¢ $3.1K +$0 10-08 14:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,680 70¢ $2.8K +$100 10-21 20:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,689 -$3,950 13¢ $-2700 +$1,250 10-25 18:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,783 $1,640 16¢ $1.6K -$70 10-22 18:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11,156 $943 11¢ $1.2K +$234 10-21 16:46
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +26,546 $1,903 3¢ $916 -$988 10-02 19:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +28,269 $4,575 3¢ $905 -$3,670 08-31 15:37
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +34,119 $286 2¢ $699 +$414 10-09 14:08
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +50,306 $536 1¢ $528 -$8 09-09 13:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,914 $204 14¢ $393 +$189 10-06 23:25
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24,888 $269 1¢ $212 -$58 10-25 16:08
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30,751 $169 1¢ $169 +$0 10-29 13:46
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +325 $61 18¢ $57 -$4 06-03 08:56
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,890 $17 1¢ $16 -$1 10-05 20:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 10-21 21:50